📣 State by State: #ACA Open Enrollment, 2021 vs. 2020: acasignups.net/21/02/09/state…
Still waiting on final data from CA & DC and *any* data from NY, RI & VT, but so far:
--HC.gov states up 6.8% year over year
--State exchanges up 1.4% year over year
Inthe past, state exchanges consistently outperformed the federal exchange. So what's different this year? 2/
--HC.gov states up 6.8% year over year
--State exchanges up 1.4% year over year
Inthe past, state exchanges consistently outperformed the federal exchange. So what's different this year? 2/
Answer: #COVID19 & Medicaid expansion.
In states which have expanded Medicaid, a big chunk of the newly unemployed/low-income shifted from #ACA plans to medicaid.
In non-expansion states, a big chunk of those folks moved to heavily-subsidized exchange plans instead. 3/
In states which have expanded Medicaid, a big chunk of the newly unemployed/low-income shifted from #ACA plans to medicaid.
In non-expansion states, a big chunk of those folks moved to heavily-subsidized exchange plans instead. 3/
As a result:
--NON-expansion states: Enrollment is up 10.0% y/y
--Expansion states: Enrollment is up 0.3% y/y
The latter will shift as data for the final 5 states come in, but I still only expect expansion states to be up a couple percent at most in the end. 4/
--NON-expansion states: Enrollment is up 10.0% y/y
--Expansion states: Enrollment is up 0.3% y/y
The latter will shift as data for the final 5 states come in, but I still only expect expansion states to be up a couple percent at most in the end. 4/
NATIONALLY, total 2021 #ACA enrollment is up 2.2% y/y (11.7M so far). When data for the final 5 states is in, I expect total 2021 enrollment to be up to ~12.1M, give or take.
This is WITHOUT the current/pending spring COVID Enrollment Period, which is counted separately. /END
This is WITHOUT the current/pending spring COVID Enrollment Period, which is counted separately. /END
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
