When the YTD consolidation period of #uranium stocks unravels, I'm betting on a high momemtum move. Odds are we're getting a commodity price rerate period, which will cause stocks to start discounting +65$/lbs into the share price. Stocks lead the price, and have risk discount...
...which is why they might seem to have a LOT of upside to fair valuation with commodity price at +65$/lbs. They do, if the risk will be mitigated. My fair guess is the spot will exceed last great bull cycle highs, and duration of the cycle will also exceed the last one.
No one will time the bottom and the top right. Be prepared and have an exit plan on your uranium equities. There is a fair chance that spot will overrun the equities at the end, thus making physical investment vehicles like $U and $YCA good places to cycle profits in.
I believe this is what hedge funds will do. They buy physical through these physical funds or straight to cause the rerate in U price, ride the equities, cycle the profits to physical for euphoria peak until equities dont follow, exit the equities and exit the physical.
I won't wish luck for anyone, because it seems we don't need luck. Have a good basket of u stocks at your portfolio and after few years you'll see why. Fundamentals are at our side, time is still at our side and most of the investable equities survived the bear. We'll be fine.

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More from @tepuuma

22 Mar
1/7

Let's take a look on $UEX price action history from the last great #uranium bull market.

Note how any discounts(1) to 50 & 200dEMA would have been affordable to buy until the spot started dying. Image
2/7

When a #uranium stock moves, it tends to stay above its means, pushing extension to mean(2) very high, in case of $UEX all the way to 80-120% premium vs 50dEMA. Image
3/7

At the start of the trend the 20 day volume of the stock (3) increased substantially but as the trend matures, the 20d volume stays in the range of 1-1.5M shares, with only one overshoot on the way. Image
Read 7 tweets
10 Feb
1/10

As most of people who follow my tweets know, I'm very bullish on #uranium, and I think a LT bull market has begun.

#nuclear #u308 #energy #stocks #investing #fintwit

Like, retweet & comment!
2/10

That said, I want to remind that we're still at the very beginning of the journey, and that it is very important to acknowledge that there will be local tops and big retracements ahead of us on this journey. Depending on the co, -20% even -50% retraces will happen for sure.
3/10

The main catalyst on the sector for mining companies is still staying put as the spot/lt contract pricing is neglecting the fundamental supply distruption.
Read 10 tweets
14 Jan
1/ 6

As I took most of my positioning to #uranium bull at March 20 dip, I find myself constantly looking at attractiveness based on performance since that. Even though sector fundamentals have got better, most value on stocks has stayed the same.
2/ 6

If a stock is up 1000% by far, in my eyes it's 1/10th of as attractive as it was back in March. No matter the future potential. If I'd like to open a new pos, either I'd have to lower the pos size or accept the higher risk/reward ratio. This is why I like to avg up.
3/ 6

The profit or loss that can be made, is basically just the difference between price and value. Price action drivers can be either sentimental or fundamental. Basic rule for buying ->
Read 6 tweets

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