Alberta:
Announced* new B117 cases seem to be doubling every 2 weeks.
At this rate AB could have:
1000+ daily cases around May 10,
2000+ daily cases in late May
*Please read footnotes under the graph.
1/
Announced* new B117 cases seem to be doubling every 2 weeks.
At this rate AB could have:
1000+ daily cases around May 10,
2000+ daily cases in late May
*Please read footnotes under the graph.
1/
It is not doubling as fast as it could, e.g. not every 7 days.
But doubling every 2 weeks is still *very fast*.
It's *faster* than Alberta's November surge, when cases were doubling every 2.5 weeks.
2/
But doubling every 2 weeks is still *very fast*.
It's *faster* than Alberta's November surge, when cases were doubling every 2.5 weeks.
2/
In theory vaccine could flatten such growth, if 40% of Albertans would get vaccinated and if the vaccine would be 60% effective against transmission.
As of today, 5.5% of ppl in AB received at least one dose.
Meanwhile, reopenings will likely increase the rate of spread.
3/
As of today, 5.5% of ppl in AB received at least one dose.
Meanwhile, reopenings will likely increase the rate of spread.
3/
The growth of B117 can be stopped and 3rd wave can be prevented if AB adopts #COVIDzero policy.
The graph below is from few weeks ago.
We are still just 6 weeks away from relative normalcy.
By not aiming for #ZeroCovid we are wasting again the sacrifices made during shut-downs.
The graph below is from few weeks ago.
We are still just 6 weeks away from relative normalcy.
By not aiming for #ZeroCovid we are wasting again the sacrifices made during shut-downs.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
