Thread by @OldNorthStPol

Data thread on North Carolina's accepted absentee ballots, through 10-24:

Total Ballots cast: 3,100,361

FYI: this total represents 99.9% of *all* of 2016's absentee ballots cast (3,102,093)

Absentee OneStop (In-Person): 2,328,597

Absentee by mail: 771,764

#ncpol #ncvotes

There are several duplicates in the data, for both absentee by mail & absentee onestop (in-person), but previous tweet removes the duplicates & uses the most recent ballot activity.

Raw data #s for accepted vote methods & return status by party registrations:

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of 2016 to 2020 cumulative daily totals of mail and onestop (in-person) absentee ballots by days out from Election Day (in-person ends on Day 3, Oct. 31).

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee (mail & in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison between 2016 daily total ballots to 2020 daily total ballots, by days out from Election Day

Additional processing by counties tend to adjust daily numbers after initial reporting

#ncpol

NC daily accepted absentee onestop (in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* in-person (absentee onestop) early votes

AOS = 75% of NC's total absentee ballots so far

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC daily accepted absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-24:

Comparison of daily numbers between 2016 and 2020 based on days out from Election Day for *just* mail-in early votes

(which is 25% of NC's total absentee ballots so far)

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

By vote methods (absentee by mail and absentee onestop/in-person)

and

by party registration %s within each method and total of absentee ballots (early votes)

#ncpol #ncvotes

As of 10-24, NC currently has 7.3M+ registered voters

3.1M early votes = 42% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within party registrations:

Reg Democrats: 48% have voted
Republicans: 42%
Unaffiliated: 37%

#ncpol #ncvotes

2016's NC electorate saw 69% of registered voters cast ballots (total of 4.7M votes)

This year, 69% = 5M potential voters

If NC's electorate for Nov. 3 is 5M (total # of ballots cast):

3.1M represents 62% of NC's potential electorate has already voted

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee (both mail & in-person) ballots, thru 10-24:

66% from White Non-Hispanic
20% from Black Non-Hispanic
2% from Hispanic/Latino
3% from all other races Non-Hispanic

by Voter Race-Ethnicity and Party Registration within

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots (both mail & in-person), thru 10-24, by generation cohorts & daily % change:

41% Boomers (-1)
25% Gen X (+1)
17% Millennials (+1)
12% Greatest/Silent (-1)
6% Gen Z

by Generations & Party Registration within cohorts

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots (mail & in-person), thru 10-24, by voter regions:

29% Urban Central City Voters
27% Urban Suburb Voters
25% Surrounding Suburban County Voters
19% Rural County Voters

by Regions & Party Reg within each

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

Voters who voted in 2016's election (& vote method) OR registered in/after 2016, by party reg

Overall:

58%: voted 2016 absentee onestop
3%: 2016 absentee by mail
15%: 2016 Election Day
24% 'new' voters

#ncpol #ncvotes

NC total accepted absentee ballots, thru 10-24:

2020 cumulative daily total #s and %s by party registration, based on days out from Election Day

#ncpol #ncvotes

As of 10-24, of NC's 7.3M+ registered voters

3.1M early votes = 42% of NC's total registered voters having already "banked a ballot" for Nov. 3

Within voter race-ethnicity:

44% of White & 42% of Black voters have voted

27% of Hispanic/Latino have voted

#ncpol #ncvotes

Data for this thread comes from @NCSBE files:

dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?pre…

#ncvotes #ncpol