Thread by @Fromagehomme

On Kenya BBI & the gender quota. Am I missing something or does it fail to *guarantee* that no more than two-thirds of Parliament will be of the same gender? I have read the proposals & it is not clear to me that it does 1/5 @MitullahWinnie @karutikk @gathara @Nanjala1 #BBIReport

BBI mandates parties to have 30% women on their candidate lists. But this doesn’t ensure they win - if they contest against other male candidates many may lose. Only 27 women in the current parliament did not come through the reserved county seats. 2/5 @kopalo #BBIReport

That means that securing the threshold will likely depend on the 70 seats to be appointed by the parties on the basis of their vote share. But reports suggest only 35 of these have to go to women. That’s a *loss* of 12 compared to the 47 county women’s representatives. #bbi 3/5

So while these changes *could* bring about a constitutional outcome it doesn’t seem that they ensure it-especially if parties don’t run women in safe seats, which is often a problem. Which means that BBI does not satisfy the requirements set out by the Chief Justice @dkmaraga 4/5

Which means the Chief Justice should push through with the request for parliament to be disbanded, as there is still no certainty the constitution will be upheld. Or am I missing something?