Sophia Profile picture
Mar 23 9 tweets 6 min read
#Zelensky not accepting the Russian ultimatum in #Mariupol tells me that he wants to get rid of the Azov fighters, as much as possible, while lionizing them and making their dead heroes of #Ukraine.
Why would #Zelensky sacrifice what is believed to be his best and most motivated fighters in #Mariupol?
Could be he can't bring them back, could be lack of coordination, could be #Zelensky is not controlling anything in #Ukraine right now, could be he expects unlimited supply of fighters and weapons from West, could be that he can get rid of them, or all of this at the same time...
However, what this shows is that as #Zelensky and his western backers are betting on a long war, as in #Syria, they are not that preoccupied with strategy or peace right now, but only by upsetting #Russia's plans.
But we know what happened in #Syria: a determined coalition of forces methodically defeated a multitude of groups awash in external support, funding & weapons.
The same scenario is likely to happen in #Ukraine where the #US and #NATO are just happy to have as their only goal to upset #Russia's plans. Meanwhile Ukraine and its people pay the price...
But we know who won militarily in #Syria. #Ukraine
I also believe that every country surrounding #Ukraine will have territorial claims. #Ukraine, de facto, no longer exists. Unless #Zelensky does the sensible thing to accept Russia's terms of surrender, which he won't.
This is #Putin's goal in this war: #Ukraine exists as a neutral country or it no longer does.

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More from @les_politiques

Mar 26
Hunter #Biden DID help secure millions in funding for US contractor in #Ukraine specializing in deadly pathogen research, laptop emails reveal, raising more questions about the disgraced son of then vice president. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
"#HunterBiden helped secure millions in funding for Metabiota, a Dep of Def contractor specializing in research on pandemic-causing diseases.
He introduced Metabiota to corrupt Ukrainian gas firm Burisma for a 'science project' involving high biosecurity level labs in #Ukraine"
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Mar 25
This is the first time #Russia has shown explicitly what its military goals in #Ukraine are:
Donbass & demilitarization.
It is true that neutrality of Ukraine and de nazification were announced as goals, but these aren't military goals in a strict sense.
On the first two military goals, Donbass and de militarization:
It is plain that after a month of hostilities, #Ukraine has lost the #Donbass. And it is reasonable to believe that the Ukrainian army's capabilities across the country have been severely reduced.
The other goals announced by #Russia, Neutrality of #Ukraine and de Nazification, are political.
Russia can still pursue these goals even if it retreats from most occupied territory outside Donbass via two complementary paths: diplomacy and threat of invasion.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 25
I cried while reading this account from @ChrisLynnHedges on Julian and Stella's wedding. The cruelty of the UK authorities toward #Assange is unimaginable. chrishedges.substack.com/p/the-marriage…
"authorities denied Julian & Stella the use of the chapel. The ceremony was witnessed by 6 family members, including Julian & Stella’s two young sons...Two guards were stationed...A guard took a few pictures, but prison authorities told Julian & Stella they could not be...shared"
"Julian and Stella were given half an hour together in a crowded visitors hall. And then Julian, prisoner A 9379AY, was escorted back to his cell to the applause of the prisoners on his tier." #Assange
Read 20 tweets
Mar 24
Putin's bombers could devastate #Ukraine but he's holding back. Here's why newsweek.com/putins-bombers… h/t @snarwani
"#Russia's conduct in the brutal war tells a different story than the widely accepted view that Vladimir #Putin is intent on demolishing #Ukraine and inflicting maximum civilian damage—and it reveals the Russian leader's strategic balancing act."
"the damage associated with a contested ground war involving peer opponents shouldn't blind people to what is really happening: "The heart of Kyiv has barely been touched. And almost all of the long-range strikes have been aimed at military targets" #Ukraine
Read 7 tweets
Mar 24
John Mearsheimer on why the West is principally responsible for the #Ukrainian crisis economist.com/by-invitation/…
"There is no question that Vladimir Putin started the war and is responsible for how it is being waged. But why he did so is another matter...The West, and especially America, is principally responsible for the crisis which began in Feb 2014." #Ukraine
"The trouble over #Ukraine actually started at #NATO’s Bucharest summit in April 2008, when George W. Bush’s administration pushed the alliance to announce that Ukraine and Georgia “will become members”."
Read 30 tweets
Mar 13
"The main reason for the war is not hatred of Ukraine. Nor is it the case that most Russians want a restoration of the Soviet Union...The reason is exactly what Olaf Scholz called ridiculous...a genocide in eastern #Ukraine..."natyliesbaldwin.com/2022/03/the-ma…
"Many Russians found it an insult for a German chancellor to use such words in the context of mass murder in Eastern Europe – ridiculous – even if what happened in Donbass could not be considered genocide strictly by definition."
"today you will not find anything about the victims in the East in western media, only the victims of the Russian attacks. That is a huge problem, because it was the Ukrainian army shelling its own population... an omission of facts, in this case, is a lie that leads to violence"
Read 11 tweets

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