Data thread on North Carolina's accepted absentee ballots, through 10-24:

Total Ballots cast: 3,100,361

FYI: this total represents 99.9% of *all* of 2016's absentee ballots cast (3,102,093)

Absentee OneStop (In-Person): 2,328,597

Absentee by mail: 771,764

#ncpol #ncvotes
There are several duplicates in the data, for both absentee by mail & absentee onestop (in-person), but previous tweet removes the duplicates & uses the most recent ballot activity.

Raw data #s for accepted vote methods & return status by party registrations:

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of 2016 to 2020 cumulative daily totals of mail and onestop (in-person) absentee ballots by days out from Election Day (in-person ends on Day 3, Oct. 31).

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee (mail & in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison between 2016 daily total ballots to 2020 daily total ballots, by days out from Election Day

Additional processing by counties tend to adjust daily numbers after initial reporting

#ncpol
NC daily accepted absentee onestop (in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* in-person (absentee onestop) early votes

AOS = 75% of NC's total absentee ballots so far

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC daily accepted absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* mail-in early votes

(which is 25% of NC's total absentee ballots so far)

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

By vote methods (absentee by mail and absentee onestop/in-person)

and

by party registration %s within each method and total of absentee ballots (early votes)

#ncpol #ncvotes
As of 10-24, NC currently has 7.3M+ registered voters

3.1M early votes = 42% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within party registrations:

Reg Democrats: 48% have voted
Republicans: 42%
Unaffiliated: 37%

#ncpol #ncvotes
2016's NC electorate saw 69% of registered voters cast ballots (total of 4.7M votes)

This year, 69% = 5M potential voters

If NC's electorate for Nov. 3 is 5M (total # of ballots cast):

3.1M represents 62% of NC's potential electorate has already voted

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee (both mail & in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

66% from White Non-Hispanic
20% from Black Non-Hispanic
2% from Hispanic/Latino
3% from all other races Non-Hispanic

by Voter Race-Ethnicity and Party Registration within

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots (both mail & in-person), thru 10-24, by generation cohorts & daily % change:

41% Boomers (-1)
25% Gen X (+1)
17% Millennials (+1)
12% Greatest/Silent (-1)
6% Gen Z

by Generations & Party Registration within cohorts

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots (mail & in-person), thru 10-24, by voter regions:

29% Urban Central City Voters
27% Urban Suburb Voters
25% Surrounding Suburban County Voters
19% Rural County Voters

by Regions & Party Reg within each

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

Voters who voted in 2016's election (& vote method) OR registered in/after 2016, by party reg

Overall:

58%: voted 2016 absentee onestop
3%: 2016 absentee by mail
15%: 2016 Election Day
24% 'new' voters

#ncpol #ncvotes
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

2020 cumulative daily total #s and %s by party registration, based on days out from Election Day

#ncpol #ncvotes
As of 10-24, of NC's 7.3M+ registered voters

3.1M early votes = 42% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within voter race-ethnicity:

44% of White & 42% of Black voters have voted

27% of Hispanic/Latino have voted

#ncpol #ncvotes
Data for this thread comes from @NCSBE files:

dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?pre…

#ncvotes #ncpol

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Old North State Politics

Old North State Politics Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @OldNorthStPol

23 Oct
Data thread on North Carolina accepted absentee ballots, through 10-22:

Total Ballots cast: 2,697,890

FYI: this total represents nearly 87% of *all* of 2016's absentee ballots cast (3.1M).

Absentee OneStop (In-Person): 1,970,265

Absentee by mail: 727,625

#ncpol #ncvotes Image
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison of 2016 to 2020 cumulative daily totals of mail and onestop (in-person) absentee ballots by days out from Election Day

#ncpol #ncvotes Image
NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-22:

Comparison between 2016 daily total ballots to 2020 daily total ballots, by days out from Election Day

Yesterday's preliminary #s indicate first day of 2020 #s that were below same day in 2016. Will likely see revisions

#ncpol Image
Read 15 tweets
2 Sep
591,379

That's the number of requests processed for North Carolina absentee by mail ballots, as of today's (9/2) report

This represents a nearly 16X increase in requests on the same day in 2016

A data thread of these requests:

#ncpol #ncvotes
The 591K processed requests are from 98 out of 100 NC counties. Perquimans and Tyrrell counties continue not to report anything, though their 2016 total requests were quite small.

NC voters can now request their ABM ballots online: votebymail.ncsbe.gov/app/home

#ncpol #ncvotes
Just for comparison to 2016's totals:

231K requests were submitted in 2016 for absentee by mail ballots

~200K ABM ballots were returned & accepted

NC is about to triple the 2016 returned & accepted number in just requests this year

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 10 tweets
20 Aug
1/

Aug. 20 NC update of requests for absentee by mail ballots.

Total among the reporting 98 (out of 100) counties: 313,224

Since yesterday's report: +17,265

Same day for 2016's requests: 27,955

2020 is now 11X ahead of 2016's #s for same day

#ncpol #ncvotes
2/

2020 weekly numbers generated in NC requests for absentee by mail ballots.

We're into Week 34 (week 1 = Jan 1) of receiving requests from NC voters: so far, 21K requests.

Last week (33) saw 105K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots.

#ncpol #ncvotes
3/

2020 vs. 2016 same week by week cumulative totals of NC absentee by mail ballot requests

IMPORTANT NOTE: 2020 requests so far (313K) have *exceed* all of 2016's requests (231,782)

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 15 tweets
13 Aug
1/

Today's (8-13) report on NC's requests for absentee by mail (ABM) ballots:

Total requests among reporting 97 (out of 100) counties: 195,248

Up 12,122 from yesterday

This same day in 2016's requests: 24,535

2020 is now 8X ahead of 2016's #s for same day

#ncpol #ncvotes
2/

2020 weekly numbers generated in NC requests for absentee by mail ballots.

We're well into week 33 (week 1 = Jan 1, 2020) of receiving requests from NC voters for an absentee by mail ballot.

This week, nearly 20K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots.

#ncpol #ncvotes
3/

2020 vs. 2016 same week by week cumulative totals of NC absentee by mail ballot requests

2020 met 2016's totals in mid-May and has far-exceeded since

Again, NC is 8X ahead of same day #s in 2016

As of 8/13: 2020 #s = 84% of 2016 total requests of 231K

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 13 tweets
23 Jul
The NC State Board of Elections has been compiling a report from the various counties about their absentee by mail ballot requests.

Here's a thread of today's data & analysis from 81 out of 100 counties, which makes up 94.8% of 2016's total ballots requested.

1/

#ncpol
2/

Today's # of NC requests for absentee by mail ballots: 82,792

Four years ago this same day, the total requested was 17,916.

Currently, 2020 NC ABM requests is 4.6X *ahead* of where we were in 2016.

This nearly 83K represents 36% of the 2016 *total* requests made.
3/

Of today's nearly 83K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots, party registration breaks down as:

Registered Democrats: 54%
Registered Unaffiliated: 35%
Registered Republicans: 10%
All other parties: 1%

This time 4 years ago:
Reg Dem: 38%
Reg Una: 25%
Reg Rep: 37%

#ncpol
Read 10 tweets
3 Sep 19
Today's #NC09 early voting (accepted absentee in-person/one-stop & mail-in) thread for 9/10 general election (data at dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?pre…):

As of 9-3: 46,351 absentee ballots have been accepted.

A reminder: Labor Day saw several counties without voting.

#ncpol #ncvotes
Among #NC09's 8 counties, Mecklenburg (40%) & Union (32%) continue to lead in early votes. Voter party registration %s within each of the #NC09 eight counties and district-wide for accepted absentee (in-person & mail-in) ballots so far:

#ncpol #ncvotes
Comparing #NC09 2018’s early votes (accepted absentee one-stop/in-person & mail-in) daily cumulative totals to 2019 #s so far.

Due to Labor Day & several counties closed, the district's early voting is 47% of where it was on the same day of early voting in 2018. #ncpol #ncvotes
Read 16 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!