📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: Six weeks into #Omicron, it's still a new ballgame...but case rates are already reverting to form:
acasignups.net/22/01/31/weekl…
acasignups.net/22/01/31/weekl…
As I've been expecting, while #Omicron slammed the urban blue centers of the U.S. first, it's now started shifting back towards the rural red parts of the country.
What's remarkable about this graph is how closely the partisan & vaxx rate measures hew to each other over time:
What's remarkable about this graph is how closely the partisan & vaxx rate measures hew to each other over time:
FWIW, here's what the same graph looks like when you use June 30th as the starting point. Unfortunately I haven't plugged in the vaxx-rate lines yet, but trust me, they'd hew pretty closely to the red/blue lines here as well.
This also shows that my decision to use 12/15/21 as the "start date" for the Omicron wave was pretty good--both lines started to dip slightly before then, but there was a dramatic drop in the case rate line right around 12/15 followed by the death rate line a couple weeks later.
As an example of how good the vaccines are at preventing *deaths* from Omicron, if not infection, here you go: Since 12/15, CASE rates are over 50% higher in the *most* vaxxed counties...but DEATH rates are more than TWICE as high in the *least* vaxxed:
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