The prerequisites: letter from NHS ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ or Northern Ireland confirming vaccination status, with QR code on it, and Corona-Warn-App latest version (2.6.1 on iOS)
Up until today's new Corona-Warn-App update, if you imported a NHS QR code into the app it just displayed it, and did not do any validation
For that you needed the *separate* CovPassCheck App (which is only in ๐ฉ๐ช app stores - bit of a pain, but I diverge)
But NOW the Corona-Warn-App allows you to verify the certificate... and it shows VALID โ - UK NHS QR code, set to check validity in Germany
But if you check it in CovPassCheck you get INVALID โ
So I have the same certificate that is showing as valid in Corona-Warn-App, and showing as invalid in CovPassCheck ๐คฌ
The answer - sadly - is that CovPassCheck is correct and it is INVALID, as per this tweet
If you are vaccinated in ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ or Northern Ireland and are travelling to ๐ฎ๐ช there is good news!
If you want background for travel to anywhere *else* in ๐ช๐บ (other than ๐ฎ๐ช), or to ๐จ๐ญ๐ณ๐ด๐ฎ๐ธ please see this earlier ๐งต instead
So you are someone fully vaccinated in ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ or Northern Ireland, and you want to travel to ๐ช๐บ ๐จ๐ญ ๐ณ๐ด or ๐ฎ๐ธ
And you have heard of the EU Digital COVID Certificate and you want to get one
This ๐งต explains what we know currently
Important: there is a difference between proving your vaccination status when *entering a country* and proving your status *once you are inside* that country
As someone vaccinated ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ or NI you can GET INTO ๐ช๐บ countries by proving your vaccine status at the border
The question then is what happens after that
Like it or not many ๐ช๐บ countries are restricting access to things (museums, libraries etc.) for unvaccinated
First, I agree a CDU/CSU - Grรผne coalition is the most likely - and it's probably going to be the only 2 party coalition that would mathematically work
Second, I also agree CDU/CSU - SPD - FDP is highly unlikely - no-one wants it, especially the SPD. But if all else failed..?
Where I disagree with Christian is about if SPD would join a Grรผne - SPD - FDP coalition. Not governing with CDU/CSU would be a major change, and given policy agreements with the Grรผne on a lot of issues, the SPD might see an opportunity - even if they had finished behind Grรผne
Motivated by tweets from @DavidHenigUK this morning, a challenge:
How could we establish a *fair* picture of where there are supermarket shortages in the UK?
Quick ๐งต
David is right to say that itโs not all as catastrophic as some say, nor not a problem at all as some others do. Itโs something in between.
Further as weโve seen throughout Brexit, some firms cope better with disruption than others (think of EasyJet re-registering planes to Austria very swiftly, while British Airways dithered)
Back in the winter and early spring, Johnson was crowing about how brilliant ๐ฌ๐ง vaccine procurement rollout had been, and how - by comparison - ๐ช๐บ was struggling
Now - in mid July - it is precisely the opposite
๐ฌ๐ง bet on 8 vaccines in 2020 - AZ, BioNTech, Moderna, J&J, Valneva, Novavax, GSK-Sanofi and Curevac - and notably ordered and approved AZ and BioNTech sooner than ๐ช๐บ did
So the guys at @SmarketsPol asked me yesterday if I could make a kind of Brexit diagram for German government coalition options post-Bundestag election
I've not got a diagram together *yet*, but I have done some workings, and it's pretty interesting
Wikipedia's German polling page has a table called "Monatliche Mittelwerte" - basically an average of all the month's polls de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundestagโฆ
I've taken these numbers, and used them for this work, and have made my own July-so-far calculation as well
The overall state of the polling is shown in this graph
CDU did v well through the main part of the pandemic, lost 10 points, and have recovered a bit. Greens back to trend. FDP now up a good bit