It is a concerning since we may end up seeing either multiple pandemics together or relay race as new organisms try jump into humans ctd)
101/n Whie people like all of us were fighting #Covid , #Hepatitis in kids we all missed how 1284 people got #monkeypox with lethality of 4.5 % ctd)
102/n Interesting paper on efficacy of soaps shows that 1 min hand washing to be effective in cell free virus but not as much in intracellular virus doi.org/10.1016/S0166-…
Ctd)
103/n While the question is great I think we are benefiting by - better media attention & better diagnosis because sequencing data shows so BUT the host issues caused by #Covid19 is a question that can put a spanner into the idea ctd)
104/n cautious BUT very active - 1) Immeditate quarantine of all at risk 2) #Ring vaccination of the contacts 3) creating international coordination to get vaccine doses to everyone exposed 4) creating media attention 5) informing HCW 6) masking @DrEricDing@CT_Bergstrom ctd)
105/n In the US, the two-dose live Jynneos vaccine is licensed to prevent monkeypox, they have over 1,000 doses of that available, and expect that level to ramp up very quickly in the coming weeks as the company provides more doses BUT that's 500 cases ONLY ctd)
106/n There is another smallpox vaccine licensed in the US, ACAM2000, that could be used to prevent monkeypox, and US has more than 100 million doses.ACAM2000 is an older-generation smallpox vaccine that has some potential significant side effects with it. Ctd)
107) So what happens in the next few weeks is very important as companies ramp up production, but we can land up in soup at 2 scenarios a) we allow the virus to establish animal niches BEFORE we can break the chain by vaccines b) we fail to apply vaccine + strategy ctd)
108/n There have been questions asked about why the WHO has not supported isolation now when they supported it earlier . One reason given was CFR is higher in Congo clade BUT ctd) ttps://twitter.com/baconsauerkraut/status/1528818733686239232?s=20&t=lo2jMxuzTIf7SUjLObYFcQ
109/n We need to realize that the huge population base may end up to cause more deaths . 1% of 300 million may be more than 6% of smaller population at risk ctd)
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed 111/n While the divergence is not enough to find huge mutation into new form there is impression that these SNP's are small changes which accumulate to allow enough changes in the virus to adapt.
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed 112/n @vmuecke_k posted how couple of weeks ago nobody thought of #monkeypox when a lesion like this presented in University Hospital. Even in Congo the misdiagnosis was 50% helping all health care workers * & general public know what to look for is very important .Ctd)
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed@vmuecke_k 113/n In 1949 the last case of small pox was found in US , that means only 72 yr + will have been vaccinated/ exposed , that leaves a large population at risk , @RolandBakerIII has posted 21% , even cross Immunity to others pox viruses may not help. ctd)
114/n )At 3/n & 4/n we discussed how #COVID19 is suppressing T cell responses along with hypocomplementemia causing immunocompromised status, now we know that #monkeypox is able to hide from T cells & suppress recognition @fitterhappierAJ
doi: 10.1073/pnas.0800589105.
115/n In 12/n modeling study from Congo showed R0 of 2 @fitterhappierAJ is quoting the R0 of the Nigerian clade HOWEVER we both agree that the T cell depression may cause this to change , let me remind of #mucor outbreak in India during #Delta wave ctd)
119/n @AndrewALover has put a good thread from old history BUT the important point here is that 18% patients may go asymptomatic, they will therefore lead to poorer detection rate & progression of the disease .
120/n Over 200 people being monitored for monkeypox in Massachusetts , USA from the 1st patient , most of them health care workers who inadvertently came in contact BUT also relatives & friends reports NYT .
121/n For my Australian friends where mass smallpox vaccination was never used and only an estimated 10% of Australians have been vaccinated, that too most above 70 yrs age . All in all Australia may see a bigger outbreak since it may possibly have lesser protection 😢😢 ctd)
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Short🧵How #Covid is killing Health Care Workers ?? Today I met Mrs Tandon.Her husband a 52/M physician had #Covid during #Delta wave which had injured his lungs BUT he came back home & started his private practice.He remained fine till 10 days ago when he made a short trip ctd)
2/n He felt weak on returning & wanted rest .Next day he was feeling body ache , joint pain & slight fever.He tested & found his platelets ⬇️to 23,000 .Further testing showed Dengue-ve.He started feeling dyspnea & was shifted to hospital where his oxygen suddenly plunged.ctd)
3/n Testing Covid+ve,he was already in ICU when the results came & must have infected many.CT very bad.Was shifted on ventilation support but couldn't survive next 24 hrs.3rd case I have heard in last 48 hrs of ⬇️platelets,bodyache & sudden decompensation mimicking Dengue.ctd)
🧵 on why the past experiences aren't good enough #monkeypox disease was first confirmed in humans in 1970.When the outbreak happened most thought it will be a few cases based on earlier outbreaks BUT some of us believed otherwise. See the old tweet ctd)
2/n We were plain lucky to have the West African clade of #monkeypox spread and not the #Congo clade spread , had that happened those who are lecturing is would have been scurrying for cover. Whether it is #Nigeria or it is Globally #monkeypox has broken a lot of barriers.ctd)
3/n with massive undercounting globally we are at 70,000+ cases in 102 new countries.All with availability of #Vaccine & #Tecovirimat in many countries. It would have been thousands more - so even if anyone has experienced the past- it doesn't help - the field has changed ctd)
Short🧵 on the story of the swollen toe - A known of mine phoned 2 days ago, their 19 yr old daughter had suddenly developed a swelling in toe - 2 hrs earlier along with sore throat & slight fever. On my urging they did a rapid test-ve, the RT-PCR ordered for next day -ve ctd)
2/n The fever subsided with naproxen but thereafter neded paracetamol to keep it under check. The mother did not want further testing currently BUT the kid would be in isolation because they have a 90 yr old grandmother living with them .They will watch carefully &masked ctd)
3/n while I was reassuring the mother that it is okay to watch carefully and even though it is most probably #Covid toe , we just need to be very careful she said something and I quote " Dr I am fed up ,this girl is getting fever every 5 weeks ,nothing seems to help" ctd)
Short 🧵 On Persistence of #Ebola - Patient infective over 500 days & spreads infection by Sex- So with the risk of spill over we may see repeated outbreaks. In 2016, Guinea had recorded 3 probable, 7 confirmed cases, of which 6 were admitted at an Ebola treatment unit ctd)
2/n 4 patients died in the community ,4 patients in the ETU.Fatality ratio among probable & confirmed cases in this cluster in Guinea was 80% (8/10).They were closely related to viruses from the 2014–2016 outbreak, ruling out a new introduction from an animal reservoir ctd)
3/n Epi investigation revealed that case 1 had sexual intercourse with a male #Ebola survivor who reported sexual abstinence after discharge from Nov 2014 -August 2015 as recommended. From Sep 2015, he had occasional intercourse with various partners, including case 1 ctd)
Short 🧵 on why some people are showing resistance to acceptance of risk of #Covid. This is a thread not on those who have fallen to misinformation BUT on those who initially took good care, till the vaccines came through - Suddenly become extremely careless & don't mask ctd)
2/n When the pandemic started a physician with army background told me - You know when do maximum casualties take place usually and went to explain & I quote" the maximum casualties dont happen during the 1st 2-3 days when the armies face each other - both sides dig into - ctd
3/n their own bunkers or hide from shelling - The moment they find they are being targeted they jump from one place to another or scurry for cover.After 10 days weariness comes in & with it comes false sense of security or overconfidence in your gear - Ctd)
Short🧵Why I think #Covid can cause existential consequences for Human Race ?? For any species to continue it has to procreate,that depends on fertility of both men & women.We started getting edgy couple of months ago.Here's the original ctd
Ctd3) We know that the number of ova in a woman is fixed at birth.The body doesn't produce more ova.Only a fixed number mature rest die off , maturation needs hormones & lots of other factors. If either hormones or reservoir is reduced #risk ctd) my.clevelandclinic.org/health/article….