Thread by @Dr_D_Robertson

Public Health England have published their Covid-19 surveillance report for week 45 relating to data from week 44 (26 Oct - 1 Nov)

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…

"Surveillance indicators suggest that COVID-19 activity at a national level has increased or remained high during week 44.

"Positivity rates were highest in the 80+ year olds tested through both Pillar 1 (NHS and PHE testing) and in the 10 to 19 year olds tested through Pillar 2 (community testing)."

(positivity indicates whether enough testing is being done)

Levelling off in Pillar 2 cases. However, this is due to testing capacity issues &/or not enough people coming forward.

Positivity in Pillar 2 unacceptably high (not enough testing)

How old are people with these detected cases (Pillar 1 and Pillar 2)?

Where are the detected cases (Pillar 1 and 2)

Where are the outbreaks / incidents? Slightly fewer this week (may be half term effect reducing cases in educational settings)

Still many (though slightly fewer) outbreaks/incidents in care homes this week

Educational settings outbreaks/incidents (half term)

Hospitalizations up

Hospitalizations up in most age groups

ICU admissions up

Deaths sadly increasing

Who is dying in the second wave

Where are people dying this month?

Excess deaths detected

"Significant excess all-cause mortality was observed in week 43 overall, by age group in the 75 to 84 year olds and 85+ year olds and subnationally in the North West and Yorkshire and Humber."

Here is @ADMBriggs' analysis of Test & Trace:

https://twitter.com/ADMBriggs/status/1324459308722098177

Where are people being hospitalized? On the left is hospitalizations; on the right, admissions to ICU/HDU. People appear to be disproportionately admitted to ICU/HDU in London