Long-term #SARSCoV2 infection-associated symptoms are difficult to distinguish from pandemic-associated symptoms.
Persistent symptoms were just as common in children & adolescents WITHOUT evidence of #SARSCoV2 infection in 2 of the 5 studies which included controls.
Major limitation 1:
No clear case definition of #LongCOVID
• Studies use variable inclusion criteria & f/u times
• Some include self-reported #SARSCoV2 infection without lab confirmation
• Most rely on self/parent-reported symptoms from surveys w/o clinical assessment.
#LongCOVID encompasses many conditions:
• Complications such as pulm/myocardial dysfunction
• Mental health probs, post ICU syndr, PTSD
• Postviral chronic fatigue syndr/ME with nonspecific symptoms highly prevalent in population (e.g. sleep disturbance, conc difficulties).
Major limitation 2:
Just 5 studies had a control group NOT infected with #SARSCoV2 to enable differentiation between symptoms due to #COVID19 & those from effects of pandemic: lockdowns, school closures, social isolation, loss of sports/other activities, sick family/friends.
Major limitation 3:
Non-responder bias. Many studies have a low response rate (13% in CLoCk Study) that can lead to selection bias (those with persisting symptoms more likely to respond).
This can result in a substantial overestimate of the prevalence of #LongCOVID.
Additional limitations:
• As those with mild symptoms might not seek testing, selection & misclassification bias also lead to an overestimate.
• Studies include a wide range of age groups: incidence & characteristics of #LongCOVID likely differ between adolescents & children.
An accurate determination of #LongCOVID risk in children & adolescents is crucial in weighing up the risks & benefits of vaccinating this age grp.
New studies should incl rigorous control grps of children with other infections & those admitted to hosp or ICU for other reasons.
Key question for new #LongCOVID studies:
• What is age-specific risk?
• Is risk different with #DeltaVariant?
• Is risk related to severity of acute COVID?
• Can it follow asymptomatic infection?
• Does vaccination prevent it?
• Underlying immunol mechanisms?
• Treatment?
This fits with the latest ONS data that also suggests the risk of #LongCOVID in children & adolescents is extremely low (0% to 1.7%).
Importantly, even if only a very low % of children & adolescents have #LongCOVID, and regardless of whether their symptoms result from #SARSCoV2 infection or the indirect effects of the pandemic, we need to learn the best way to support them and help them get better.
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To reassure parents, a reminder of some key facts about #COVID in #children:
#SARSCoV2 infection remains asymptomatic or mild in the vast majority of children, even with the #DeltaVariant. Hospitalisation and deaths from COVID are still rare in this age group.
1/n 🧵
However, the greater transmissibility of the Delta variant means there is more COVID in *all* age groups, including children, so we will see more paediatric cases.
As a large number of older people are now vaccinated, the increase is blunted in the elderly so, compared with earlier in the pandemic, a higher *proportion* of current cases will be in children: this can give the mistaken impression that the Delta variant is targeting children.
Any debate about use of rapid antigen tests for screening well asymptomatic individuals for #SARCoV2 needs to acknowledge:
PCR may be more sensitive than LFTs BUT:
1. PCR is costly so not feasible for frequent testing of well asymptomatic except in wealthiest of settings
1/5
2. Inevitable delay in receiving PCR result means infected pass on virus in interim
3. Superior sensitivity of PCR is a disadvantage when detects low levels of virus that aren't transmissible or non-viable virus long after infection
2/5
Rapid antigen tests might miss some cases BUT
4. Lateral flow tests are sufficiently cheap to enable large proportion of the population to be screened frequently (even daily)
5. LFT result within minutes means infectious do not spread virus whilst waiting for result
3/5