Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 4 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello Monday!

Post #opex
Post #NFP

With #PMIs and 3 Fed speakers beginning with Brainard on Tuesday and Bullard ๐Ÿฆ… on Thursday, today may be the quietest day of the week.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia started the week ๐Ÿ’ชโ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 27736 +0.25%
$SSEC 3283 +0.95%
$TWII 17626 -0.4% ๐Ÿ”ป
$HSI 22509 +2.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2758 +0.65%
$IDX 7116 +0.55%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7514 +0.25%

India ๐Ÿ’ชโ†—๏ธ
$BSE 60408 +1.9%
Good move to cover your ๐Ÿฉณ
Europe trading โ†”๏ธ at the open

$DAX 14397 -0.35%
$FTSE 7554 +0.2%
$CAC 6677 -0.1%
$AEX 732 +0.6%
$IBEX 25127 -0.15%
$MIB 25132 -0.1%
$SMI 12288 +0.9% โฌ…๏ธ
$MOEX 2773 +0.5% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 28.50
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures drifting โ†—๏ธ

$ES 4545 unch
$NQ 14877 +0.1%
$RTY 2088 +0.25%

$VIX 20.44 ๐Ÿ”บ
GOLD and metals with a bid โ†—๏ธ

$GOLD 1932 +0.45%
$SILVER 24.93 +1.1%
$COPPER 4.72 +0.7%
$PLAT 995 +0.7%
$PALL 2321 +2.35%
$ALI 3515 +1.9%
$ZINC 4417 +1.7%

$GVZ 19.08
Crude struggling to regain 100/๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ

$WTIC 99.92 +0.65%
$BRENT 104.94 +0.55%
$GASO 3.16 +0.15%
$NATGAS 5.737 +0.3%

$OVX 54.36
Grains with an early bid โ†—๏ธ

$WHEAT 1006 +2.25%
$CORN 747 +1.6%
$SOYB 1588 +0.35%
$SUGAR 19.52 +0.75%

$COFFEE 227.45 -0.4% โ˜•๏ธ
Brownian motion in #FX

$EUR 1.103 -0.17%
$GBP 1.3115 +0.03%
$AUD 0.751 +0.15%
$USD 98.655 +0.03%
$USDJPY 122.59 +0.09%
$USDCHF 0.9261 +0.08%
$USDCAD 1.25 -0.18%
$USDRUB 83.42 -0.63% ๐Ÿช†
#cryptocurrencies โ†”๏ธ

$BTC 45987 -0.65%
$ETH 3491 +0.5%
UST yields are โ†—๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to -6 BPS #inversion

MOVE 108.34

2Y 2.449 +0.017
5Y 2.56 +0.011
10Y 2.393 +0.018
30Y 2.456 +0.033

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
CAN 2.438 +0.037
As we start the week, I will be ๐Ÿ‘โ€๐Ÿ—จ long opportunities in XLRE, XLU, XLP, XLV, NOBL, EWA, EWC

Europe looking like one big ๐Ÿฉณ
EWQ EWN EWG EWI

Go #Tarheals #UNC ๐Ÿ€!

Have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Apr 6
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

As if the relentless โ†—๏ธ in yields was not enough, #Brainard reminded participants that the #FOMC is hell bent on removing the ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฅฃ

What ๐Ÿซ lurks today?

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
๐Ÿชฆ ๐Ÿงน in China is over and Asia closed โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27350 -1.6%
$SSEC 3284 unch
$TWII 17522 -0.6%
$HSI 22016 -2.15% ๐Ÿซ
$KOSPI 2735 -0.9%
$IDX 7104 -0.6%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7490 -0.5%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 59666 -0.85%
Europe opens โ†˜๏ธ for a 2nd day ๐Ÿซ

$DAX 14211 -1.5%
$FTSE 7565 -0.6%
$CAC 6559 -1.3%
$AEX 726 -1.35%
$IBEX 8534 -1.05%
$MIB 24552 -1.65%
$SMI 12326 -0.4%
$MOEX 2668 +0.2% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 29.16 ๐Ÿ”บ
Read 11 tweets
Apr 5
Hello Tuesday!

$HYG +0.75%
$WTIC +4.05%
$TSLA +5.5%

As call buyers ๐Ÿ‹ the ๐Ÿฉณ

Is this deep #Quad4?
Asking for a friend reading a themes deck in the desert

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
China closed for Qingming Festival, also known as Tomb Sweeping Day

$NIKK 27788 +0.2%
$SSEC closed
$TWII 17625 -0.4%
$HSI 22502 closed
$KOSPI 2759 +0.05%
$IDX 7148 +0.45%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7528 +0.2%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 60397 -0.35%
Europe trading โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 14555 +0.25%
$FTSE 7548 -0.15%
$CAC 6704 -0.4%
$AEX 742 +0.55%
$IBEX 8577 +0.65% โฌ…๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
$MIB 25201 +0.1%
$SMI 12345 +0.05%
$MOEX 2720 -2.4% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 26.73
Read 11 tweets
Apr 3
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review - 04/03/2022

1/13

Why is #Quad4 consensus for Q2?

Because everyone KNOWS that both growth and inflation are โ€œun-comp-ableโ€ vs Q2 2021

And right on cue, #Quad4 deflationary signals appeared this week โš ๏ธ
2/13

Important note on trade (t) and Trend (T) this week

t = trade = 1-mo price change is comping against the March 7 commodity peak

T = Trend = 3-mo price change in comping against the #SPX ATH
3/13

The UST curve went from ๐Ÿฅž to ๐Ÿ™ƒ as the 2Y โ†—๏ธ +18 BPS and the 10Y โ†˜๏ธ -10 BPS to #inversion -7.2 BPS

Chart: 10/2s curve
Read 21 tweets
Apr 1
Hello Friday at the 1st day of April!
๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฐ

Since there's no trading allowed on the Fool's ๐Ÿƒ Day, let's review the month-end and quarter-end ๐Ÿงฎ!
๐ŸŒŠ rough seas, for sure, but equity volatility declined into month-end (m) but remained ๐Ÿ›— for the quarter (q)

$VIX 20.81 -9.34 pts (m), +3.59 puts (q)
The $NIKK +4.88% (m), -3.37% (q) was the best performing developed market

$SPX +3.6% (m), -4.95% (q)
$COMPQ +3.4% (m), -9.1% (q)
$CAC +0.02% (m), -6.9% (q)
$DAX -0.3% (m), -9.25% (q)
$HSI -2.87% (m), -5.7% (q)
$KOSPI +2.15% (m), -7.4% (q)
$SSEC -6.05% (m), -10.65% (q) โฌ…๏ธ
Read 17 tweets
Mar 31
Hello Thursday and the last day of March 2022!

Month to Date
$NATGAS +27.35%
$BRENT +13.6%
$COPPER +6.65%
$CORN +6.85%
$CRB +12.0%

$BTC +9.4%
$GOLD +2.0%
$USD +1.2%

$NIKK +5.65%
$SPX +5.2%
$COMPQ +5.0%
$DAX +1.0%
$SSEC +5.65%

$TLT -5.65%
$SHY -1.4%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed March with a whimper โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27821 -0.75%
$SSEC 3252 -0.45%
$TWII 17693 -0.25%
$HSI 21997 -1.05%
$KOSPI 2558 +0.4% โฌ…๏ธ
$IDX 7071 +0.25% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7500 -0.2%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 58664 -0.05%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ for a 2nd day

$DAX 14590 -0.1%
$FTSE 7569 -0.15%
$CAC 6724 -0.25%
$AEX 731 -0.45%
$IBEX 8532 -0.2%
$MIB 25273 -0.1%
$SMI 12253 +0.1%
$MOEX 2640 +5.0% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 28.10 ๐Ÿ”บ
Read 11 tweets
Mar 30
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

I've moved on, but the ๐Ÿซ hasn't

With IVOL/RVOL in $SPX of -33, what could possibly go wrong?

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Ex-Japan, with its own unique set of problems, Asia closed broadly โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 28027 -0.8%
$SSEC 3267 +1.95%
$TWII 17741 +1.1%
$HSI 22213 +1.3%
$KOSPI 2747 +0.2%
$IDX 7053 +1.0%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7514 +0.65%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 58583 +1.1%
The "hope of โ˜ฎ๏ธ" rally in Europe gives way to some selling โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14625 -1.35%
$FTSE 7527 -0.15%
$CAC 6721 -1.05%
$AEX 732 -0.45%
$UBEX 8545 -0.8%
$MIB 25117 -0.75%
$SMI 12262 -0.5%
$MOEX 2474 +2.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 26.58 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets

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