Thread by @OldNorthStPol

Data thread on North Carolina accepted absentee ballots, through 10-22:

Total Ballots cast: 2,697,890

FYI: this total represents nearly 87% of *all* of 2016's absentee ballots cast (3.1M).

Absentee OneStop (In-Person): 1,970,265

Absentee by mail: 727,625

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison of 2016 to 2020 cumulative daily totals of mail and onestop (in-person) absentee ballots by days out from Election Day

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison between 2016 daily total ballots to 2020 daily total ballots, by days out from Election Day

Yesterday's preliminary #s indicate first day of 2020 #s that were below same day in 2016. Will likely see revisions

#ncpol

NC daily accepted absentee onestop (in-person) ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* in-person (absentee onestop) early votes

AOS = 73% of NC's total absentee ballots so far

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC daily accepted absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* mail-in early votes

(which is 27% of NC's total absentee ballots so far)

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

By vote methods (absentee by mail and absentee onestop/in-person)

and

by party registration %s within each method and total of absentee ballots (early votes)

#ncpol #ncvotes

As of 10-17, NC currently has 7.2M+ registered voters

2.7M early votes = 37% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within party registrations:

Reg Democrats: 43% have voted
Republicans: 36%
Unaffiliated: 32%

#ncpol #ncvotes

2016's NC electorate saw 69% of registered voters cast ballots (total of 4.7M votes)

This year, 69% = 5M potential voters

If NC's electorate for Nov. 3 is 5M (total # of ballots cast):

2.7M represents 54% of NC's potential electorate has already voted

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee (both mail & in-person) ballots, thru 10-22:

66% from White Non-Hispanic
21% from Black Non-Hispanic
2% from Hispanic/Latino
3% from all other races Non-Hispanic

by Voter Race-Ethnicity and Party Registration within

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots (both mail & in-person), thru 10-22, by generation cohorts & daily % change:

42% Boomers (-1)
24% Gen X (+1)
16% Millennials
12% Greatest/Silent (-1)
6% Gen Z (+1)

by Generations & Party Registration within cohorts

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots (mail & in-person), thru 10-22, by voter regions:

30% Urban Central City Voters
27% Urban Suburb Voters
24% Surrounding Suburban County Voters
19% Rural County Voters

by Regions & Party Reg within each

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

Voters who voted in 2016's election (& vote method) OR registered in/after 2016, by party reg

Overall:

60%: voted 2016 absentee onestop
4%: 2016 absentee by mail
14%: 2016 Election Day
22% 'new' voters

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

2020 cumulative daily total #s and %s by party registration, based on days out from Election Day

#ncpol #ncvotes

As of 10-17, of NC's 7.2M+ registered voters

2.7M early votes = 37% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within voter race-ethnicity:

39% of White & 37% of Black voters have voted

23% of Hispanic/Latino have voted

#ncpol #ncvotes

Data for this thread comes from @NCSBE files, located here:

dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?pre…

#ncvotes #ncpol