Thread by @TheLawyerCraig

Folks, I urge a little caution with the Florida #Covid19 numbers showing on the CDC right now. FL reports its Sat+Sun+Mon numbers on Mondays, which the CDC *usually* updates on Tuesday for the 3-day span (and divides the total by 3).

Please read this brief thread...

For whatever reason (maybe an earlier report time?), it appears that the CDC used FL's 3-day total of 56,633, which they would normally report as 18,878/day for the 3-day span. The CDC hasn't updated FL's #'s on Monday for a while. Here's how the days usually end up:

So, reporting/backdating just Sat/Sun is nonstandard hasn't been done lately. Usually there are just 0-0 as placeholders until the CDC updates the case numbers on Tuesday for all three previous days.

Someone has DM'd me and told me that his friend at the FDOH said that the 56,633 was the full 3-day number. I haven't verified that, but it makes sense based on the way FL CDC numbers have updated every week for a long time now (with a single Monday dump updated on Tuesday).

In fact, I seem to even remember a Twitter brawl over this very subject last Monday between gubernatorial backers on both sides--at how weekend data was being buried or delayed by Florida pols because it didn't come out on the CDC until Tuesday.

So, while I'm certain of nothing yet, the above makes the most sense at this point given all the data I have.

Since this is FL, I know a data issue (if it is) won't stop the conspiracy theories tomorrow when the numbers are updated. But maybe try not to fan them?

By this tweet, I meant: "used FL's 3-day total and divided it by two days instead."

So, instead of 28,316 & 28,317 for Sat/Sun, we're likely to see that change tomorrow to 18,878-18,878-18,877 (or thereabouts) for Sat-Sun-Mon.

https://twitter.com/TheLawyerCraig/status/1424864567595786241?s=20

Just took a moment to appreciate those stellar red circles in my screen grab. Might have missed my calling in graphics...