2/ Looking at charts, #EVERFORWARD may have slightly deviated from dredged navigation channel into shallower waters after departing Baltimore.
And got stuck.
She's apparently not blocking the navigation channel, but is quite close to it.
3/ The #EverForward's AIS track is... interesting.
People may read it as: she missed a waypoint (didn't make a turn) heading from Craighill Angle into Craighill Channel.
Caveat: accidents = complicated & AIS tracks can be *imprecise* so take all guesses w/big grain of salt!
4/ UPDATE: was going through wind records (not substantial), speed (she kept speed), draught (lot of empty containers), load condition.. when... @mercoglianos with a video!
Takeaway: he also thinks #EverForward missed the turn!
Now, here's the thing...
5/ The #EverForward is aground in a shoal area of ~24 feet of water.
She lists as 42.6 feet of draught (depth below waterline).
Takeaway: VERY stuck. Getting her un-stuck & back into the 51 foot deep Craighill Channel is likely to be a *big production.*
6/ When you talk about ships aground, tides come up.
#Kremlin propagandists, after struggling early in the invasion, have found some traction.
Example? U.S. 🇺🇸 Google searches for "war crime" vs biolab" in the past 30 days. 1/
2/ As Kate, who has this excellent "participatory disinformation" concept points out, a big driver is the "just asking questions" mode of key influencers.👇👇
3/ Broken glass & twisted metal...but multiple outlets are reporting: no known casualties at this point, citing Iraq state news / Kurdistan health minister.