Some observations on $BTC #Bitcoin:

- Overall
- Value Area Trading (VAT)
- FRPV
- FVG
- Trend Reversal
- Conclusion

(this is a bit of a sneakpeek into VAT that I'll be sharing in my free course that releases in the new year that you can use on any #Crypto or #cryptocurrency
Overall:

BTC has been in a range (to a certain extent) since the start of December (some call it diagonal, I call it a series of ranges within a range)

We're now seeing some MSB to the upside, which *could* signify a trend reversal...but, let's keep reading first
VAT

Did you know that if you turn off the price of the ticker that you're observing, and then turn on VPSV, you can get a clear view of Volume Profile Session Volume?

This is really handy without the noise of price on the chart for determining poor lows and highs etc
VAT Cont'd

With VAT, the grey area on my chart shows where price spent 70% of the session (each day), the remaining area is the other 30%, shown either side of the grey area

If the other 30% (blue lines) are short in length vs grey, it means that price spent little time there
If we see really short blue lines vs grey lines above or below the Value Area (remember, where 70% of trading volume occured during the session), then we can classify these as poor highs or poor lows.

See below in red boxes
Notice though how each of these red boxes are 'filled' if you will - shown here with a green box

Now, what we can see is that we've experienced a poor low in terms of VAT, based on the sudden movement up with $BTC, and based on the images shown, this area could look to be filled
VAT & FRPV

Now that we've investigated the VPSV to show how areas can be filled, let's check out the FRPV based on where price is currently trading, I've pulled the FRPV to the areas shown in blue boxes

We'll keep the VPSV shown for a sec here
FRPV & VPSV

Note the first image as the FRVP pulled as previously shown

Note the second image shows the VPSV
Price & FRVP, VPSV

Now, look at how price respects the FRVP VAH & VAL's, and we are also trading right around the POC of the FRVP as well

Note that we're at the VAH now, close to POC, and have a poor low below us.....
Fair Value Gap

Where price moves quickly in one direction without the interaction of a wick or body of an opposing candle to 'close' the area

Shown in red are FVG's that have been closed. In blue are the open FVG's

You can see that price fills these gaps.
Trend Reversal

Now that we've experienced a MSB to the upside, per my handy sketch I made in the first image, we could expect a retest of support / demand / orderblock before running higher.
Conclusion

When we compare poor lows, FVG's, VAH's, POC's , trend reversal play outs, & general price action concepts into the mix, you can see that blindly longing into resistance and against PA principles isn't the best option (and santa is watching)
Hopefully this has helped you frame your own trading a bit better from a logical approach / standpoint.

I'm not saying you don't already have a logical approach, but this is how I approach the situations presented to me

Cheers guys - say hi to the old chook for me!

🤝🍻

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Mindset ⚖️

Mindset ⚖️ Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mindset_BTC

20 Dec
How the fuck do I develop an edge?

You've no doubt asked yourself this so many times, but how can you personally define this in recognising where you have an edge?

There's a few ways that aren't reliant on immediate data that this mini- thread can hopefully help with:
Risk Management:

If you're following the practice that I shared and learnt from ICT, then you're already ahead. See below:

- Risk 1% max at a time;
- If you lose 4 trades in a row, cut to 0.5% risk
- Don't graduate back to 1% until you recover half of the losses at 1%
Risk Management Cont'd

- If you lose another four trades, then cut risk to 0.25%
- Graduate back up to 0.5% when you recover half your losses experienced at 0.5%
- Then graduate back to 1%, again, when you recover half the losses at 1%
Read 11 tweets
8 Dec
Where to for $BTC now?

When we look at the weekly range defined by the high and low of the previous week, ask yourself where your bias sits

Hopefully this breakdown introduces some logical thougth processes you may find value in

Where is the liquidity though?

#cryptocurrency
Orderblocks

You can see that we have some bullish orderblocks on the daily that we've tapped on the wick down from the recent move

And as shown in second pic, a bearish order block at range high
FVG's

Looking on the Daily, we've also got three FVG's, with the recent wick move down filling and rendering this FVG as now closed
Read 9 tweets
3 Dec
Did a poll in my TG Group - and PA was what people wanted to see most, so:

Let's take a look at $SRM

Agenda:

- Range
- FVG's
- nPOC's
- Potential PO3
- Putting it all together
- $BTC and behaving itself
Range:

For this range, we're using the Daily Chart, with some market structure utilised to frame ourselves, and our bias
FVG's, Fair Value Gaps

What we're looking for here is where price moves away quickly from an area, leaving no corresponding candle closes between a candles body (ie wicks, or other candles).

FVG's can be used for bullish or bearish scenarios
Read 9 tweets
30 Nov
As promised folks, here is a method that will help your trading, I call it Structured Fibs or SF Method

There are four things to use

- Fibonacci levels (overall, and targets set ups below)
- Stoch RSI
- 200 EMA
- Market Structure

Let's take a look at this $BTC #Bitcoin set up
First, you want to set up your fib levels.

Follow the below to see how I do it.

First example are the full suite of fibs that you set up on a high level, second set of fibs are the target entry fibs
Then, the most important thing is this:

Set your fibs up on the timeframe ABOVE the timeframe you intend on trading on.

Eg I would set fibs up on the 4H if I was going to trade on the 1H, or I would use the 1H to trade on the 15M, or the 15M to trade on the 5M

4H & 1H below:
Read 14 tweets
20 Nov
Nice 5M $MATIC trade breakdown.

A quick share with you on the actual and potential on this one.

Low leverage move, result comes in.

Use this technique on your fave #Altcoins or #cryptocurrencies
So we establish the range, we can see that there are a couple of MSB's to the upside that set us up for an uptrend in price

A bullish order block / supply is hit, where price runs up to another MSB, which really confirms our bias for the next move
Then we can ask ourselves where is the liquidity that price is likely to be drawn to?

My feeling was that the recent range highs hadn't been run yet, so a good initial target resides there.

Resistance lives in the form of 5M bearish orderblock / supply as shown
Read 8 tweets
18 Nov
Keen for a quick range play technique but not 100% on using PA without some guidance?

Then read on folks, this will help 100%

Agenda for this one is:

- Range set up
- Range play
- Opportunities
- EMA's
- Conclusion
Range Set Up

What I did to set up my ranges is pull a fib from the swing low of the range to the immediate swing high following this move
Range Play

Liquidity swept from range high, with a market structure break of a swing low that then sees a retest of the range high / confluence with entry fibs

Even a simple move like this could net 2.81R
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(