bob coleman Profile picture
Apr 19 11 tweets 6 min read
1/ The #PhysicalVersusPaper discussion and the effect on silver’s price can be a heated topic. Part of the last “#spaces” event we touched on various #derivative products constructed by BofA and JP Morgan.
2/ Expanding on this topic where #Silver (the actual metal) is used as a ploy to create publicly traded #investments, let’s look at 2 more traded #securities.
3/ Just like buying processed food, what is on the front of the box may not necessarily have anything to do with the actual ingredients listed on the back label. Remember to read the #nutritional facts in the prospectus before consuming.
4/ The Invesco DB Silver (Fund). Sounds harmless and wholesome. For a silver #investor owning a fund with the word silver feels like you are eating organic and healthy. However, look again. The fund seeks to track changes,
5/ whether positive or negative, in the level of the DBIQ Optimum Yield Silver Index Excess Return™ (DBIQ Opt Yield Silver Index ER or Index) plus the interest income from the Fund's holdings of primarily US Treasury securities and money market income less the Fund's expenses.
6/ This isn’t your mama’s home cooking. The fund takes US government #Treasuries and agency debt, collateralizes them and uses that leverage to buy silver futures. What could possibly go wrong?
7/ What income the fund receives from the debt securities is eaten away from the .76% expense ratio. Here is the performance since inception.
8/ Next down the perishable food isle is the Credit Suisse X-Links Silver Shares Covered Call ETN. At least the name of the fund drives enough curiosity to read the warning label.
9/ SLVO offers the returns of a #CoveredCall strategy comprising long shares of a #physical silver #ETF (#SLV) and short 1-month call options with a strike price of 106% of SLV. With a .65% expense ratio and not much tax efficiency on the #income, let’s look at the performance.
10/ Obviously, this is not investment advice. Buying milk after the sell by date, no matter how organic it sounds, usually is not a good idea. Yet these funds hold #millions of #dollars and effect the price action of silver with their large derivative exposures.
11/ The silver paper markets react to many #trading #strategies on a daily basis. These are just 2 more that create whipsaws in the paper price.
Will discuss this and much more in the #Spaces event today.

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More from @profitsplusid

Mar 31
1/ Large derivative positions building up in Precious metals. Learn More. This is a follow up to thread below.
2/ After doing further research, I believe Ted Butler’s assumption in his article that the large Bank of America derivative position is likely a massive precious metals lease and short sale is incorrect.
3/Wall Street always takes full advantage of a bull market. According to Bank of America, they have a full department for selling derivative products. In fact, this is at the top of their website.
Commodities
Leveraging every facet of global commodities
business.bofa.com/en-us/content/…
Read 12 tweets
Mar 30
Have had a lot of questions about a recent article regarding the OCC report – 4th quarter - Quarterly Report on Bank Trading and Derivatives Activities on precious metals. Article is here. silverseek.com/article/anothe…
Looking for more information on the big rise in Precious Metal (Silver, Platinum, Palladium) notional derivative values over the past year. Specifically, the big jump came with Bank of America. This category includes Silver, Platinum, and Palladium. See below. Image
The OCC report can be found here.
occ.gov/publications-a…
Read 7 tweets
Mar 11
1/ Ever wonder how Commodities melt up in price? Or How prices of #Gold and #Silver blowout between New York and London? #LME

Please retweet to help others learn.
2/ For many buying physical #preciousmetals, the London price is the primary market for pricing transactions. Although the New York Commodity Exchange (#COMEX) is widely reported and publicly available, this is a derivatives market
3/ How these markets differ can be defined by their users. London’s market provides a pricing mechanism for the physical investor, producer, user, fabricator, etc around the world. The Comex was designed as a hedging market.
Read 18 tweets
Mar 4
1/ Are any financial assets safe anymore?

As we have seen with Canada and now with Russia. Governments can enforce rules that can affect depositors or investors directly or indirectly.
Individuals trying to manage risk need to understand the concept of force majeure.
2/ Holding wealth on paper is convenient and efficient in times of calmness and certainty. However, over the last 2 years individuals, investors, and depositors have been thrust into a controlled and uncertain environment.
3/ The recent reaction by Canada to shut depositors from their bank accounts was a complete shock. The broad sanctions on Russia and their Central bank have been far reaching with direct and indirect consequences to investors and their savings. War is ugly and horrible.
Read 26 tweets
Jan 14
Continuing the discussion on whether Reserves or Dollars are locked within the system when the Fed does QE purchases and how QE inflates asset prices.
Here is an interview with Lorie Logan, VP Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.mercatus.org/bridge/podcast…
"When the Fed or the desk purchases securities from our counterparties (Primary Dealers), it raises the price of these securities and then lowers their yields."
"And those counterparties who sold securities to us may then rebalance their own portfolios to invest in other assets, lowering yields broadly, and then easing financial conditions."
Read 4 tweets
Jan 11
2/11 There are many smart individuals on Twitter that may not agree on everything. However, one thing we can agree on is that the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet to almost $9 Trillion.
3/11 Is this the reason why asset prices have melted up over the years?

Some will say these reserves on the Fed’s balance sheet are locked up and can not be spent. Others will argue the reserves are the big reason for inflated asset prices.
Read 13 tweets

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