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May 13 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/ Agree on the "unimaginable levels of hubris &. incompetence" point but nobody is going to call for #Starmer to go. All who you'd expect to do that are feting him for his "integrity". Lansman has even said the left shld defend his position.
2/ There've been many opportunities to depose #starmer in the last 2 yrs:
The withdrawal of whip from JC, Hartlepool defeat, etc.

The SCG has now closed ranks around him. Hard to see a legit pretext for challenge from the right, other than "he is useless"
3/ Moreover, the role of #Labour leader is now a poisoned chalice for a careerist. The party is on course for defeat at nxt GE which may be sooner rather than later. Does #Labour's next leader want to head into an electoral defeat & be branded a loser before they've got going?
4/4 No. Far more likely is that #Starmer will be made to own his defeat at the nxt GE. However disastrous the result, he'll be heralded as a "Kinnock" who turned the party around, with the defeat blamed on "Long Corbyn". They are getting excuses in already.

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More from @TheCosmosUK1

@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
May 13
1/ There's a real chance that things will get even WORSE for #Labour in the coming months. Imagine #Starmer is fined for 1 or other alleged lockdown breach but isn't challenged 4 reasons set out below. Party wld go into nxt GE as a laughing stock with lame 🦆 leader...
2/ All sensible polling analysis looks at trends. It's now been confirmed that #Starmer has led #Labour backwards in the 2022 local elections. We predicted underperformance. This was easy because of the trend of by-election losses under #Starmer. skwawkbox.org/2022/05/13/bre…
3/ But it gets worse for #Labour. Under #Starmer, the party has consistently performed worse than it did under Corbyn (forget polls, think real elections). According to this trend #Labour doing worse in the nxt GE than it did in 2019 is a real possibility.
Read 10 tweets
@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
May 12
1/ If #Ukraine is winning this war, why are so many additional weapons necessary and where are those already supplied going? rumble.com/v14fh3w-the-us… #ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar
2/ Also interesting is the sheer level of investment the US is pouring into weapons for #Ukraine implies that that the #UkraineRussiaWar is in fact strategically very important for the United States. It is a proxy-war that the USA literally cannot afford to lose. But why?
3/ The #Ukraine is not on its own strategically important for the Unites States, nor are its resources. However, the primacy of the United States dollar as the world's reserve currency will not survive a Russian victory in #Ukraine. #UkraineRussiaWar. This is because...
Read 11 tweets
@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
May 12
1/ With those who are what they appear to be, there's less to analyse & expose than there is of people who pretend to be something they're not. That #Johnson is a liar is part of his brand. Their sense of entitlement an explicit part of their ideology #partygate #beergate
2/ With regards to #Partygate/#Partygatefines is it really news that the dishonest, self-serving #Johnson Tory Government broke the rules they themselves and expected others to follow? #beergate
3/ More frightening, perhaps are those that package awful deeds in moral doublespeak - as if they are expressions of higher purpose. One example would be dressing up the disproportionate targeting of anti-war Jews as fighting "antisemitism"... #ItWasAScam #Partygate #beergate
Read 5 tweets
@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
May 9
1/ A thread on why this is a stupid idea:
Starmer doesn't want to quit.

What if #Starmer is found to have broken the and fined and decides he doesn't want to stand down? That would look even worse.
2/ Fines aren't the only penalty for breaching lockdown laws, so it is feasible that #Starmer can be found to have broken the law but not fined. inews.co.uk/news/uk/covid-….
His reputation would be ruined but would he still stay on to drag Labour down at the next election.
3/ If he is fined and has to resign, #Labour will have to run a leadership contest. There could be a long contest and a new leader won't have time to establish themselves before an election.
Read 6 tweets
@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
Feb 4
1/ Been an awful week for #Tories in Westminster but in real elections in the real world #Labour has been crashing and burning. OK, so local by elections aren't individually representative of national trends...
2/ But taken together, the results show a clear swing AGAINST #Labour that isn't being picked up in opinion polls between them.
If you have to choose, go by the actual results cast in real elections.
3/ How to explain the discrepancy? Could be that a lot of the Tory "don't knows" who've given #Starmer his lead are in fact voting Tory when they turn out. Of course, young people are traditionally more likely to vote #Labour and less likely to vote in by-elections. That said...
Read 17 tweets
@TheCosmosUK Profile picture
Feb 3
1/ Succinct but fair analysis. The UK's response to the 2008 crash - cutting back the state and using quantitative easing to fund a massive debt bubble failed. The so called "recovery" (which benefited ]private finance more than people) was also a bubble that's now about to pop.
2/ Quantitative easing has been maxed out (if it continues, we'll be in negative interest rates). So now the Government is raising interest rates while private debt is at historic highs. Can the economy afford this?
3/ Remember that QE lasted far longer than originally intended, perhaps from fears over what interest rate rises would mean for peoples' ability to pay down debt. Normally, in difficult economic circumstances the Government would drop interest rates to boost spending.
Read 5 tweets

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