π¨π¨ Update: Our whales ratio maintains high, but decreasing as we can see at the 30D average. However, we have detected big inflows related to whales yesterday after the dump phase. That could be a sign of dump preparation. Stablecoin reserves on exchanges keeps
falling while stablecoin supply (circulating supply) keeps lifting up. I've detect some #tether outflows from #Binance again. A total of almost $600m withdrawn from #Binance since monday morning.
Our block view is showing a bigger inflows by whales and outflows afterwards.
Anyway also here the whales ratio 30D average is declining. Indicating less whales inflows.
Checking our netflow chart we see, in general netflows are lifting up indicating more inflows happening. #Okex, #Gemini and #Bitfinex are those showing bigger netflows (more inflows than
outflows) while #Binance is showing a bigger negative netflow, indicating bigger outflows.
If that maintains in that whay and the 30D average whales ratio would declined more, I would say, the bottom is in. But as we received big inflows related to whales yesterday after our
dump phase, I think we should be careful. I will observe the whales ratio and tweet as soon as I detect certain bullish/bearish patterns.
Our funding rates are declining in trend while our leverage ratio maintains high. Also confirmed by Coinglass. Indicating more shorts are
coming in since last hour. The 24h view shows also more shorts than longs. #Bitfinex traders went long at 39.7k and have started to close those the way up. Long and shorts get liquidated yesterday. But no big volume.
Option traders are trading the 28Jan expiry. Showing a bullish
sentiment. We have a max pain of 50k right now and a total volume of almost $1.8 billion ($1.19b Calls vs. $560m Puts). So, 28Jan 50k is a must have for them.
Our next expiry is 14Jan with a max pain of 44k and a total volume of almost $640m.
The expiry has a max pain of 43k
as it has just a total volume of $300m I wouldn't consider that as an accurate indicator to predict a price level for next week.
I hope these little update gives you enough information to plan your next trade strategy.
I'm expecting some sell pressure. I'm bearish until this
week due the incoming events, but bullish from friday on. Anyway, I will trade carefully.
β’ β’ β’
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Patience is key now. I'm waiting for a pump now. Whales ratio declining, netflow almost neutral. We did a nice dump today, but the week is long. It's not like the May dump. SPX and NDX has lifted up again while DXY is falling.
#Finex longing since 39k, like they expected that. They have filled a lot of longs there. CVD also showing lower buy deltas indicating more buys than lows, but still not big.
I'm waiting for the pump signal at whales ratio. As soon as it dumps its my confirmation for the pump.
My momentum indicator also showing a pump incoming. Even I love that indicator, because it is very accurate, sometimes it fails. So, to make clear. I'm buying some dips to make some quick gains and long #BTC and #ETH also only for the swing trade.
High leverage longs rising, big buy pressure detect since our candle an hour ago. ALso Bitfinex future traders longing a lot, much more compared to shorts. Expecting to rekt the high leverage shorts first and flip later on.
More outflows than inflows detected. Whales ratio cooling down a bit, so the sell pressure will. Checking DXY it's goin to flip and dump I guess, so more up now than down. Be careful if you are trading high leverage!
Next big wall on #Bitfinex at 38.5k. Wall at 40k absorbed.
I would like to spend full-time (analyzing, trading and prepar the launch of my crypto project). I will keep offering daily analyzes for free, but offer some stuff on Substack. What monthly price would you consider as fair? And would you subscribe? Check the Substack content π
What would I offer?
- Daily detailed analyzes for crypto (short-/mid-term) and all relevant topics that could have an impact to the market
... like geopolitics and politics in general (e.g. infrastructure bill, regulation, monetary policy etc.).
- Educational content (onchain. indicators, etc)
- Podcasts (with guests) with different topics related to crypto.
- Presentation and intensive research of crypto projects like I did in the past on ANKR, COTI, etc.
π¨π¨ Just a quick market update. Since midnight more tokens from whales arrived. The netflow showing big(ger) inflows again. Whales ratio rising, even the 30D average keeps rising confirming those tokens are from whales. But at the same way, I see they prevent
lower levels than our current max pain of 42k for our expiry tomorrow. However, as mentioned in my yesterdays analysis, the expiry tomorrow has a low volume.
I still think we will retest at least our 40.5k. We need to see if we detetc more incoming inflows to exchanges. If so,
lower leves expected imo. That's still my plan. π€π
I need more time today for my analysis due I'm starting to work.
π¨π¨ Update: Today just a little market update due my update yesterday was very detailed and not big changes detected yet. However, I will tweet as soon I detect some interesting moves.
Our hourly view shows clear sign of pump preparation. Our whales ratio dumped
hard before we init the pump sending us back to 42k where we retested EMA50 and have failed several times. Yesterday we had more outflows than inflows confimed by our netflow chart. While we were close to pump they have started to send more tokens to exchanges. While the whales
ratio pumped again indicating that those tokens were from whales. The whales ratio 30d average is lifting up again. Indicating more whales tokens are arriving on exchanges, even if the volume is not that big anymore. Stablecoin supply keeps rising, stablecoin reserve on exchanges
Few hours ago we have detect a big netflow (2) indicating a big inflow to exchanges. Keep in mind, netflow means more inflows than outflows. Our 30d average (3) whales ratio here also showing a positive trend indicating more sell pressure will come from whales soon.
Our hourly view also shows the whales ratio (1) keeps high in a range between 0.75 - 1.00 also here indicating the incoming inflows are mostly coming from whales. Since last night we had more outflows than inflows, but didn't pump, even if it was a good opportunity due a low