I’m at a global travel & tourism conference in León, Spain - hearing from industry experts about what they’re expecting for the next year.

This is an industry on its knees, and much of what I heard was depressing. But there’s also very promising signs. Some takeaways: (🧵 1/6)
One thing’s clear: industry feels EU’s successful #VaccinePassport scheme saved the summer.

Travel within 🇪🇺 now totally open and mostly hassle-free, esp compared to European countries requiring PCR test instead (UK). But travel outside EU will stay at low levels for some time.
I heard predictions that travel & tourism sector won’t recover to 2019 levels until *2025*.

Many tourism businesses will fold if it takes that long. What do they need? Quick international coordination on travel requirements and globally recognised vaccination certification.
They also need vaccination campaigns to pick up pace and to be more evenly spread globally.

Public fear isn’t the main issue, it’s uncoordinated government restrictions. Wherever travel restrictions are lifted, bookings follow. The demand is there.
Still, people are anxious about trips that would have been simple in the before times. Do they have correct documentation? What are the rules in the country? Will entry restrictions change?

They need more help than before. This is a good business opportunity for travel agents.
Next week (8/11) the 🇺🇸 entry ban on Europeans will end - 5 months after 🇪🇺 ended its ban on Americans.

Washington’s refusal to coordinate with Brussels on that was a bad sign for the global reopening to come in next months.

The industry needs countries to talk to each other.

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More from @DaveKeating

27 Oct
“You cannot pocket all the money but refuse the values,” Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo warns #Poland.

"Here in Europe some want to install 'illiberal democracy', as if something like that could exist."
Belgian PM warns the European illiberal camp wants "the tyranny of the majority over the minority".

"This tyranny is exactly what's popping up in Europe today. Governments attacking the free press, denigrating Muslims and immigrants, denying fundamental rights to women & LGBTI"
"Our European liberal democracy is exactly the opposite," the Belgian PM continues.

"It's about human decency, personal freedom, and allowing all people to live their lives freely and come together as one society. It is about the separation of powers"
Read 8 tweets
22 Oct
The rumours were true: #Italy has taken over the #UK's former briefing room at the European Council in Brussels.

The 'big 3' post-summit briefings (the only ones with interpretation) used to be 🇩🇪🇫🇷🇬🇧. Now it's 🇩🇪🇫🇷🇮🇹.
#Draghi now speaking from where British prime ministers used to stand. #Brexit
BTW it's nice to finally have a PM in this room that's actually talking about what happened at the summit.

In my 11 years covering these summits the UK PMs would only call on UK reporters, who would ask about things that had no relation to the summit that just happened.
Read 4 tweets
22 Oct
President @VonDerLeyen on #EUCO decisions on rising energy prices: "In the short term we need to support vulnerable consumers and heavily exposed businesses"

"About 20 member states have taken measures."
For longer term "we agreed to explore how to establish a strategic gas reserve, and to explore possibilities of joint procurement" says VDL.

"We will intensify out outreach to suppliers, also to diversify the supply we have" & "assess functioning of gas/electricity/ETS markets"
Von der Leyen addresses the elephant in the room (🇵🇱):

"I welcome that discussion. The rule of law is at the heart of our union, we all have a stake in this crucial issue. RoL ensures mutual trust, legal certainty throughout EU and equality between member states & citizens."
Read 5 tweets
22 Oct
Speaking after #EUCO summit, Chancellor Merkel says she and Macron met with Polish PM Morawiecki and expressed their "deep concerns" about the "downward spiral" Poland is on in the area of rule of law and undermining the European Union.
But Merkel adds these concerns about what EU "ever closer union" means are not unique to Poland.

"We have to have a discussion separate from this about where we see the EU going. What should be the competence of the EU, and what should remain with the nation state?"
“There might be the feeling that those who joined the EU at a later point find themselves in a position where they have to accept something that’s been there when they joined and they’re not entitled to call it into question," Merkel says.

But...
Read 5 tweets
22 Oct
One important point as #EUCO leaders debate the need for a ‘temporary’ (some suspect it will become permanent) border wall at the EU’s Eastern border with Belarus:

Any EU country is free to build a wall on their portion of EU external border. The question is who will pay for it.
As Trump found out, it’s expensive to #BuildTheWall. His was never built.

Do they work for their intended purpose? Is it worth the enormous expense, taking money away from education, infrastructure,etc?

Should all EU/US taxpayers have to pay for walls, or just the border state?
“Why should this burden [of a wall] be paid exclusively by Lithuanian taxpayers?” Austria's new chancellor Alexander Schallenberg asked today.

Austria is one of the non-border member states pushing hard for an EU external border fence/wall.
Read 4 tweets
22 Oct
The EU prime ministers and presidents at the #EUCO summit in Brussels will start their discussion on #migration soon.

10 countries are asking that EU funds be made available to build border fences, a controversial idea.
Entering day two of the #EUCO summit, Belgian PM @AlexanderDeCroo said EU border funds can only come with solidarity.

“For southern countries, the message is clear: consolidate your borders and we’ll support you with additional funds to protect our external borders better."
“But it can't be the goal that a small number of countries have to make all of the effort to welcome people in need," De Croo continued.

"For it to be working at the European level, everyone needs to show solidarity."
Read 5 tweets

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