Thread by @ASPphysician

I am friends/like/respect @BogochIsaac and have listened/read his views. Unsurprisingly, we agree on ~ everything.

Main areas of disagreement:
1. Feasibility: if there is PUBLIC/POLITICAL WILL to protect small businesses, older adults, vulnerable and down-the-road freedom ✅

https://twitter.com/BogochIsaac/status/1328561463947096064

2. Time/severity of hardship: these are, again, public and political DECISIONS. People need to know what they are choosing. If I told everyone facing today that we could have avoided the certainty of today's hardship with a bit more hardship, would we have endured it? ✅

3. Border restrictions and restricted movement: Atlantic Canada have freedom of movement within, with a shared US-Canada border. How have they done it? Thoughtful determination. Would you rather be in a Canada Bubble right now then our current reality? ✅

4. The other things that @BogochIsaac points to (e.g. reliable surveillance, safe isolation, safe work, boosting diagn testing capacity, etc.) Why don't we have them now? Because we followed a "balanced", targetless strategy. We SHOULD have them now. We can still get them.✅

5. Finally, he mentions the timelines of the vaccine. LOOK AT THIS FIGURE carefully. This is where we are right now. Except it is 100 years off. It is the Spanish Flu and US deaths.

Now look at the full figure. This is where we will be. Imagine it, thinking back to our summer choices, when I (and esp. @IrfanDhalla) was advocating being more aggressive and @BogochIsaac was suggesting to just "dance". Look at the dates. Feb-April. Well before any vaccine.

I understand entirely why @BogochIsaac thinks a #COVIDzero strategy is not possible or unwise. But the alternative I think he is offering is a THIRD WAVE, and a 3rd period of aggressive public health measures and hardship. Let's learn from history and failures. #NoThirdWave