First, here are some figures on cases, which you can see are still rising quite a bit.
They are currently rising fastest in England, and falling only in Scotland. England will likely overtake Scotland to have the highest 7 day specimen case rate within the next few days
At a more local level, the North East of England has the highest case rate by some distance.
The North West has slowed down quite a bit and looks like it is going to start falling soon, but every other area of England has had at least a 30% increase from last week
Globally there have been just over 3 million new cases this week, which is up 13% from last week.
The increases have mostly been from Europe, but North America (well basically just the USA) has seen quite a large jump too.
Deaths in the UK are still rising, but thankfully still at a relatively slow rate, at least compared to cases.
We're now averaging 30 new deaths a day. Which is of course better than 1,200 a day (January), but worse than 6 a day (May).
Unfortunate these will continue to rise
Globally there were just over 54,000 new deaths reported in the past week, which is about the same as last week.
Deaths are still highest in South America, but they are falling quite rapidly there now, which is good to see!
The number of people in hospital and ICU/ventilation in the UK continues to rise quite a bit each day, although we're still at quite low levels in comparison to previous waves.
Still, every new inpatient puts pressure on the NHS, so these increases are not good
Vaccinations, both first and second doses, continue to slow down.
We're now averaging around 240,000 doses a day throughout the UK, which is the lowest amount since we started getting daily vaccination figures back in January
But in total we've done fantastically!
Unless we open vaccinations to under 18s, its looking like we'll probably reach our peak at around 70% of the population, or 75% at a stretch.
Wales seem to be storming away with second doses now, just as they did with first doses before
Globally, just over 200 million new doses were administered this week!
Canada are still doing fantastic, as are a lot of other countries right now.
Europe and North America are about the same on first dose coverage now, although North America are ahead on second doses.
At this rate we could double vaccinate 70% of the planet by March 2022. Although that is a big 'could'.. I imagine boosters shots will complicate matters.
And finally there were 131 new deaths reported this week which mentioned covid on the death certificate. This was up from last week, but not hugely so
Excess deaths were also up a little, but still in the negative, and below where we'd expect them to be for this time of the year
Anyways that is all! I think all eyes on cases right now..
The rate of growth is slowing down, as you can see from this chart from the UK gov dashboard. But who knows what effect the Euro final and freedom day will bring.
Hospitalizations and deaths tend to lag behind cases by a couple of weeks. So the fact that cases are still rising right now means that hospitalizations and deaths will likely still be rising for the foreseeable future, unfortunately.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
These are still falling, thankfully, which is good to see.
There have been some particularly rapid drops in the 20-24 age range, although the two oldest age ranges have actually been increasing a bit over the past week.
At a local level cases are now falling everywhere, other than in Moray and the three Island/Isle council areas.
Although those four areas have had the lowest rates over the past month anyways, so I guess they're more subject to an increase like this.
Firstly cases, which appear to be peaking right now!
Still early days of course, but it will be nice if this is the case. We should probably give it to the end of the week to be sure though.
If you were wondering how those 300,000 cases stack up against similar sized countries, then here is this. (Although these are yesterdays figures, and they don't take testing differences into account!)
First here are the cases, which are still rising throughout the UK.
They do appear to be peaking in Scotland, although the cases in Scotland have been rising for a lot longer, and are at a much higher rate than the rest of the UK.
So the UK wide peak may not be so close
At a local level cases are rising in all parts of the UK.
The North East of England are currently seeing the highest rates though, and have had quite the surge in the past week.
At a local authority level, Dundee City has the highest rates.
As it is the 4th of July 🎆🇺🇸, I thought I'd put together a little table comparing the situation across the UK and USA right now!
Here is a closer look at cases.
The UK is obviously reporting far more right now, even without adjusting for population.
Scotland has reported more cases in the past week than New York, California, Illinois, and Texas combined.😬(they have a combined population of 100 million)
Deaths however tell a different story, where the USA is still reporting quite a bit more. Per capita, the USA is reporting about 3x as many deaths as the UK.
The four states mentioned previously have had 317 new deaths between them in the past week, in comparison to Scotlands 19
To help improve load times and usability, I've split the UK page up into three separate pages, and added some additional stuff to them!
The first is the 'national' page. This includes the UK wide data, 4 nation data, large UK regional data, and international comparisons.
On here I added in per capita figures into the English cases by day chart, and I also added a deaths version of the same chart.
Although I've only just started collecting the data for that, so it's just overall totals until later on today, when I can show the daily increase.
The second one is the 'local' page! This now has a time series of cases by day in each local authority (since I started collecting it in July at least), and a quick search box to see some data about a specific local authority