1. Most #Afghanistan analysis of late has been preoccupied with the strategic inroads being made by the #Taliban.
Meanwhile, #IS’s affiliate in #Afghanistan, #ISKP, has been experiencing a dramatic resurgence in the country, one that has gone almost entirely under the radar.
Meanwhile, #IS’s affiliate in #Afghanistan, #ISKP, has been experiencing a dramatic resurgence in the country, one that has gone almost entirely under the radar.
2. Yesterday, #ISKP reported 3 attacks, killing and injuring 44. The day before, it claimed to have killed/injured 20.
(While devastating, these ops are small compared to the 4 biggest of 2020, in which more people were killed than all other attacks combined since Jan '20.)
(While devastating, these ops are small compared to the 4 biggest of 2020, in which more people were killed than all other attacks combined since Jan '20.)
3. While #ISKP’s attacks in 2021 have so far been of a smaller scale than the biggest ops of last year, they are increasingly being targeted at civilians.
This graph shows how, since Jan '21, #ISKP has been walking back its war on the #ANDSF and focusing more on non-combatants.
This graph shows how, since Jan '21, #ISKP has been walking back its war on the #ANDSF and focusing more on non-combatants.
4. As part of this, and perhaps expectedly, #ISKP has doubled down on #Jalalabad, which was where more than half of its operations so far in 2021 have occurred (compared to about 30 percent of them across 2020).
5. We’re tracking these dynamics, as well as what they mean in the context of an ascendant #Taliban, in real time at ExTrac.
If you’d like to know more about our reporting, visit extrac.io or email info@extrac.io.
If you’d like to know more about our reporting, visit extrac.io or email info@extrac.io.
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