Hello Friday

Week to date

$BTC -10.12%
$GOLD -2.15%
$EUR -0.69%
$USD +0.77%

$CAC +1.35%
$SPX -1.47%
$KOSPI -1.92%
$COMPQ -3.61%

$WHEAT -3.21%
$COPPER -2.44%
$NATGAS +2.2%
$SOYB +3.58%
$GASO +3.58%
$WTIC +5.65%
$LUMBER +6.66%
$CRB +1.88%

$TNX +14.62%

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia closed ↔️ for the week

$NIKK 28479 -0.05%
$SSEC 3580 -0.2%
$TWII 18170 -1.1%

$HSI 23493 +1.8%
$KOSPI 2955 +1.2%
$IDX 59578 +0.7%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7453 +1.3%

India ↔️
$BSE 50577 -0.05%
Europe opens ↔️

$IBEX 8741 -0.55%
$DAX 16000 -0.3%
$CAC 7241 -0.1%
$SMI 12787 -0.05%

$FTSE 7458 +0.1%
$AEX 788 +0.25%
$MOEX 3277 +0.5% 🪆
$MIB 27832 +0.66%

$VSTOXX 20.10 🔺
🇺🇸 futures ↗️ small

$ES 4703 +0.15%
$NQ 15785 +0.1%
$RTY 2206 +0.05%

$VIX 19.66
Metals with a bid ↗️ after a rough week

$GOLD 1792 +0.15%
$SILVER 22.21 +0.1%
$COPPER 4.38 +0.55%
$PLAT 971 +1.1%
$PALL 1898 +1.5%
$ALI 2967 +1.55%
$ZINC 3657 +3.0% 🚀

$GVZ 15.87 🔻
Crude ↗️ back > 80 and +24% off the 12/21 low

$WTIC 80.23 +0.9%
$BRENT 82.68 +0.85%
$GASO 2.32 +0.8%
$NATGAS 3.878 +1.75%

$OVX 36.86 🔻🔻
Grains ↔️

$WHEAT 739 -0.9%
$CORN 603 +0.05%
$SOYB 1381 -0.45%
$SUGAR 18.39 +1.0%

☕️ 232 +0.25%
$USD ↘️ in early trade

$USD 96.13 -0.2%
$EUR 1.131 +0.2%
$GBP 1.355 +0.18%
$AUD .7154 -0.08%
$USDJPY 115.83 +0.01%
$USDCHF .9214 +0.03%
$USDCAD 1.271 -0.12%
$USDRUB 75.70 -0.81% 🪆
Crypto still ↘️

$BTC 42467 -0.25%
$ETH 3254 -1.6%
UST yields ↘️ after closing at cycle highs
10/2s 84.9 BPS 🔻 MOVE 77.73 🔻

2Y .878
5Y 1.479
10Y 1.727
30Y 2.083

Global 10Ys mostly ↗️
GILT 1.155 🔻
If you've been fading the $CRB 🚀 and #BTFD in $TLT and $GLD (like me), you've been WRONG this week.

Positioning for #Quad4 in Q2

#NFP on tap today. Is 💪 priced in, or will I continue to get 🐒🔨'd?

Have a super profitable 💰 Friday and 👍 weekend!
Overall nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 400,000 jobs, according to @Reuters.
Let's see

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More from @tdarling1

9 Jan
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review - 01/09/2022

1/14

Market players returned from 🕎🎄🎉 buying value and oil ↗️ and selling growth and duration ↘️

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/14

Roiled by #FOMC minutes (nothing new) mid-week, players bid up $VXN and sold $COMPQ.

$VXN 65 +21% - $COMPQ -4.53%
$RVX +13.31% - $IWM -2.87%
$VIX 18.76 +8.94% - $SPX -1.87%

Chart: $COMPQ -4.44% (t) +2.44% (T) Image
2a/14

Chart: $VXN accelerates to the 🪓🪣 Image
Read 20 tweets
7 Nov 21
Weekly Global Macro Review 10/07/21

1/15

@hedgeye calls it #Quad2 reflation, but I rather prefer @jam_croissant’s colorful description of “endless gamma squeezes” oh so reminiscent of 🎉🍾🥳 like it’s 1999!

Let’s dig into the macro 🧮 for the week
2/15

A 🕊 #FOMC on Wednesday and a 💪🏼 #NFP report on Friday with underlying wage #inflation of 4.9% y/y was enough to ignite a rally in the $UST market ↗️

WTF, you say?
3/15

Indeed, the MOVE 66.30 ↘️ from 78.34 on Tuesday as the 10/2s curve remained 🥞 at 105

2Y .405 -9.6 bps
5Y 1.056 -12.9 bps
10Y 1.455 -10.6 bps
30Y 1.888 -5.1 bps

Chart: Despite a strong #NFP, the $TNX ↘️ -10.6 BPS to 1.455 and at critical support
Read 19 tweets
5 Nov 21
Hello Friday!

W/MTD

$NIKK +3.12%
$COMPQ +2.85%
$DAX +2.17%
$SPX +1.62%
$KOSPI +0.42%

$CRB -1.79%
$NATGAS +5.34%
$COPPER -1.09%
$CORN -1.58%
$WTIC -5.70%

$TLT -0.27%
$IEF +0.46%
$SHY +0.13%

$USD +0.23%
$GOLD +0.54%

Let's dig into the wee hour 🧮!
Asia closed with a ↘️ bias

$NIKK 29612 -0.6%
$SSEC 3492 -1.0%
$TWII 17297 +1.3% 🔺
$KOSPI 2069 -0.45%
$IDX 6582 -0.05%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7457 +0.4%

India ↔️
$BSE 60068 unch/closed
Europe opened with a ↗️ bias

$DAX 16021 -0.05%
$FTSE 7308 +0.4%
$CAC 7006 +0.25%
$AEX 822 +0.2%
$IBEX 9026 -0.15%
$MIB 27575 +0.2%
$SMI 12458 +0.45%
$MOEX 4170 -0.35% 🪆
Read 11 tweets
31 Oct 21
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review - October 2021

1/15

Crude 🚀 along with domestic equities as vol ↘️

The 10/2 curve ↗️ then ↘️ sharply with short-end 🚀

Grains ↗️ with 🌽 &🌾💪🏼

AUD 🦘🔺 and JPY 🈹 🔻

Let’s dig in to the 🧮!
2/15

Commodities led the #inflation trade higher with the $CRB +3.83% and a new cycle high.
3/15

🛢 and ⛽️ 🚀 to new cycle highs while Natty 🪓 at 6.47

$WTIC 83.57 +11.38%
$BRENT 84.38 +7.46%
$GASO 2.37 +8.22%
$NATGAS 5.43 -7.52%

Chart: $WTIC +11.38% for October is up 72% in 2021
Read 17 tweets
29 Oct 21
Hello Friday and the last trading day of October!

MTD returns
$WTIC +10.37%
$CORN +4.84%
$CRB +4.17%
$COPPER +3.07%

$GOLD +2.60%
$USD -0.97%

$COMPQ +6.92%
$SPX +6.71%
$CAC +4.36%
$DAX +2.85%
$KOSPI -1.93%
$VIX 16.53 -661 BPS

$UST2Y +22 BPS
$UST10Y +5 BPS

Let's dig into 🧮!
Asia closed ↔️ on the day #dispersion

$NIKK 28893 +0.25% 🔺
$SSEC 3547 +0.8% 🔺
$IDX 6591 +1.05% 🔺

$TWII 16897 -0.3% 🔻
$HSI 25377 -0.7% 🔻
$KOSPI 2971 -1.3% 🔻

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7324 -1.45%

India ↘️
$BSE 59124 -1.4%
Europe decidedly ↘️

$DAX 15570 -0.75%
$FTSE 7230 -0.25%
$CAC 6782 -0.35%
$AEX 805 -0.95%
$IBEX 9023 -0.05%
$MIB 26803 -0.3%
$SMI 12081 -0.6%
$MOEX 4150 -0.95% 🪆
Read 10 tweets
27 Sep 21
Hello, Monday!

🛢️ and ⛽️ looking 🔥

Let's dig into the 🧮
Asia closed ↔️

$NIKK 30240 -0.05% ♉️
$SSEC 3583 -0.85%
$TWII 17314 +0.3%
$HSI 24187 unch
$KOSPI 3234 +0.3% 🐻

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7384 +0.6%

India ↗️
$BSE 60135 +0.15%
European bourses opening ↗️

$DAX 15665 +0.85%
$FTSE 7074 +0.3%
$CAC 6679 +0.6%
$AEX 793 +0.2%
$IBEX 8935 +0.7%
$MIB 26075 +0.4%
$SMI 11824 +0.05%
$MOEX 4073 +0.85% 🪆
Read 12 tweets

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