After touching 175 we will try and keep everyone updated about #monkeypox, will post the 175 first followed by the updates all the way till 200 .Here we go
176/n @karmonyk has graciously shared a story, these delays have cost the patient the chance to prevent a bad outcome , vaccine best within 4 days and works all the way till 2 weeks , we've lost that window period , we are up for a bad outcome if we treat #monkeypox this way ctd)
177/n As Argentina logs up its second case, Mexico joins the league logging its first one ctd)
178/n The idea that Tecovirimat is available in US therefore no need to fear isn't good since it can't be used in young & secondly it works best when used within 4/ 5 days , just because we have antibiotics doesnt mean we should get a salmonella infection ,also resistance ctd)
179/n As Ecuador becomes the next country in South America as need to heed scientists who predicted #monkeypox pandemic years ago. This is the beginning plague is the next in the list ctd)
180/n We expect monkeypox virus to evolve slowly with perhaps 1-2 changes per genome per year out of a 200,000 nucleotide genome( DNA virus) . For Covid( RNA) we've seen ~25 changes per genome per year , however small changes seen in #monkeypox genome are as important ctd)
181) a paper last year looking at genomic sequencing data over a long period of time found how the areas of intense migration were at higher risk of #monkeypox, political stability is important ctd) doi.org/10.1038%2Fs415…
182/n @alexmeshkin reports that they are in process of validating a saliva based PCR assay for MonkeyPox , should launch in two weeks (depending on CDC policies ).Whether we will have enough virus in saliva to make it sensitive is a question🤞🏾Hope it is ctd)
@alexmeshkin 183/n In 176/n we see a case where probable #monkeypox was mismanaged,@UKHSA seemingly is being overwhelmed by calls, we agree that there may be many who are getting paranoid BUT there are many being missed , that's what a pandemic on a pandemic doing @dgurdasani1 ,@chrischirp
184/n WHO’s Dr. Rosalind Lewis said in Geneva “there is no need for mass vaccination” vaccination against #monkeypox “contact tracing, investigation, & isolation” is required BUT if we are doing contact tracing like 176/n & getting overwhelmed like 183/n we'll soon need it ctd.
185/n Important study #monkeypox firstly it describes women , household cluster outside UK , finds that PCR can remain +ve for a long time just like #COVID19( whether infective or not after the scabs have dried is not known, describes an abscess ctd)
DOI:doi.org/10.1016/S1473-…
186/n It also describes how at day 6 vaccine was not able to prevent infection in a health care worker who developed it at day 18 , so those who are overconfident on vaccines need to step back and pause for a moment, nothing is perfect ,efforts to prevent infection are imp ctd)
187/n The patients all had #monkeypox in the upper respiratory tract so respiratory tract dissemination is important #airborne,#N19 important , oral brincidofovir started at day 7 ( delayed diagnosis), none could complete course ( hepatotoxicity??)& HCW got conjunctivitis Ctd)
188/n seemingly just like #COVID19 PCR of #monkeypox remains positive for a much longer time though we will have to confirm whether the patient was still infective enough ctd)
189/n there was a relapse post sex in a patient with viremia showing the #monkeypoxvirus hiding in testis & not finding the virus in early samples just like #covid when virus numbers may be lesser ctd)
190/n It also describes prompt resolution of #monkeypox viremia within 48 hrs of #Tecovirimat with 5 day course good enough but 2 weeks better to allow immunity to kick in & prevent rebound just like #paxlovid in #COVID19 ctd)
191/n the study didn't find any large complications BUT whether it will happen now we never know because we feel #COVID19 has played havoc with immunity, still fingers crossed 🤞🏾ctd)
192/n As of 28 May 2022 at 2 p.m., 16 confirmed cases of Monkeypox have been reported in France (Source: SpFrance): 12 in Ile-de-France, 1 in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes and 2 in Occitanie and 1 case in Normandy. The next update will take place on Monday, May 30. ctd)
193/n what was earlier thought of as pretty close to the 2018 Nigerian outbreak of #monkeypox seems now to SOME virologists enough differences to postulate the chance of an intermediate host
194/n Germany has signed contract for 40,000 doses of Bavarian Nordic’s Imvanex .Doses should be delivered in first 2 weeks of June.Another 200,000 doses for later.This is huge & agree with @Karl_Lauterbach & @kakape on this assessment, speed trumps perfection in emergency ctd)
195/n UAE announces 3 new cases of monkeypox.Authorities urged residents to take preventive measures while travelling and in gatherings & infected / close contacts to undergo 21 days of quarantine, meanwhile many European countries havent enforced quarantine. Ctd)
196/n As of today, the monkeypox outbreak (at a total of 507 suspected cases) is about to pass the total of 511 suspected cases in the 1997 DRC outbreak, which @WHO flagged as a notable shift to human-to-human transmission , we have become much more tolerant due to #covid ctd)
197/n CDC raises level of travel alert from L1 to L2 over #monkeypox
198/n THE Nigeria Centre for Disease Control,has reported FIRST DEATH ( Immunocompromised patient),21 confirmed cases of Monkeypox from nine states & the Federal Capital Territory,FCT.This came as it activated Monkeypox Emergency Operations Centre & animal surveillance ctd)
199/n Pakistan says it doesn't have any case of #monkeypox rubbishing claims in media HOWEVER accepts that they dont have testing capabilities and will have to send samples elsewhere, they still have been a reservoir of polio globally, another disease ready to be added 🤔
Ctd)
200/n As Afghanistan gets 2 cases at the borders with Pakistan and Iran , a word of appreciation for Dr @BasgozNesli who diagnosed 1st case of #monkeypox in USA . We have put up 200 updates now . If you've liked feel free to share & like .🙏will add more tomorrow 🙏🙏
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Short🧵How #Covid is killing Health Care Workers ?? Today I met Mrs Tandon.Her husband a 52/M physician had #Covid during #Delta wave which had injured his lungs BUT he came back home & started his private practice.He remained fine till 10 days ago when he made a short trip ctd)
2/n He felt weak on returning & wanted rest .Next day he was feeling body ache , joint pain & slight fever.He tested & found his platelets ⬇️to 23,000 .Further testing showed Dengue-ve.He started feeling dyspnea & was shifted to hospital where his oxygen suddenly plunged.ctd)
3/n Testing Covid+ve,he was already in ICU when the results came & must have infected many.CT very bad.Was shifted on ventilation support but couldn't survive next 24 hrs.3rd case I have heard in last 48 hrs of ⬇️platelets,bodyache & sudden decompensation mimicking Dengue.ctd)
🧵 on why the past experiences aren't good enough #monkeypox disease was first confirmed in humans in 1970.When the outbreak happened most thought it will be a few cases based on earlier outbreaks BUT some of us believed otherwise. See the old tweet ctd)
2/n We were plain lucky to have the West African clade of #monkeypox spread and not the #Congo clade spread , had that happened those who are lecturing is would have been scurrying for cover. Whether it is #Nigeria or it is Globally #monkeypox has broken a lot of barriers.ctd)
3/n with massive undercounting globally we are at 70,000+ cases in 102 new countries.All with availability of #Vaccine & #Tecovirimat in many countries. It would have been thousands more - so even if anyone has experienced the past- it doesn't help - the field has changed ctd)
Short🧵 on the story of the swollen toe - A known of mine phoned 2 days ago, their 19 yr old daughter had suddenly developed a swelling in toe - 2 hrs earlier along with sore throat & slight fever. On my urging they did a rapid test-ve, the RT-PCR ordered for next day -ve ctd)
2/n The fever subsided with naproxen but thereafter neded paracetamol to keep it under check. The mother did not want further testing currently BUT the kid would be in isolation because they have a 90 yr old grandmother living with them .They will watch carefully &masked ctd)
3/n while I was reassuring the mother that it is okay to watch carefully and even though it is most probably #Covid toe , we just need to be very careful she said something and I quote " Dr I am fed up ,this girl is getting fever every 5 weeks ,nothing seems to help" ctd)
Short 🧵 On Persistence of #Ebola - Patient infective over 500 days & spreads infection by Sex- So with the risk of spill over we may see repeated outbreaks. In 2016, Guinea had recorded 3 probable, 7 confirmed cases, of which 6 were admitted at an Ebola treatment unit ctd)
2/n 4 patients died in the community ,4 patients in the ETU.Fatality ratio among probable & confirmed cases in this cluster in Guinea was 80% (8/10).They were closely related to viruses from the 2014–2016 outbreak, ruling out a new introduction from an animal reservoir ctd)
3/n Epi investigation revealed that case 1 had sexual intercourse with a male #Ebola survivor who reported sexual abstinence after discharge from Nov 2014 -August 2015 as recommended. From Sep 2015, he had occasional intercourse with various partners, including case 1 ctd)
Short 🧵 on why some people are showing resistance to acceptance of risk of #Covid. This is a thread not on those who have fallen to misinformation BUT on those who initially took good care, till the vaccines came through - Suddenly become extremely careless & don't mask ctd)
2/n When the pandemic started a physician with army background told me - You know when do maximum casualties take place usually and went to explain & I quote" the maximum casualties dont happen during the 1st 2-3 days when the armies face each other - both sides dig into - ctd
3/n their own bunkers or hide from shelling - The moment they find they are being targeted they jump from one place to another or scurry for cover.After 10 days weariness comes in & with it comes false sense of security or overconfidence in your gear - Ctd)
Short🧵Why I think #Covid can cause existential consequences for Human Race ?? For any species to continue it has to procreate,that depends on fertility of both men & women.We started getting edgy couple of months ago.Here's the original ctd
Ctd3) We know that the number of ova in a woman is fixed at birth.The body doesn't produce more ova.Only a fixed number mature rest die off , maturation needs hormones & lots of other factors. If either hormones or reservoir is reduced #risk ctd) my.clevelandclinic.org/health/article….