Ethereum supply shock well and truly at all time highs.
Looks like the market overpriced it in May but is probably underpricing it July / August.
Switching to an oscillator view of this, it's moving out of its no-brainer buy zone with the latest rally. But importantly, despite short term technicals being quite warm, it's far from over-bought on fundamentals.
Note: the latest supply burn from EIP-1559 is not accounted for in Glassnode data. But it should not impact these metrics just yet (~0.01% impact on this indicator for now). Glassnode will be rolling in EIP-1559 burn data soon.
PS. Enjoyed posting this for the reactions.
Many think I'm a maximalist. I'm not, I happily trade any crypto-asset.
I'm a maxi in regards to #Bitcoin winning the monetary standard.
#Ethereum is very liquid and tradable, it has many platform competitors which I also trade.
I doubt we'll have one single winner in the platform wars.
We use many platforms in tech according to changing needs. You're reading this on Twitter which was a simple Ruby app and now uses a family of platforms to deliver at scale.
USDC uses ETH, SOL, etc. Migration is common.
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Just a matter of patience and time before $42k breaks.
Strong HODLers, the Rick Astleys of this world, have been taking this opportunity to scoop large amounts of coinage while we're under the resistance ceiling.
Mid-macro view:
90 day moving average of coins moving to Mr Astley about to cross bullish.
The movement of coins to and from Mr Astley brought to you via forensic clustering of on-chain data courtesy of @glassnode.
HUGE misunderstandings arising from Active Addresses vs Entities.
Entities: Estimates users via on-chain forensics
Active Addresses: Impacted by user growth, wallet activity (trade conditions), mempool congestion (drops in hash rate), fees spamming.
Chart: Unprecedented growth of users joining the network during this price dip while active addresses plummet.
-> It's a time of low volatility (less traders sending coins between exchanges to trade) and at a time when the network hash rate experienced The Great China Migration.
Any analysis using active addresses in this time where China tripped the power cord in April (power outages) and a historic banning of miners in May/June will be stupidly flawed.