Inputs from my side into Afghanistan 🇦🇫 Situation.

THREAD 👇

#Afghanistan
#KabulHasFallen
Is Biden's withdrawal from the Middle East different from Trump ?

President Biden's announcement to withdraw all US🇺🇸 troops from Afghanistan🇦🇫 by September 1 echoed the vision of his predecessor, Donald Trump.
Moreover, the Democratic president announced in an official meeting held in Washington with the Iraqi🇮🇶;Prime Minister, Mustafa Al-Kadhimi, that US forces will end their combat mission in Iraq by the end of the year.
These moves are part of a comprehensive US strategy to reduce resources allocated to a politically volatile region and focus more on the Indo-Pacific to counter a rising and more assertive 🇨🇳China.
Biden resembles his Republican predecessor on the gradual withdrawal from the Middle East, especially after many analysts would have expected a return to the same foreign policy during Obama's 1st term when the Arab-Israeli issue was at the top of the list of US foreign policy.
However, there is a considerable difference between Trump's strategy and Biden's. Trump forged an exit through a more aggressive speech towards Iran🇮🇷.
The US withdrawal from the JCPOA and the conditionality of Washington's return based on Iran accepting a more comprehensive agreement that would address Iranian aggression in the region and a cessation of funding for proxy groups.
The Trump administration has worked hard to bring lsrael🇮🇱 closer to the Gulf nations of Saudi Arabia🇸🇦, the
UAE🇦🇪; and Bahrain🇧🇭. Through arms sales and the
signing of Abraham Accords,to normalize relations between Tel Aviv, Abu Dhabi and Manama.
Trump left behind a strong security counter-response to Iran-empowered "axis of resistance." Biden, on the other hand, wants a quick American exit from the region, an immediate return to the nuclear deal and the lifting of sanctions on Tehran, followed by Iran.
This vision has been translated into a slight rapprochement of Saudi Arabia with Iran (Iraq facilitated a meeting between 🇸🇦 & 🇮🇷 officials in Baghdad),as well as a paradigm shift from the UAE on the urgent need to shape the Middle East in a way of geopolitically countering Iran.

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More from @Volatic_Vishrut

9 Sep
Will the Mekong River Region become the newest theater of US-China Rivalry ?

The Mekong River Basin of Southeast Asia could
become the new regional theater of the geopolitical
confrontation between China 🇨🇳 and the US🇺🇸 .

#Thread
#MekongRiver
#China
#SouthChinaSea
#USA
Projecting the riverine states, Myanmar🇲🇲, Thailand🇹🇭,
Laos🇱🇦, Vietnam🇻🇳 and Cambodia🇰🇭 directly in the
middle of the conflict between the two superpowers.
The duel bet. Washington and Beijing could take place through their rival institutions: the Western-backed Mekong River Commission(MRC) & the
Chinese-formed Mekong-Lancang Cooperation(LMC) framework which was initiated in 2015 in response to the former which was est. in the 1950
Read 15 tweets
21 Aug
Will Afghanistan once again
become a safe haven for regional terrorism ?

There are two reasons why the Taliban's claim that Afghanistan🇦🇫 now will be different from the one over 20 years ago could be, if not fully, at least partially reasonable.

+
Firstly, the Taliban is unwilling to follow the same mistakes they did
during their first rule (1996-2001), when close relations with al-Qaeda and its hosting on Afghan territory led to the launch of 9/11 terrorist operations followed by the US invasion of Afghanistan.
The Taliban might be extremist, but it is certainly not foolish and much more cautious in consolidating power (for the second time) in the long run.

Secondly, the same promise not to host terrorist groups was made not only to the US, but also to other major regional powers.
Read 10 tweets
19 Aug
Why should India be concerned
about a Taliban regime in Kabul ?

After the capture of Kabul by the Taliban, no regional power is more concerned about the prospect of insurgents forming the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan than India 🇮🇳.

#THREAD 👇
Anxieties in New Delhi over the fate of India's regional strategic interests and threats over its national security for the time being are unfolding on two fronts.
Firstly, India is concerned that Afghanistan under the Taliban regime will once again become a sanctuary for anti-India terrorist organizations.
Read 10 tweets
18 Aug
Silent Support of Pakistan to Taliban.

How did Pakistan come to support the Taliban ?

When the Afghan president Ashraf Ghani has left ? The country, the proclamation of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by the Taliban was nothing but a certainty.

#THREAD 👇
If the Biden administration should be seriously blamed for something, then it should not be the rapid American withdrawal without a strategy to succeed the security
vacuum left behind, but rather the way Washington looked in the other direction....
When Pakistan played a double game for decades, publicly supporting inter-Afghan political reconciliation negotiations, while
hidding its military and intelligence support to the Taliban.

It was always been supporter of Taliban, since it became dumping ground of weapons from USA
Read 11 tweets

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