In case you prefer to read this online rather than from tweets, here’s the link to the material I will be discussing : en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_…
And before I start I finally want to thank @ZevShalev ´s @NarativTv for bringing this to my attention in the last episode of his podcast where the no fly zone is discussed very astutely by two of his guests @mhmck and @ericgarland .
I only just understood that while neither Ukraine nor Russia are in #NATOpact , there IS (naturally!) a pre-existing international document that explicitly pertains to the situation that #Ukraine and hence the World are now in. That document is known as The Budapest Memorandum.
and for those who don’t know or can’t immediately remember what OSCE is:
So moving on from that stage setting for lay readers, voici la “pièce de résistance” (and yes, pun intended), ie what is actually in the memorandum. First, a simple overall summary:
Now, while the history of how the memorandum came about it is fascinating & I encourage all readers to remind themselves of it, let’s continue on with detailing the content:
Okay, so to summarise #Ukraine and two of its neighbours gave up their past, present and future abilities to make, house or use #NuclearWeapons against an agreement from their real and potential ennemies (Russia and China) not attack them and a strong (from 🇺🇸 and 🇬🇧) & slightly
less strong (from 🇫🇷) promise from their allies that they would act in every way possible to defend them should their ennemies attack them nonetheless. Moreover it is clearly stated that the Allies can call upon the #UNSC at any point to ask for help in providing said protection
Ok, just another brief digression for any lay readers who might need reminding of what #UNSC actually is (other than the UN committee #Putin and #Nebenzia, who was then chairing it, publicly insulted by initiating war while it held a meeting on the situation in Ukraine) & does:
All very good and important Methinks but before I continue to give you my conclusion, let’s finish reading some of what that truly excellent #Wikipedia article says (NB this is mostly for specialists only, except in yellow where I highlight what might be of general interest) :
And more, sadly:
And further, up to now, even more sadly @POTUS@VP@UNAmbUS , though crucially IMHO, the vagueness of all this means you are free to reinterpret that point any way you see fit presently :
Indeed, others have already done this for you and IMHO with good justification and great skill:
FINALLY an important conclusion, testifying again that unlike #Putin’s , #Ukraine’s word can internationally be relied upon:
And now let’s sadly move on to the 1st major breach of this Memorandum, 2cd being even more sadly the present aggressive and unprovoked invasion of #Ukraine by #Putin’s Russia:
Of course many realised at the time, and those that didn’t do so now, that this Annexation, its initiation, its international reception and its consequences were eerily reminiscent, of the Annexation of the Sudetenland that eventually brought about WW2: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudetenla…
For conciseness’ sake (!), only how it was internationally dealt with will be described here:
And the now also globally infamous #Lavrov , #Putin’s foreign minister who was unanimously shunned at a Human Rights conference in Geneva last week, demonstrated already the disgusting sickness of his mind:
A little bit more that on one, to let the enormity of #Lavrov lie really sink in:
And that finally brings us to the present day crisis, into which enters also of course the remarkably clear thinking and prescient President of #Ukraine@ZelenskyyUa :
Ok, so what can we conclude from all this regarding our initial starting point, the #NOFLYZONE that @ZelenskyyUa IMHO so rightly minimally requests, from the above exposé?
Well, Methinks the following:
evidently, and quite indisputably IMHO, there exists at least one other route internationally pre-agreed route, besides the extension of @NATO, that has so far been insufficiently explored to provide #Ukraine with the help it needs. And that involves
the Allies (US, Britain and France) making use of point 4 in #BudapestMemorandum to appeal to @OSCE (which has observer status at UN) & @UN and in particular to @sec_council for IMMEDIATE assistance in imposing the #NOFLYZONE & humanitarian corridors @ZelenskyyUa is begging for.
.@USAmbUN, I thought your interventions (as I understand it carefully coordinated with @POTUS) during that faithful #UNSC meeting so monstrously desecrated by #Nebenzia were especially eloquent. . At one point you said to #Putin that he should…
he should « Send his tanks etc back. And send his diplomats to the negotiating table » . There are thankfully peace negotiations already ongoing between #Putin and @ZelenskyyUa but in the meantime however there is MUCH you, @BWoodward_UN & @NDeRiviere can do to…
to make sure the @UN does not remain a place where so much is always said and yet so little is ever done, and thus a mere « machin » as my former President Charles de Gaulle ever so disdainfully called it :
so it can no longer inappropriately and unethically exercise its right to veto (news.un.org/en/story/2022/…) when #Ukraine is discussed (car on ne peut pas être à la fois juge et partie!) or whether you systematically refer your decisions to the General Assembly.
Personally, if I were in your (for me by far too outstandingly accomplished!) shoes @USAmbUN, I would opt for former because: It’s high time the Free World taught #Putin & ses sbires lugubres qu’on ne peut pas ou plus, littéralement, se foutre du Monde sans conséquence aucune!
Beautiful @ZelenskyyUa , light & humour despite this being an hour of great darkness, perhaps our greatest yet in the last 2 weeks. So many innocent, needless deaths, so many irreversibly, traumatically injured, so much pointless damage towns & countryside! And nuclear plants!!!
Clearly, & rightly, you felt abandoned by our politicians who were probably just trying to scarper a few hours of relaxation on a still normal Sunday in the Western world, when you yourself can’t remember when you last slept or saw your family since the start if this dirty war.
However, there are Methinks ominous signs that this is all about to change rapidly, perhaps even over night. The USA has in the early evening told its citizens to leave Russia ‘immediately’. Come to think of it, it was then that we learnt poor @EmmanuelMacron spent another 2hr+
Holy shit Allison!!! THAT IS ABSOLUTELY SHOCKING BUT EXACTLY WHAT I WAS FEARING OF LATE!!! THAT’S WHY THERE’S BEEN AN ACCELERATION IN THE PACE OF THE 1/6 COMMITTEE’S WORK IMHO AND THE RELEASE OF THOSE 14 KEYWORD SEARCH TERMS WHICH ARE IN FACT @GOP CONGRESS MEMBERS….
….LAST NAMES to blast against John Eastman’s emails. I went back to find those 2 episodes of @ZevShalev@NarativTv early Nov 2021 with @GOP candidate for US (because they provide evidence of @GOP candidate for US Senate alleges a group tied to Michael Flynn is using extortion.
So his CV online says he is was a “Diplomat, Official in a United Nations Educational, Scientific or Cultural Organisation”. We have seen above why there was a need to remain discreet.
So here’s whatcI found in the online archives of the University of Utah. How it got there I really do not know!
And the original document where you can read for yourself what he was up to:
.@meduza_en I am doing as you suggest on your pined message on the #Telegram App: diffusing information about how people can still get reliable information from you. Thank you for having prepared for this SO expertly!
No indeed, @jensstoltenberg , but Ukraine can legally and freely and therefore MUST be invited and allowed to join @NATO IMMEDIATELY. Don’t pretend you don’t understand this logic. You have been rehearsing it since day 1 of your leadership of this institution, I am sure.
How many more innocent kids dead, families dessimated, dangerous environmental situations, and repeated recordings of the evidently increasingly exhausted and desperate yet ever more heroic sounding @ZelenskyyUa is it going to take for you @jensstoltenberg@POTUS and @VP….
…to do the glaringly obvious right thing? I’ve said it before and will say it once more, although you know it well: now that #Putin has unilaterally invaded Ukraine there is NO WAY he can claim as he did last in 30 years that Ukraine deciding to join @NATO is an act of agression
As Alan already knows I am of the persistent, vocal type. I must say I am increasingly disappointed by not having heard back from any of you or @guardian (to be fair I haven’t checked its full electronic pages that carefully in last week because of what’s happening elsewhere).
.@BriHReed@HamzaMSyed reported they both found doors literally closing on them when they knocked regarding #TheTrojanHorseAffair . Could it be that I’m experiencing the same? But why?? I don’t think any of you are of the easily embarrassed type and I can see from your bios…