„we estimate that by the end of August [the delta vatiant] will represent 90% of all SARS-CoV-2 viruses circulating in the European Union“, says @ECDC_EU director Andrea Ammon.
„very likely that the Delta variant will circulate extensively during the summer, particularly among younger individuals that are not targeted for vaccination.“ Increases risk for vulnerable people to be infected, get severely sick or even die if they are not fully vaccinated.
„Until most of the vulnerable individuals are protected, we need to keep the circulation of the Delta virus low by strictly adhering to public health measures, which worked for controlling the impact of other variants.“
„At this stage it becomes crucial that the second vaccination dose is administered within the minimum authorised interval from the first dose, to speed up the rate at which vulnerable individuals become protected“
When I talked to @doctorsoumya for my recent story she was most concerned about the impact #deltavariant might have on African continent. “You could end up with explosive outbreaks”, she told me. Other researchers said the same.
So a quick thread on #covid19 situation in Africa:
@doctorsoumya While reported #SARSCoV2 infections and deaths from have been declining globally, Africa has been going in the other direction for several weeks now with surges in several countries like Uganda and the DRC.
@doctorsoumya As the most recent @WHO sitrep notes:
"The African Region reported over 132 000 new cases and over 1900 new deaths, a 39% and a 38% increase respectively compared to the previous week, the highest percentage increase reported globally”
If you haven‘t noticed: After a lot of reporting on vaccine side effects and vaccine equity and a brief break, I‘m back on variant watch.
So let‘s start with a catch-up thread on all things #deltavariant and new story with @meredithwadman is here: sciencemag.org/news/2021/06/d…
@meredithwadman The delta variant was first isolated in the Indian state of Maharashtra in December but really only got attention when it started to take off a couple of months later and when it rapidly spread in the UK.
So as usual: It’s early days and many things are still uncertain.
For the record:
Today, @ECDC_EU is saying loud and clear to European governments that they need to keep in place enough restrictions to keep #sarscov2 from circulating. Otherwise hospitalizations and deaths are likely to surge again soon.
„given the expected future predominance of the Delta variant, the risk has increased … . Without continued application of NPI measures and further rapid rollout of full vaccination, sharp increases in new infections, hospitalisations and deaths may be observed“
Measures „should be maintained at a level sufficient to contain community transmission of the Delta VOC until greater shares of the population are fully vaccinated, in order to avoid a resurgence of cases with a possible increase in hospitalisations and mortality.“
“Globally, newly reported cases of #COVID19 have now declined for eight weeks in a row. And deaths have declined for seven weeks in a row”, says @DrTedros at @WHO presser.
"This is good news”, he says. But also points out that it's still:
250 cases and
six deaths every minute.
@DrTedros@WHO "The rate of decline in most regions has slowed”, says @DrTedros.
"In Africa, the number of #covid19 cases and deaths increased by almost 40% in the past week, and in some countries the number of deaths tripled or quadrupled."
@DrTedros@WHO "While a handful of countries have high vaccination rates and are now seeing lower numbers of hospitalizations and deaths, other countries in Africa, the Americas and Asia are now facing steep epidemics”, says @DrTedros.
“These cases and deaths are largely avoidable."
Vor eineinhalb Jahren wurde eine neue Krankheit in China entdeckt.
Heute hat fast die Hälfte der dt. Bevölkerung mindestens eine Dosis Impfstoff gegen #SARSCoV2 bekommen.
Vor 40 Jahren wurde eine neue Krankheit in den USA entdeckt.
Bis heute gibt es keinen Impfstoff gegen HIV.
Wir haben das im @pandemiapodcast zum Anlass genommen uns in den vergangenen Wochen einmal ausführlich mit HIV und der Suche nach einem Impfstoff dagegen auseinanderzusetzen. Herausgekommen ist eine Miniserie in drei Teilen:
@pandemiapodcast Wir versuchen in der ersten Folge, die Anfänge der Aids-Epidemie in den USA und in Thailand nachzuzeichnen und sprechen dafür unter anderem mit Toni Fauci und Praphan Phanuphak über die düsteren ersten Jahre der “anderen Pandemie". viertausendhertz.de/pan21/
“Globally, the number of new cases of #COVID19 reported to WHO has now declined for seven weeks in a row, which is the longest sequence of weekly declines during the pandemic so far”, says @DrTedros at @WHO presser on #covid19.
@DrTedros@WHO But the decline "masks a worrying increase in cases and deaths in many countries”, says @DrTedros. "The steep increase in Africa is especially concerning, because it is the region with the least access to vaccines, diagnostics and oxygen."
@DrTedros@WHO “Evidence suggests new variants have substantially increased transmission globally. That means, the risks have increased for people who are not protected, which is most of the world's population”, says @DrTedros.