VARIANTS IN TEXAS—An awful lot of dangerous variants in the Houston metro area. We have the more contagious & severe 🇬🇧#B117, more reinfection prone 🇿🇦#B1351, super contagious 🇧🇷#P1 & worrisome #P2, plus 2 types of CA #B1429 & #1427. #COVID19
5) if we can’t even make the power grid work... would you trust @GovAbbott to make sure this doesn’t happen in Texas??? Because this mortality graph below is in the **wealthiest** state in Brazil with better hospital ratings than most hospitals in Us. And yet still...
6) How bad is #B117 surging in Texas? This bad... just hit 36% of #COVID19 cases tested. It spiked up so fast that the 5 day average still lagging behind. Texas is now the 4th highest behind Florida, CA, GA in total #B117.
7) #P1 is faster moving than #P2 or other variants. Two 🇧🇷 research groups have put it at 2x to 2.5x more contagious than old common strains. If that is confirmed (waiting for more details), that would be a Pandemic 2.0. But I’m waiting another half day before sharing the 2.5x.
8) We need to vaccinate. Vaccines will still work for #B117, and still mostly work for other variants I expect. But vaccination pace are lagging in Texas and Mississippi compared to other states.
9) I’m most worried for Florida. Case drop has stopped and have flattened (but rising in Miami Dade area this week). I predict cases may soon rise quickly once #B117 surpasses 60% (when Denmark 🇩🇰 also saw its fortunes change).
10) I’m happy to return to sharing puppy videos later, but now is not the time to relax. Cases have stopped declining in many places and flattened or increasing again last 3 weeks. It’s not over. next wave is matter of not “if” but WHEN. April/May. Vaccinate, mask, & ventilate.
11) And for those who think cases don’t equal hospitalizations... well the bad news is that #B117 increases hospitalization risk by 64%! And the data is from Denmark with the best sequencing and one of the best health systems in the world.
📌Fully vaccinated people can gather together indoors.
📌If grandparents have been vaccinated, they can visit family if they haven’t been vaccinated only if so long as they’re not at risk for severe disease. #COVID19
2) To be clear—vaccinated people can only meet unvaccinated **low risk** people from only 1 family household without masks or distancing.
➡️Don’t try 2nd family household (don’t criss cross bubbles)
➡️Don’t do any unvaccinated family if they are not low risk.
3) again, “But the visit should be limited to one household: If the adult children’s unvaccinated neighbors drop by, the visit should move outdoors and everyone should wear masks and distance.” !!! nytimes.com/2021/03/08/hea…
Schools across England are reopening again *today*. No school mask requirements. No school air quality & ventilation guidelines—it is so dangerous that it is “medieval” says Professor @theAliceRoberts.
God save 🏴 & its children from #B117. #COVID19
2) UK 🇬🇧 was sooooo close to #ZeroCovid - just a few weeks more - but all of that is put into jeopardy by lies by the govt and many of its advisors that misleadingly claim kids don’t/barely transmit. Schools can be safe—but only with airborne precautions and ventilation.
3) French data agrees with the UK data above that children are being afflicted by #B117 than before. This also matches data out of Italy 🇮🇹 and Israel 🇮🇱.
I weep for the people of Brazil 🇧🇷 — #COVID19 deaths now at all time high under the strain of #P1 variant that has surged in recent month, and its President hell bent on doing nothing and muzzling scientists. Brazil may soon be facing a humanitarian crisis. World needs to act. 🧵
2) The crisis that looms for Brazil 🇧🇷 is almost indescribable. Many doctors in Brazil are screaming the word “genocide” at the level of neglect and willful efforts to block anything that will stop the pandemic.
3) Here was the situation last week in one the **wealthiest** regions in Brazil. Look how hospitalizations and deaths have taken off with the rise of the #P1 variant that is more infectious and also has some properties of reinfection.
Dear 🌎 friends and the people of Brazil 🇧🇷—the world is watching the horrible #COVID19 crisis—we know you are suffering, under a leader that ignores/muzzles you. We hear your cries.
Brazil may be soon facing an epic humanitarian crisis if we don’t act.
2) After I posted what was happening in Brazil, I received a chilling email—
“Dear Eric:
I’m a professor at University of XXX, in Brazil. I’m writing privately because academics are being chased here. It’s not a matter of poor leadership but of an ongoing extermination project.”
3) “Bolsonaro is a psychopath. All his actions are surgically planned, with harmful consequences for all planetary health. You do not need to take my opinion into account; just take a look at the headlines of the articles printed in the most credible newspapers around the world.”
2) Reuters: - MEGHAN SAYS: ROYALS DIDN'T WANT TO MAKE ARCHIE A PRINCE BECAUSE THERE WERE 'CONCERNS AND CONVERSATIONS ABOUT HOW DARK HIS SKIN MIGHT BE WHEN HE WAS BORN' @Rover829