Thread by @les_politiques

If you want to know why #Russia's military campaign will go unimpeded and undefeated in #Ukraine, read this article: city-journal.org/putins-bet

All #US and #NATO wars are based on air supremacy. The Russian military is 'designed to win land wars while avoiding a rout from the air.' Who wants to commit troops in #Ukraine? #Russia

"#Russia launched its invasion of #Ukraine without air supremacy simply because its army was designed to operate without it."

Invading a country after destroying it from the air is not a good military strategy for occupation. If you go to war, you have to be ready to die. Western armies are averse when it comes to casualties. #NATO #Russia

I assume also that #Russia don't want to destroy #Ukraine and, from multiple reports, there appears to be a deliberate Russian strategy to minimize civilian casualties. On the other hand the US and NATO have shown that air campaigns produce huge numbers of civilian casualties.

Wishful thinking has the upper hand in the battle to shape Western perceptions of the war in #Ukraine.
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…

"Sympathy for the outnumbered and outgunned defenders of Kyiv has led to the exaggeration of Russian setbacks, misunderstanding of Russian strategy, and even baseless claims from amateur psychoanalysts that Putin has lost his mind."

"The systematic nature of the Russian assault is at odds with speculation that #Putin has lost control...Putin's actions appear to be that of a cold & calculating adversary. Dismissing his decision to invade Ukraine as a form of madness is an excuse to ignore his motivations"