"The SEN handled 68,361 transactions in the quarter, a 70% sequential increase from the 2020 second quarter and a 455% increase as compared to the 2019 third quarter"
So the chart below is the one above but if you didn't like the crypto aspect of that then this is another one to pass by - however, whilst there's a little more of the same this has an additional angle: this is kind of a bank proxy for what #GAN is (was?) meant to be to gambling. Image
Here it is, selling for just under a whisker of TBV - this bank, MBV Financial, $MBVF is growing like a weed not only to a small crypto side of things but in large part thanks to the fact that they're directly linked to deposit taking for the likes of Draft Kings etc Image
Along with $SI above, this is another bank that instead of quietly stagnating, is attempting to adapt. Image
As correctly pointed out by @relativevalue00, the name is MVB Financial $MVBF rather than MBV Financial $MBVF They are indeed illiquid and have the advantage over MBV of actually existing. Many thanks for the heads up!

Seems like quite a big number here for $MVBF Image
A couple of interesting bits on $SI - thanks to
@dopamine_uptake for flagging them up

Podcast with CEO - excellent to understand the company and what APIs mean for banking. You can see why some trade below book and others don't

podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6L…

Cathie hard on it Image
"bank" thread update three weeks on. Image
Image
Net interest margin of 3.4%. Trading at 19% over TBV Image
I was thinking about mentioning this bank yesterday: $EBC, a recent demutualisation but decided on the whole it was too boring and too little to say. Good deposit growth ex-ppp; cost of deposits practically nil and non-interest income exposure of ⅓ of the total. Image
Shortly after not tweeting about it, they then announced a merger - the interesting thing here is the price: 1.75 TBV of the target. It seems a bit on the high side but I don't know the target.

businesswire.com/news/home/2021…
Here's another bank trading perhaps by now, a little under that 1.75x - it's the pipsqueak in the previous few tweets and the one just above $20B cap $MTB in 22nd place in terms of number of deposit accounts. Image
Here's a December Form 4 from the CEO Mazza, as you can see he likes the stock. Image
And thanks to @walnutavevalue's sharp eyes, we find that he actually likes it enough to borrow money to exercise as many options as he can - as you'd imagine vs his $700K salary and $2M overall annual comp, a $25M stock position means he has to stretch. Image
What does his board see to be running a 15% ownership stake with him now at +6% and the 2nd largest holder of stock overall? Image
My guess is that it's probably similar to the highlighted items in the $EDC statement above. Deposits are growing in the order of a couple of % a week - nice but that only takes you so far; you can only make so much on lending

They're probably also looking non-interest income Image
Integrations with BNPL players, card aquiring, gaming wallets - the whole nine yards; things like this below also discovered by @walnutavevalue. Imagine the fervour if such things were available publicly! ImageImage
$MVBF's latest Q: red with the fintech contribution to NIM at double the level of last year, it's starting to become a material offset to spread pressure. Blue shows some of the cost side benefits from an earlier sale of 4 branches. Green's the next sale, I assume similar to come Image
Market starting to appreciate the virtues of this one, perhaps fans of $TBBK. ImageImageImageImage
I'll bury this here. Above is $CCB. If you look at the kind of premiums the differentiated banks got / are getting whether that was crypto for $SI at the top, gaming for $MVBF or the beginnings of white labelling for $CCB then whilst there's an awful lot not to like about $BMTX..
..then it's not entirely impossible that <1x '21 sales and 20% (extremely) adjusted EBITDA margin may be too cheap.
Results from $BMTX, decent enough I'd think. Operating cashflow apparently $9.5m for the quarter. The line with "other" seems to be whitelabel work for what I assume must either be $GOOG or $TMUS Image
Whatever BaaS fees are, they're growing awfully quickly.. Image

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More from @hareng_rouge

10 Jun
Someone else has also since mentioned $JAKK to me - it's a (shitco) toy maker, similar to Character Group #CCT in the UK. CC's tweet mentions the refi, he has a point - I think there may be something here to play for, perhaps towards a double or so before the end of the year.
Company has cash of $80M + new debt of $99M (pink) repays difference on prior debt of $129M with cash on hand (green) so $50M cash + debt $99M

6,395 shares at $10.6, converts at $5.65 (purple) into $18.9M (blue) so + 3,345 shares = 9,740 / $103 cap & $20M prefs (grey) $172M EV
As you can see it's highly seasonal into Q3. Mgmt mentioned in the last (Q1) call that inventories are low. Typically they would be about $20M higher than here in Q2, so if we penalise the cash in the EV by that amount to account for inventory build we're at $192M
Read 12 tweets
4 Mar
Over the next decade or so, Transense #TRT will receive royalties on 6000+ of $GE's military helicopter engines and on many Bridgestone mining tires

Simple order of magnitude numbers suggest that the current cap of £12M may be undervaluing these cashflows quite substantially
It's not a complicated co but there are four parts to this. To help keep track, I'll deal with them in the following order:

1. Bridgestone (discounted 0.5x-1.5x+ cap)
2. Helis (anywhere from undiscounted 1x-10x cap)
3. Free optionalities
4. Tire probes (modest percentage of cap)
TRT makes advanced sensors.

On the Bridgestone side of things, the sensors monitor all aspects of super-large mining trucks' tire condition and provide geofencing and advanced capabilities for. Beyond likely cashflows the optionality here is to expand within the B'Stone range.
Read 25 tweets
22 Feb
Unfortunately this involves banks, turnarounds and LendingClub $LC but I think something potentially quite interesting may be happening here, due to this acquisition:
When I mentioned to Munger and Buffett the other day that I was reading up on LendingClub this was the reaction - and they're not too wrong: LC is crap
However, the business model is a little different these days and if my guess is right, it may all end up becoming little more than a vestigial artifact, like Chamath's legs

Where things stand now is that it's no longer so much a P2P lender.
Read 18 tweets
26 Jan
For a long time I thought computational drug modelling really had only one listed company: $SLP

Turns out maybe not: Physiomics #PYC could be a decent candidate for a comp.

Growth is inflecting, it has optionalities and thanks to AIM obscurity it's on a fwd EV/Sales of 6.5x
I first bought $SLP in April 2013. I mention this to make the point that was long before the current bubble in futuristic healthcare stocks, or before SaaS was a thing, this was already a punishingly expensive sector.

Here are the multiples you would've seen back then
Now, $SLP and #PYC are similar but not the same.

SLP was pure software to model drug absorption, sold on licence. It had incredible margins but slow, steady growth. In 2013 it did $10M in revs and in the most recent like-for-like split, FY19, it did $20: ~+10% a year or so
Read 13 tweets
15 Jan
Some notes on TFF Pharmaceuticals $TFFP from the HC Wainwright call

20 mins long, link to call below

sessions.ct.events/tplayer.aspx?s…
This previous thread about TFF was conjecture and I think the Wainwright call gave some grounds to think it may not totally off the mark.

This is again the idea: Pfizer wants to get a powder version of the Covid vaccine in order to avoid the cold-chain issues and expenses associated with the first-gen vaccine Image
Read 8 tweets
13 Jan
Summer 20: investment co with a one holding - a REIT - gets rid of its directors after the REIT collapsed into a zombie.

Sep 20: new management, new investment: a software company with 23% pre-tax margins

Nov 20: 60% growth, big client wins

Implied valuation today <5x sales Image
There are no other numbers, this is everything there is.

The holdco is called Drumz #DRUM a £2.4M cap
The zombie is a listed REIT called KCR
The software company is called Acuity Risk Management

I have it at an implied trailing sales of ~4.9x ex £500K holdco cash and ex zombie Image
Acuity's product is called STREAM, here's how they describe it:

STREAM is a cyber security and risk management software used by organizations globally for ISO 27001, GDPR, NIST and many other standards

In short, its not a nice-to-have for big companies

dataprotectionmagazine.com/?p=136
Read 20 tweets

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