I don't trade those short-term H&S top patterns. For those who trade $MSFT can come under pressure for couple of days. Image
$MSFT short-term H&S top neckline at 328.5. Lower boundary of an arguable trend channel at 310. Image
#NATRUALGAS Probably same idea but slightly different duration and different instrument as well. Image
$MSFT below neckline Image

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More from @TechCharts

22 Oct
Was this a pullback? We will find out in the next couple of trading sessions $EUR #FX Image
Update on $EUR #FX Image
Update on $EUR #FX. Volatility is low. That means whichever direction we start accelerating, highly likely we get a decent trend.

I see this as a breakdown and pullback completed. Image
Read 7 tweets
16 Oct
The way I tackle price charts:

From past price studies I have an idea of how price should behave around certain levels.

Then I say: If A happens then B is more likely. If I see B then it is a sign of C.
#COPPER is a good example. I have been analyzing price action above the 200-day average. The rebounds have been weak.

I said if it remains weak, (A happens) then a breakdown and correction (B) is more likely.

Ideal situation in a reversion to the mean is a sharp rebound.
This is how I analyzed price action and narrowed it down to 4.08-4.35.

Ideally a reversion to the mean was followed by a sharp rebound.
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
It is ok to wait for confirmation. It is ok not to predict but get more info. from the chart itself and act.

This was when I concluded the breakout is valid and symmetrical triangle is completed. $BTC

Chart patterns are confirmed when they are mature. It is usually difficult to understand at what level the pattern is mature. For me this is with several tests of pattern boundary.

First reversal signal on $BTC was covered with this setup.

Rising wedge breakdown was followed by a rebound which formed the right shoulder of a H&S top. The correction towards 30K was covered with this chart pattern setup.

Let the market give clues to the direction of the trend. We don't want to predict.

Read 8 tweets
14 Oct
I'm not in the business of picking tops and bottoms. I will never short an index like this.

However, I'm in the business of identifying extremes relative to past price actions.

#INDIA benchmarks are taking a parabolic shape with consecutive gap openings. #SENSEX #NIFTY
Question I'm trying to answer, what are those gaps at all-time highs???

From Richard Schabacker:
I think we can narrow it down to continuation & exhaustion gaps.
Read 4 tweets
14 Oct
This is considered Type 2 breakout. (Explained in following videos).

Irrespective of time frame (note I don't analyze intraday price action), price dynamics are the same. Breakouts can be followed by pullbacks and those would ideally find support at the previous resistance.
Piyasada birileri..., dis gucler, soros, vs. gibi inanclari olan arkadaslar icin Isvec borsasinda islem goren bir hissenin grafigini paylasiyorum.

Piyasadaki o "birileri" ne atfedilen hareketler aslinda kolletif olarak toplu suru piskolojisi/insan davranislarindan kaynaklaniyor
Reference to earlier tweet on the price dynamics of a Type 2 breakout.
Read 4 tweets
3 Oct
Are you ready for a visual exercise?
Qualities we will be looking for:

1) A clean horizontal boundary

2) Min 3 tests of the pattern boundary

3) If a short trade = needs to be below 200-day
If a long trade = needs to be above 200-day
Find 3 text-book trades / chart pattern setups

This is a weekly scale price chart and the moving average is 40 week period (200-day)

Answers format:
Pattern name/completed year
Read 6 tweets

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