1/ "On 18 February [2020], it was minuted [at the SAGE meeting] that Public Health England could perhaps cope with five coronavirus cases a week, generating 800 contacts that would need tracing.
2/ That could be scaled up to 50 cases a week and 8,000 contacts - but, if sustained transmission took off, contact tracing would become unviable.
3/ Today, it seems unbelievable that, thanks to a decade of austerity, the world’s fifth richest economy would be so woefully poised to respond and scale up fast to a public health emergency.
4/ The running down of public health in the decade before 2020 helped to turn what would have been a serious challenge into an ongoing tragedy." Spike. pp 92—93.
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Jeremy Farrar recounts: Even if the [SAGE] minutes were hazy, I believe that Patrick [Vallance] and Chris [Whitty] took a clear message into Number 10 after that Friday 13 March SAGE meeting: measures had to start immediately.
Meanwhile, my email to Patrick and Chris on Saturday 14 March 2020 tried to capture very explicitly what was hampering the UK’s ability to respond.
First, the state of public health at the time a country enters a crisis is crucial.
1/ Boris Johnson, the UK prime minister, said: “This is a local German decision and the EMA will, as I understand it, will be approving it for general use
2/ and I think that’s a very sensible of the EMA, because that is the vaccine our own MHRA has said produces an immune response in all age groups, as a good vaccine, so I’m confident about it.”
1/ According to the MHRA, @MHRAgovuk , for the AstraZeneca vaccine, "Elderly population Efficacy and safety data are currently limited in individuals greater than or equal to 65 years of age (see sections 4.8 and 5.1)".
2/ See MHRA AstraZeneca document "REG 174 INFORMATION FOR UK HEALTHCARE PROFESSIONALS" bit.ly/3qXLBVN