⚠️The #DeltaVariant causes 2.26x ⬆️ more hospitalization than older #B117 #AlphaVariant in new UK study—(results roughly similar whether unvaxxed or just 1-dose vaccinated). This means Delta is 3.6x more severe than Wuhan 1.0. Mask+booster vax+ventilate. thelancet.com/action/showPdf…
2) Folks, I’ve been warning about #DeltaVariant being ~2.5x more severe than Alpha and ~4x more severe than original strain for many months. The data was already out there in earlier reports!!! Yet countless people tried to deny the data—despite it was from Scotland and UK’s CDC.
3) How do we get Delta is 3.6-4x more severe than Wuhan strain? Because Alpha variant #B117 was already 64% more severe than the original earlier strain. Thus 1.64*2.5= #DeltaVariant is *4.1x* the risk of hospitalization vs original! And 1.64*2.26= 3.6x. ?
4) Plenty of other studies confirm #DeltaVariant is much more severe— the most ominous was the study from Singapore MOH that found 4.9x greater risk of hospitalization, oxygen use, or death! But still people ignored the warnings.
5) I’ve been also screaming that the CDC was wrong that vaccinated people don’t transmit. Vaccinated are more likely asymptomatic (and not tested as much), but most definitely transmit according to Singapore data!!
6) Plenty of Singapore data shows vaccinated (green) to unvaccinated transmission. This data was already available in early June. We should have all been prepared for breakthroughs then.
7) My feelings exactly — too many news pundits and TV experts have downplayed #DeltaVariant for too long. Topol being notoriously one of them who claimed Delta is not a problem. The others know who they are.
8) I’ve been warning about #DeltaVariant since April and May that it would lead to a crisis. CDC didn’t even declare Delta a VOC until mid June despite WHO declaring it a VOC in first week of May. That’s derelict given the mountains of data out there by May.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Feigl-Ding

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DrEricDing

16 Sep
💡AMAZING BOOSTER DATA—New study shows 3rd shot has 91% efficacy (11x ⬇️lower risk) against #DeltaVariant infection versus 2 shots (>=5 months earlier) among age 60+. Plus, 3rd shot has ~95% efficacy (19.5x ⬇️lower risk) against severe disease!🧵 #COVID19 nejm.org/doi/full/10.10… Image
2) moreover. The enhanced booster effects begin being apparent after day 12, increasing higher effects starting even day 10 after the shot perhaps.
3) most were not that elderly either 60-69. I’m also glad to see they enrolled 14% Arab population. The bulk were vaccinated in early February. Thinking of all the people who got vaccines before March that could benefit from this. Image
Read 5 tweets
14 Sep
📍NOT ENOUGH TO STOP VARIANTS—U.S. population immunity against #COVID19 still insufficient to resume pre-pandemic social behavior—still not enough #vaccination / natural immunity—need more masks & ventilation on top to prevent additional waves of variants. acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M2…
2) “The mean overall population immunity was 62.0% (CrI, 58.4% to 66.4%). Adults aged 65 years or older were estimated to have the highest immunity level (77.2% [CrI, 76.2% to 78.6%])…”
3) HOWEVER- “children younger than 12 years had the lowest immunity level (17.9% [CrI, 14.4% to 21.9%])” acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M2…
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep
⚠️HOLY CRAP—11% of Israeli kids who got #SARSCoV2 now suffer from #LongCovid, says study of parents of 13,864 #COVID19-infected kids ages 3-18. ➡️Worse, they also found #LongCovidKids even among 3.5% of the kids who were **asymptomatic**👀—that’s serious!
timesofisrael.com/more-than-10-o…
2) More than 200,000 children under 18 have tested positive in Israel, with about half of them asymptomatic, the survey said.
“The meaning of this is that there are currently thousands of children in Israel suffering from long-term effects,” the statement said.
3) “these findings are in themselves distressing and call for further investigations into the effects of the coronavirus period on the cognitive/mental health situation of children in Israel,” the study said.
Read 7 tweets
13 Sep
📌Fake #COVID19 tests likely used by over 150 people to board flights home after a pilgrimage—Israeli police investigating.
Offenders could be charged with fraud, forgery and spreading disease—criminal offenses that can lead to 5 year prison sentences.🧵
nytimes.com/2021/09/12/wor…
2) About 25,000 to 30,000 Israelis, most of them male Hasidic Jews, traveled to celebrate the Jewish New Year. Israel’s Health Ministry found that dozens of them had arrived back in 🇮🇱 infected with the virus despite carrying documents indicating that they had tested negative.
3) Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s office said in a statement that it “views with utmost gravity” the entry of people with forged documents, “willfully spreading a disease,” adding that severe action would be taken against offenders.
Read 10 tweets
13 Sep
Heartbreaking—5 kids are now orphaned after both mom+dad (age 37/39) dies of #COVID19 weeks apart. The baby was born by C-section while mom was on a ventilator, doesn’t even have a name yet.😢 Grandparents haven’t told the kids parents died yet. #vaccinate latimes.com/california/sto…
2) this story truly truly broke me. “The couple and their four children all contracted the coronavirus after a trip to Big Sur in July, which included a stop on the way back at an indoor water park in Orange County, Serey said. Davy was seven months pregnant when she got sick.”
3) Ironically sad— “Davy was a labor and **delivery nurse** at Kaiser Permanente Fontana Medical Center. Daniel taught **math** at Jehue Middle School in the Rialto Unified School District.”
Read 6 tweets
12 Sep
⚠️Over 18,000 Mississippi students got #COVID19 in the first month of school. ➡️ Teachers say the state of education in Mississippi is a tragedy & want a mask mandate. 🔥A child even died days after @tatereeves claimed COVID only causes “sniffles” in kids.
insider.com/mississippi-te…
2) MASKS WORK. For example, one study in Wood County, Wisconsin, last fall found that schools that required masking had a whopping 37 percent lower ⬇️ incidence of COVID-19 than the surrounding community. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
3) Another study, conducted in Salt Lake County, Utah, last winter, found that high levels of mask wearing among students helped keep the rate of in-school spread of the coronavirus to under 1% — even as COVID-19 cases were surging in the wider community. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(