Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 25 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Hello Friday!

Last night, we hosted a surprise ๐ŸŽ‚ ๐ŸŽ‰๐Ÿพ for my wife. Sit down dinner with 30 friends and family members.
First time, long time. It felt good!

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ! Image
Week to date:

$USDJPY +2.68%
$GOLD +1.7%
$AUD +1.36%
$USD +0.58%
$EUR +0.48%

$NATGAS +12.0%
$BRENT +9.5%
$BTC +7.0%
$SILVER +3.3%
$SOYB +1.95%
$COPPER +0.05%
$LUMBER -14.2%

$NIKK +4.8%
$HSI +2.5%
$COMPQ +2.15%
$SPX +1.3%
$CAC -0.95%

$TNX 2.34 +9.0%

$VIX 21.97 -220 BPS
Asia closed the week on a ๐Ÿป ๐ŸŽถ โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28150 +0.15%
$SSEC 3212 -1.15%
$TWII 17677 -0.1%
$HSI 21405 -2.45%
$KOSPI 2730 unch
$IDX 7003 -0.65%

Australia โ™‰๏ธ โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7406 +0.25%

India ๐Ÿป โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 57309 -0.5%
Europe trading mostly โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 14340 +0.45%
$FTSE 7460 -0.05%
$CAC 6577 +0.35%
$AEX 725 +0.55%
$IBEX 8310 +0.05%
$MIB 24461 +0.25%
$SMI 12129 unch
$MOEX 2481 -3.8% ๐Ÿช† longs only session #2

$VSTOXX 31.16 โš ๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†”๏ธ

$ES 4521 unch
$NQ 14758 -0.05%
$RTY 2073 unch

$VIX 22.04 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿชฃ
GOLD and metals drifting โ†˜๏ธ

$GOLD 1957 -0.25%
$SILVER 25.89 -0.1%
$COPPER 4.737 -0.1%
$PLAT 1026 -0.5%
$PALL 2512 -0.75%
$ALI 3575 -1.35%
$ZINC 4036 -1.7%

$GVZ 24.07 ๐Ÿ”บ
Hydrocarbons trading mostly โ†˜๏ธ

$WTIC 111.03 -1.15%
$BRENT 118.24 -0.65%
$GASO 3.394 +0.15%
$NATGAS 5.396 -0.1%

$OVX 69.14 โš ๏ธ
Grains mostly โ†˜๏ธ

$WHEAT 1074 -1.0%
$CORN 745 -0.3%
$SOYB 1691 -0.5%
$SUGAR 19.39 +0.65% ๐Ÿ†• โ™‰๏ธ

$COFFEE โ˜•๏ธ 222.55 +0.3%
The ๐Ÿ’ด catches a break โ†—๏ธ vs ๐Ÿ’ต

$USDJPY 121.57 -0.62%
$EUR 1.100 +0.11%
$GBP 1.317 -0.09%
$AUD 0.751 +0.01%
$USDCHF 0.927 -0.37%
$USDCAD 1.254 +0.12%
$USDRUB 96.27 -0.77% ๐Ÿช†
#cryptocurrencies with continued ๐Ÿ’ชโ†—๏ธ

$BTC 44165 +2.6%
$ETH 3137 +2.95%
UST yields โ†—๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to 20 BPS ๐Ÿ”ป

MOVE 113.14 ๐Ÿ”บ โš ๏ธ

2Y 2.162 +0.338
5Y 2.403 +0.029 โฌ…๏ธ
10Y 2.365 +0.024 โฌ…๏ธ
30Y 2.519 +0.007

Global 10Ys โ†˜๏ธ across the ๐ŸŒ
Folks, just because $LUMBER -14% on the week is not indicative of the end of the โ™‰๏ธ in $CRB +4.3%

UST yields ๐Ÿš€

This is a #stagflationary super cycle

Back tests that exclude the 1970s are suspect

Trade accordingly

Have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day and a GREAT weekend!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Mar 27
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review 03/27/22

1/8

Nothing but #Quad3 #stagflation
as far as the ๐Ÿ‘โ€๐Ÿ—จ can ๐Ÿ‘€

Commodities โ†—๏ธ

Yields โ†—๏ธ

Equities โ†—๏ธ

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/8

The ๐Ÿ”‘ to โ†˜๏ธ prices is โ†—๏ธ prices?

Chart: The $CRB closed at a new cycle high 307.33 +5.16% and is now within striking distance of the June 2014 ๐Ÿ” Image
2a/8

Hydrocarbons put in another shift this week ๐Ÿš€
(w) = week (T) = Trend = 3 months

$BRENT +8.75% (w) +53.05% (T)
$GASO +7.15% (w) +56.35% (T)
$NATGAS + 15.45% (w) +54.55% (T) โฌ…๏ธ
$WTIC +10.5% (W) +54.35% (T)

Chart: Uncle Joe is going to bottle up Natty and sell it to the EU Image
Read 21 tweets
Mar 18
Hello #OPEX Friday!

Week to Date:

$AUD +1.15%
$USD -1.17%
$GOLD -2.1%
$SILVER -2.1%

$HSI +4.6%
$CAC +5.65%
$NIKK +5.9%
$COMPQ +6.0%

$COPPER +1.65%
$WHEAT -0.1%
$WTIC -7.0%

$TLT -2.3%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia finished the week โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 26827 +0.65%
$SSEC 3251 +1.1%
$TWII 17457 +0.05%
$HSI 21464 -0.15%
$KOSPI 2707 +0.45%
$IDX 6955 -0.15%

Australia โ†—๏ธโ™‰๏ธ
$ASX 7294 +0.6%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE closed for Holi
Europe under pressure โ†˜๏ธ at the open

$DAX 14317 -0.5%
$FTSE 7361 -0.3%
$CAC 6569 -0.65%
$AEX 707 -0.1%
$IBEX 8411 unch
$MIB 24182 +0.25%
$SMI 12033 -0.25%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 32.02 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Mar 17
Hello St. Patrick's Day! ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

Emerging market equities, commodities, and currencies are ๐Ÿป the ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ that are PE Powell and the #FOMC

Let #inflation ๐Ÿƒ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia ๐Ÿš€ for a 2nd day ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

$NIKK 26653 +3.45%
$SSEC 32115 +1.4%
$TWII 17448 +3.0%
$HSI 21501 +7.05% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2695 +1.35%
$IDX 6964 -0.4%

Australia โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ€
$ASX 8251 +1.05%

India โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ€
$BSE 57954 +2.0%
Europe a little more subdued but mostly โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 14410 -0.2%
$FTSE 7305 +0.15%
$CAC 6596 +0.1%
$AEX 707 +0.45%
$IBEX 6410 +0.45%
$MIB 24222 -0.2%
$SMI 11940 +0.35%
$MOEX ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ’ฅ

$VSTOXX 36.01 ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ€
Read 11 tweets
Mar 14
Hello Monday!

Big week

Not only are the Ides upon us, but we have both #FOMC and #OPEX to process.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Mixed ๐Ÿ‘œ in Asia as ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ and ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐Ÿ”’ โ†˜๏ธ ๐Ÿฆ 

$NIKK 25308 +0.6%
$SSEC 3224 -2.6% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
$TWII 17263 unch
$HSI 19541 -4.95% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
$KOSPI 2646 -0.6%
$IDX 6952 +0.45%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7149 +1.2%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59215 +1.2%
Europe opens with a โ†—๏ธ bias

$DAX 13872 +1.8%
$FTSE 7150 -0.05%
$CAC 6288 +0.45%
$AEX 672 -0.45%
$IBEX 8264 +1.5%
$MIB 23313 +1.2%
$SMI 11517 +0.2%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†
Read 11 tweets
Mar 13
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review 03/13/22

1/11

Focus on whatโ€™s working - long #inflation ๐Ÿ›ข, #vol ๐ŸŒŠ, and long USD ๐Ÿ’ต

Nothing says these will continue to work, given the geopolitical risk ๐Ÿ’ฅโ˜ฎ๏ธ

But, what choice do you have? Fade it?

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/11

Metals โ†”๏ธ on the week but โ™‰๏ธ -
giving you opportunity long side

$COPPER -6.3%
$PLAT -2.55%
$GOLD +0.95%
$SILVER +1.45%

Chart: $SILVER +11.95% t, +17.85% T, vol 53 (3.3%)๐Ÿ”ป
3/11

Hydrocarbons โ™‰๏ธ pulled back sharply = more opportunity long ๐Ÿ›ขโ›ฝ๏ธ

$GASO -7.35%
$NATGAS -6.0%
$WTIC -5.5%
$BRENT -4.2%

Chart: $DBC +12.28% t, +27.75% (T), vol 50 (3.1%) is over extended but a lower vol way to play commodities
Read 11 tweets
Mar 10
Hello Thursday!

Did everyone enjoy the 1-day โ™‰๏ธ in equities and rejoice in the ๐Ÿป in commodities?

Or, โ€ฆ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Trading on a one-day lag, Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 25690 +3.95% โฌ…๏ธ
$SSEC 3296 +1.2%
$TWII 17433 +2.45%
$HSI 20890 +1.25%
$KOSPI 2680 +2.2%
$IDX 6924 +0.85%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7131 +1.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 55464 +1.5%
Europe back to ๐Ÿปโ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 13489 -2.6%
$FTSE 7101 -1.25%
$CAC 6232 -2.45%
$AEX 678 -1.5%
$IBEX 8058 -1.5%
$MIB 23138 -3.15%
$SMI 114667 -0.2%
$MOEX closed ๐Ÿช†

$VSOTXX 41.50 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets

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