In 2001, I arrived in the UK eager to look at leading global companies
One was GE, led by the late Jack Welch, who had just published a book, “Jack: Straight from the gut” about his “career running one of the largest and most successful corporations”
The stock sold at
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15x earnings - seemed fair value for a “wonderful business run by brilliant management"
Cash from operating activities of $32bn less capex for equipment of $15bn = free cash flow of $16bn
(although we didn’t talk about free cash flow back then)
ROE was 27%
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And a payout ratio of 50%
I could use the historic EPS trajectory as a ruler – linear growth of 15% p/a and on track for $11 per share
maybe there was something to this Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula
In October 2003, one of the World’s wealthiest men flew home in his Gulfstream
As he disembarked, he was arrested at gunpoint, sent to a remote prison beyond reach of journalists, charged with tax evasion, & spent the next 10 yrs in a Siberian gulag
He is
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Mikhail Khodorkovsky (MK), the CEO of Yukos, one of the world’s largest oil companies at the time
But unfortunately for MK & Yukos, this wasn’t a televised Olympic Judo contest where a neck lock ends with a double tap
This was an: out of sight, zero-rules, cage fight
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against an angry, Russian Bear
With only one winner
the Bear
who levied $30bn of tax charges against Yukos,
disembowelled their key assets at rigged auctions,