Let's look at SD on a monthly basis. Note the shaded pink area is the Government Stringency. SD at the end of 2020 had the lowest stringency, but also significant excess deaths.
However, we can see the same happening in North Dakota.
The excess deaths are even more, while the government stringency is higher. However it is not very high as for example compared to Hawaii, which has around 9% excess and ~75% stringency. (more later...)
Stay tuned for more to come in the next days, including correlation analysis on govt. stringency and excess deaths!
I also plan on publishing the source for all this to Github and google sheets soon.
All Data is from CDC, corrected for lag.
Age-adjusted mortality is calculated using 0_24, 25_44, 45_64, 65_74, 75_84, 85+ age brackets.
Using 2020 state population estimates.
Please let me know if you have any questions :)
6/6
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
@reitschuster
Herr Reitschuster, kleine Anmerkung zu Ihrer heutigen Frage auf der Bundespressekonferenz. Sie sagten in ihrer Frage, dass die Impfung vor einem schweren Verlauf schützt.
Das ist aber zumindest laut den Unterlagen nicht bisher nicht statistisch sign. nachweisbar.
Zur Erklärung. Es traten 3 schwere Fälle in der Placebo Gruppe auf, und einer in der geimpften Gruppe. Das ist allerdings aufgrund der geringen Anzahl nicht statistisch signifikant. Daher 95% ConfidenzInterval [-124, 96]
Es ist damit bisher nicht erwiesen, dass die Impfung schwere Fälle verhindert.