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15 Sep, 3 tweets, 2 min read
Presidential numbers (as calculated by @DKElections) for Iowa's #HD37 in the Des Moines suburbs, site of tonight's special election:

■ 2012: 55-43 Romney
■ 2016: 51-42 Trump
■ 2020: 50-48 Trump

All the data here: dkel.ec/3979XFP
We have some results for tonight's Iowa #HD37 special election. The key question is whether all of the numbers so far are only pre-Election Day votes, which favor Democrats auditor.polkcountyiowa.gov/Election/elect…
Our special elections Big Board compares every legislative special this year with prior presidential results in the same districts. Tonight in Iowa, Republican Mike Bousselot outperformed Trump by just 1% (and ran 5% behind Trump's 2016 share) dkel.ec/BigBoard

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More from @DKElections

Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
5 May
Exciting news, fellow data nerds: We've calculated the results of the 2020 presidential race for the Virginia state House, where all 100 seats will be up in November! dkel.ec/3nUMcaz
The toplines: Biden won 60 districts, Trump won 40. All Dems sit in Biden seats, so there are five Biden-R districts. But the 2020 results aren't destiny, and Democrats will largely be playing defense this year

Summary of all results here: dkel.ec/33ll4YZ
One of the most vulnerable Democrats is Del. Christ Hurst, whose SW VA #HD12 voted 52-46 for Biden—the least-blue district held by a Dem. Many other districts where Dems face tough re-elections are in the Virginia Beach area. These also are among the less-blue seats
Read 11 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
21 Apr
Daily Kos Elections is pleased to present the first installment in our project to calculate the results of the 2020 presidential election for the nation’s 6,766 legislative districts, starting with New Hampshire! dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
Joe Biden carried New Hampshire 53-45 and won districts representing 232/400 state House members, but the GOP flipped the chamber and took a 213-187 majority.
One big reason for Team Red's legislative win likely involves #NHGOV Chris Sununu, who won 64-34 and carried an extraordinary 366/400 House seats.
Read 11 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
20 Apr
Our comprehensive first quarter fundraising roundups are here! We've included every incumbent (except those retiring) and any notable announced or potential challengers. First up is the House dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
And here's the Senate dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
And if you want to play around with all of our fundraising data, you can download a copy of our spreadsheet right here (note that there are two separate tabs, one for each chamber) docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 4 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
19 Feb
BIG NEWS: We're excited to announce that with the release of Pennsylvania, Daily Kos Elections now has the 2020 presidential results complete for all 435 congressional districts in America! dailykos.com/stories/2021/2…
With PA complete, we now know that Biden carried 224 congressional districts while Donald Trump prevailed in 211. You can find the results for each seat here dailykos.com/stories/2012/1…
Seven Democrats hold seats that Trump won while nine Republicans represents districts that went for Biden. PA is the one state home to both a “Biden-Republican” and a “Trump-Democrat." #PA01 #PA08
Read 14 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
6 Jan
Polls have closed in Georgia, and we'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here! dailykos.com/stories/2021/1…
You'll want to have this bookmarked: Our county benchmarks, which will give us an idea if each candidate is getting the numbers they need. dailykos.com/stories/2021/1…
Getting our first few hundred votes. As always: Friends don't let friends over-interpret small numbers of votes.
Read 54 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
14 Dec 20
We've got a big one for ya—real big: 2020 presidential results for all 53 of California's congressional districts! dkel.ec/383yVVJ
Three of the most interesting results came in seats Dems won in '18 but the GOP flipped in '20: #CA21, #CA25, and #CA39. Republicans won all three by about 1 pt, but Biden carried each district by around 10 pts, suggesting a lot of ticket-splitting
That wasn't the case in the GOP's fourth flip, #CA48, which Biden carried by 2 but Republican Michelle Steel won by 2. Still an overperformance, but not as dramatic. Both parties will want to study these races to understand the crossover vote
Read 6 tweets

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