The question is not whether #bitcoin hits its ATH with the backdrop of #tether AND the Fed printing and stocks very strong.
The questions is whether Tether will then be content and cease their manipulations for a while or blast right on. $BTC $USDT.
Not advice...
...Note that I have been Bullish #crypto and #bitcoin personally since an end of July article, so I am not saying the entire rally was a #tether manipulation. Not at all.
However, we have to be honest: the last week or so tether and their cartel prevented any drop from...
...becoming more pronounced and protected $BTC from falling. Leveraged financing rates mean you lose 75% of your position over a year from sitting in longs if #bitcoin does not go up. That isn‘t normal, that‘s beyond euphoric and without #tether actions it will correct...
... So again: I am not bearish $BTC personally. But if you hold a position you need to know IF #tether ceases their actions or is forced to, you‘ll likely see a pretty big air pocket collapse at first.
Thoughts on #markets into year end and beyond, we know:
- Fed is printing
- Vaccine is working
- Money market fund holdings still at record highs (ie money that does not earn a thing and watches in agony as markets climb)
- Biden returns calm to politics
In all seriousness though, let me attempt to explain the #tether sends to #binance.
Everybody knows that $USDT is used to paint the #bitcoin price whichever way the tether cartel members would like it, mostly upwards. There is no single Dollar in actual money coming into...
... tether. Definitely not since liquid stable coin alternatives with full KYC & AML compliance as well as regular audits have become widely available. And I am, as you can see above, in the camp of those who believe the entire #tether system is a scam. However...
... when #binance receives $USDT, the simple fact is that the exchange has long comingled usdt, other stable coins and actual usd. So when the trade volume on binance goes up, they may choose (depending on said comingling) to settle in usdt or posting in usdt, so...
Okay, so I have seen it propagated on #crypto twitter too often now to ignore it. So let me clearly explain:
Today’s drop in #bitcoin price had nothing whatsoever to do with Biden being projected to win the US election. Markets do not work that way. Here is what happened:
$BTC had run up by 30% in 3 weeks, in the process taking out more or less every identifiable chart resistance on the road to its ATH. People doubted this move so much that CME shorts reached record levels and leverage funding was consistently paying longs and charging shorts,...
... fueling the move further and further. This weekend, finally, the situation turned and financing went to levels that you can easily connect with “moderate euphoria” historically. That is typically when #bitcoin experiences a larger short-term drop....
We’re still at resistance and still overbought. But futures are also not in contango and funding rates are negative. Everything absolutely could be very different this time, but #bitcoin usually dives when funding is strongly positive and futures deep in contango...
...What’s more is after almost highest monthly close ever, should check if we are in another tulip run. Bubbles end in euphoria. Euphoria implies massively leveraged long speculation. That is not the case in $BTC. At all. Looks like healthy skepticism, climbing wall of worries...
...So unless (BIG if) #tether has simply washtraded & spoofed #bitcoin up without anyone participating in the run (entirely possible though seems unlikely given some larger names that bought exposure last three months), this does not look like the end of a run at all. Not advice.
Isn’t Friday, but if you are in #crypto, want a balanced,well-informed view & are looking for accounts to follow,I suggest both a list of follows & mutes to avoid the cult.Opinion only! My suggestions:
#CT accounts I genuinely respect or provide value mixed with some I do not agree with at all that are key to #bitcoin. Some will still spam you with typical propaganda from time to time, but at least they eat their own medicine and are undeniably core to $BTC
1/ More and more I seem to get added to twitter lists called “#bitcoin skeptics” or similar. Perhaps I should explain a bit.
So for the record, I’d like to state a few things about #crypto, #altcoins, #tehter & $BTC from my POV:
2/ I am not a #bitcoin skeptic. I recognize the potential of a decentralized, immutable (by current tools and disregarding miner centralization) database. I am enthusiastic about seeing what it will do for us, such as preventing identity theft or authenticating assets.
3/ I detest easy answers to problems of today’s political & financial systems and have a strong impulse to mistrust consensus opinion & “religious” zeal. More than anything, I truly hate when people are taken advantage of due to levels of understanding or education.