#USSPACECOM deputy cmdr, Lt Gen John Shaw at @ascendspace on Russian DA-ASAT test: We are still characterizing this event. We expect the debris will grow over time. #Perigee, #apogee event will widen. "It will become a threat that we will have to deal with." #ASAT #Russia
Shaw: This isnt' the beginning of such activity. #Russia conducted a similar test in April, though it didn't target a #satellite. Russia is showing "disregard of the sustainability of #space."
Shaw likens tracking objects in #space to book version of #JurassicPark: Scientists had automated sensors to track dinosaurs & algorithm to count the expected number of dinos. Problem is, it didn't account for the population of dinos rising. ...
... That's how the old style of #SpaceSituationalAwareness unfolded. We looked for objects & confirmed they were there. We should be looking for new threats/things trying to evade us rather than a numbers-counting scheme. "That's what we have to get after." ...
... #SpaceDomainAwareness means we track things trying to avoid us, things that are maneuvering more AND the intent behind that & what that threat could represent to 🇺🇸, our #allies & the space domain in general. #SDA is GEN Dickinson's (#USSPACECOM commander) No. 1 priority.
Shaw: #SpaceDomainAwareness is a #BigData problem. If done right & we harness #AI & #PredictiveAnalytics, we can have actionable data now & in the future. It affords us better opportunities to address something early & make risk assessments earlier in a potential conflict.
Shaw on #Kessler Syndrome: If you get enough #SpaceDebris, it starts to feed on itself/collide. Eventually, there is a cluttered, clouded debris cloud — something those operating in #space very much want to avoid.
Shaw likens this to opening scenes of film #Gravity. It's almost prophetic: #SandraBullock is floating in #space when a country conducts a #MissileTest that creates debris (through an exaggerated #Hollywood timeline). The #KesslerEffect plays out on the screen.
Shaws says the #AstronauticalEngineer in him sees flaws in 2013's #Gravity, but the general principle is sound. #KesslerEffect #KesslerSyndrome #STEM
*Shaws̷̶
More on this week's DA-ASAT test: spacecom.mil/News/Article-D…
#ASAT #Russia #COSMOS1408 #USSPACECOM @18SPCS @SpaceTrackOrg
#ASAT #Russia #COSMOS1408 #USSPACECOM @18SPCS @SpaceTrackOrg
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