I would laugh at this kind of incompetence by the leading scientists if it wasn't sad. They jeopardized the whole vaccination campaign with unnecessary overselling before.
"New data suggests that people who are vaccinated & have breakthrough infections... washingtonpost.com/health/2021/07…
...from the delta variant may have as much viral load as a person who is unvaccinated, which suggests they may be able to spread it to others, Walensky said."
"Vaccinated people are transmitting it & the extent is unclear but there’s no doubt they’re transmitting it,” Fauci said.
Fauci now: "People who are vaccinated, even when they’re asymptomatic, can transmit the virus."
I, a layman, a trader, in December 2020, after carefully reading Pfizer's study protocol & FDA briefing:
I've been warning from the start about 3410 cases of suspected but unconfirmed COVID in the study population. That was way too much to be normal & Pfizer didn't bother to test them or publish details. Why? For a virus that has at least 50% asymptomatic!
This is why I called for an elimination strategy. We can't keep nAbs permanently high, our immune system is not built that way. With #SARS2 it's always a race, speed is crucial & nAbs offer the best protection. Success of other immunity layers is unknown.
The endemicity being forced on us is founded on a belief that the severity of #SARSCoV2 is due to novelty: once our immune system gets familiar with the virus, it will become benign, just like the other four "common cold" human coronaviruses (hCoVs). 1/
The linear progression of #COVID severity with age is explained by kids being freshly exposed to endemic hCoVs. That's, supposedly, why kids have mild #COVID outcomes, just like how hCoVs are now harmless for adults: they just aren't novel anymore. 2/
This thinking denies any special CONSTELLATION of properties of #SARSCoV2 (variants, ACE2 binding, wide viral tropism, syncytia, anosmia, brain infiltration...). Once we all get exposed to it several times by natural infection and/or vaccination, the pandemic will stop.
3/
"Vaccine’s efficacy in preventing any Covid-19 infection that causes even minor symptoms appeared to decline by an average of 6% every 2 months after administration. It peaked at more than 96% within 2 months of vaccination & slipped to 84% after 6 months" statnews.com/2021/07/28/eff…
"...from 2 months to <4 months, VE was 90.1% & from 4 months to the data cut-off, VE was 83.7%."
"...through the data CUT-OFF (MARCH 13, 2021)."
"The current report provides updated efficacy analyses conducted on cases accrued up to March 13, 2021."
They noticed waning pre-Delta!
Previous was a study of the safety & efficacy up to 6 months post-2nd dose (also included vs. Beta, but there was no Delta then).
This next is info related to the effect from the 3rd booster shot from the Pfizer's 2nd quarter earnings call.
HT @JJulhes!
One of the most uniquely disruptive things about the #SARSCoV2 pandemic is the extreme disproportionality of outcomes, which leads to insurmountable divisions & misunderstandings on all levels, threatening to rupture society. 1/ diaryofamacrodaytrader.substack.com/p/3-disproport…
I wrote about this #COVID characteristic last year. Some might experience only mild symptoms; others get excruciatingly stuck in hospital for months. Some families decimated; others barely felt it.
It takes a lot of empathy to envision & feel pain outside of a person's circle.
2/
Disproportionate outcomes are further amplified across age groups & according to health & wealth. #SARS2 finds any weakness. Mortality skyrockets once people can't get oxygen.
When we get to a national level, these same divisions & misunderstandings show up again.
3/
Finally, let's stop our silly debates & hear from Sahin. I've copy/pasted all his quotes from WSJ.
"Immunity against the coronavirus is waning in people who were fully vaccinated with the shot made by BioNTech SE and Pfizer Inc. in January because of the rapidly spreading... 1/
#DeltaVariant, BioNTech’s CEO said, CONFIRMING data from #Israel."
"But even as antibody levels are dropping seven months after immunization among some vaccine recipients, most of them will remain protected against severe disease and might not yet need a third dose."
2/
“The antibody titers are going down,” Dr. Sahin said, referring to the unit of measurement for antibodies against the virus. “The vaccine protection against the new variant is considerably lower.” 3/ wsj.com/articles/covid…
What's there to discuss? Anyone can access Israel's data or read my thread and understand what's happening and why the rush. washingtonpost.com/politics/fauci…
You know, it's equally funny & sad to see so many so-called experts, famous scientists & influential decision-makers unable to find the raw data, analyze it by themselves & understand what's going on. Actually, it's frightening; those people lead the fight against #SARS2.
Just one more thing & I'm done.
"This project will gather critical real-world epidemiological information that will enable real-time monitoring of the evolution of the epidemic in Israel and evaluate the potential of a vaccination program using the... usnews.com/news/best-coun…
After seeing this Israel's table, I did my best to verify, retrieve & analyze data. Though some information was omitted, the only misinterpretation I found was Percent of Population Vaccinated referring to those with the 1st dose, not fully vaccinated. 1/
To get the data yourself, first, go to #Israel Ministry of Health dashboard, select 'The world of data', then 'Post-vaccination validation table'. There, you can download everything in .csv format. Israel vaccinates exclusively with #Pfizer mRNA. 2/ datadashboard.health.gov.il/COVID-19/gener…
After you import data from the .csv file into Excel, you'll get this. You can go all the way to the beginnings of the vaccination campaign, separated by age groups and by vaccination status. Impressive. 3/