SmartyrNow Profile picture
Mar 19 5 tweets 6 min read
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineUnderAttack

The goal of #Ukriane membership in NATO was enshrined in its constitution by a 2019 amendment. It'll take some fancy footwork to get around (cont.)

Ukraine quashes suggestion it could drop Nato plans to avoid war theguardian.com/world/2022/feb…
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineUnderAttack

(cont.) it. #Ukraine cannot enter into an agreement contrary to its constitution without first amending it. It would be extremely difficult for a #Ukrainian president to rule by decree, given there is now (cont.)

verfassungsblog.de/would-ukraine-…
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineRussianWar

(cont.) provision for such a ruling to be challenged in the country's Constitutional Court. Amendments to #Ukraine's constitution must be passed by a two-thirds vote in its parliament. It is highly unlikely there would be public (cont.)
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineUnderAttack

(cont.) support for removing the constitutional goal of NATO membership. A week before #Russia invaded Ukraine, a survey showed 54% of citizens said they'd vote in favour of NATO membership in a referendum. It's likely much more now.

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More from @SmartyrNow

Mar 15
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineRussianWar

With no expertise whatsoever as backup, I predict this scenario:

#NATO finally realizes it has to do something & declares a no-fly (cont.)

Putin Still a Rational Man Who Won't Use Nuclear Weapons, Top Experts Say newsweek.com/putin-still-ra…
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#UkraineWar

(cont.) zone over humanitarian escape corridors. Planes are shot down. #Putin responds with a tactical nuclear strike (A-bomb the size of Hiroshima) on a military base. Within days a huge combined NATO ground force enters Ukraine, with (cont.)
#Canada
#cdnpoli
#USA
#Russia

(cont.) Kyiv the main but not lone objective. Putin, who is being restrained by a powerful Russian ultra-elite of security officials & oligarchs from using another nuke, wants to use chemical weapons on the NATO columns. The ultra-elite that (cont.)
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