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Ben M.

4 Jan, 12 tweets, 5 min read

🔥 BIG Weekly Germany Mortality Update! 🔥

> All-cause Age-adjusted mortality is up 11.1% that's +5.2% higher than last Quarter

1/n 🧵
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus #Omicron

If we just look at data up to week 50 (latest available), however it looks quite flat!

Here the time series:

By quarter since 2000...

By German state / Bundesland:

Change 2021 vs 2020:

When looking at Germany's elderly mortality aged 70+, we can see that it's basically following exactly last years trajectory. Vaccination over 60 is at 87%, so at 70+ its likely >90%!

Sources & Calculations:
> docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
> docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
> docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
> docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
> github.com/USMortality/Ge…

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More from @USMortality

Ben M.

@USMortality

1 Jan

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [World]

1) Fiji, 85%
2) Germany, 84%
3) Greece, 80%
...
182) Nicaragua, 8.3%
183) Tanzania, 8.3%
184) Comoros, 0%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus #Omicron

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [Europe]

1) Germany, 84%
2) Greece, 80%
3) Italy, 77%
...
42) Liechtenstein, 25%
43) Belarus, 19%
44) Sweden, 19%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus #Omicron

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [USA]

1) Louisiana, 53%
2) Alabama, 37%
3) Hawaii, 37%
...
48) Arizona, 11%
49) Florida, 11%
50) Maryland, 10%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus #Omicron

Read 4 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

23 Dec 21

Weekly US All-cause Excess Mortality UPDATE!
> Up to week 49/2021
> 2021 Excess Deaths: +437,146 deaths (+15.6%)
> vs 318k in 2020! 37% higher!!!
🧵 Thread ⬇️⬇️⬇️
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Time series:

Age-Adjusted Mortality by year, up to current week

Read 9 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

22 Dec 21

All-Cause Mortality by Age Group [Germany]
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #coronavirus
Thread ⬇️⬇️⬇️

30-50

50-70

Read 5 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

21 Dec 21

Age-Adjusted Mortality [Germany] until week 49/2021.

> +0.4% Excess mortality so far!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Full year, if the last 3 weeks match 2020:

Time series:

Read 5 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

19 Dec 21

BIG Age-Adjusted Mortality USA Thread!

> Deaths are given per 100k inhabitants, therefore acct. for pop. growth.
> Age-adjusted rates are calculated based on 6 age bins, acct. for aging!

Up to current week (48):
> 2020: +11.0%
> 2021: +14.2%

1/n #Covid #Covid19 #Covid_19

Full years, 2015-2020.

> 2020: +14.4% above 5y baseline
> 2020, adjusted for 5 extra days. (Week 53)

If the last 4 weeks of 2021 will turn out the same as 2020, 2021 will see 18.4% excess mortality.

That'd another +4% higher than 2020!
Not a great record, considering V was supposed to end all this!

Read 8 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

15 Dec 21

All-cause Excess Mortality by Age Group [USA]

> There's currently about ~10k/+17% per week dying more than usual!
> If it's due to COVID-19, we must know vaccine status to asses the situation.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

6 age bands:

<25 years:

Read 5 tweets

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