Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Aug 30, 2022 27 tweets 14 min read Read on X
Ex US National Security Council official confirms citing "multiple former senior U.S. officials" that Russia & Ukraine agreed in April on peace deal framework of #Russia withdrawing to pre-war positions & #Ukraine promising not to seek #NATO membership. Deal was stopped by UK PM.
Fiona Hill & Angela Stent: "According to multiple former senior U.S. officials we spoke with, in April 2022, Russian and Ukrainian negotiators appeared to have tentatively agreed on the outlines of a negotiated interim settlement..." #Ukraine #Ukraine️war foreignaffairs.com/russian-federa…
"...Russia would withdraw to its position on February 23, when it controlled part of the Donbas region and all of Crimea, and in exchange, Ukraine would promise not to seek NATO membership and instead receive security guarantees from a number of countries." #Ukraine️war #Ukraine
"Proxy war & not peace: #Ukrainian media reports that "Russian side was almost ready for the Zelensky-Putin meeting" for peace deal to end #ukrainewar. But it was abandoned after British PM visited #Ukraine & told #Zelenskyy not to negotiate with #Putin."
Sources close to Zelenskyy revealed that UK PM came "almost without warning" with 2 messages: "Putin is a war criminal, he should be pressured, not negotiated with" & "even if Ukraine is ready to sign some agreements on guarantees with Putin, they are not" pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/…
Ukrainska pravda suggested that Boris Johnson was messenger who told #Zelenskyy that it was not only his position but also position of collective West, i.e. US-led position, not to make peace deal between #Ukraine & #Russia. This is consistent with UK status vs US. #Ukraine️war
It's revealing that many accept propaganda & fake news concerning #UkraineRussiaWar but deny that #Ukraine & #Russia were close to peace deal in April despite admissions by Ukrainian officials close to Zelenskyy, senior Russian officials & "multiple former senior U.S. officials"
They even deny admissions by "multiple former senior US officials" cited by ex-deputy assistant to US president/senior director for Europe & Russian affairs in National Security Council & ex-official in charge of Russia & Ukraine in National Intelligence Council & State Depart.
Russian withdrawal to pre-war position in exchange for no NATO membership was written proposed peace deal by Zelenskyy. It was accepted by Russia as basis for negotiations. Russia demanded recognition of Donbas independence & could agreed only to withdraw from non-Donbas regions.
Besides sources close to #Zelenskyy revealing that Johnson told him in April not to sign peace deal with #Russia, British PM during his surprise visits to #Ukraine openly opposed peace talks to end #UkraineRussiaWar
#Zelenskyy ended talks right after Johnson visit & not after Bucha war crimes: "President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated his point that it would be difficult to negotiate with Russia after the Russian atrocities in Bucha, but that there was no other choice" strana.news/news/384922-uk…
And: "During his trip to Bucha today, a BBC correspondent asked Zelensky if he still thinks it is possible to discuss peace with Russia. "Yes, because Ukraine must find peace... We will continue our diplomatic and military efforts," Zelensky said." strana.news/news/384811-ze…
Mainstream Western media didn't report confirmation by former senior US officials that there was peace deal outline between #Ukraine & #Russia to end #UkraineRussiaWar & Ukrainian media bombshell that British PM stopped talks in April. I first posted both of these 4 months ago.
The only partial exception
And @QuincyInst report: "Russia and Ukraine agreed on a tentative deal to end the war in April, according to a recent piece in Foreign Affairs. The news highlights the impact of former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s efforts to stop negotiations..." responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/09/02/dip…
"Decision to scuttle the deal coincided with Johnson’s April visit to Kyiv, during which he reportedly urged Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to break off talks with Russia for two key reasons: Putin cannot be negotiated with, and the West isn’t ready for the war to end."
"The apparent revelation raises some key questions: Why did Western leaders want to stop Kyiv from signing a seemingly good deal with Moscow? Do they consider the conflict a proxy war with Russia? And, most importantly, what would it take to get back to a deal?" #Ukraine️
And Putin now: "after the start of the special military operation, including the talks in Istanbul, the representatives of Kyiv reacted very positively to our proposals... After certain compromises were reached, Kyiv was actually given a direct order to disrupt all agreements."
Revelations by Ukrainian senior officials in Ukrainska pravda that UK prime-minister told Zelenskyy not to sign peace deal & by multiple former senior US officials in Foreign Affairs article that such deal outline was agreed preceded this Putin statement
en.kremlin.ru/events/preside… Image
And: "That became clear already in March, when Moscow and Kiev came close to reaching mutual agreements. Such turn of events obviously frightened the Americans and the British, so they actually forbade Ukraine to conduct further dialogue with Russia." newsweek.com/exclusive-russ…
In fact, nobody cares about views and fate of ordinary Ukrainians and their agency
Proposed peace plan to #Russia by Ukrainian delegation in March included neutrality/no #NATO membership, support for EU membership, security guarantees to #Ukraine, & #Donbas & #Crimea status to be discussed separately later. faridaily.substack.com/p/ukraines-10-…

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More from @I_Katchanovski

Mar 17
Admission by former British prime minister Boris Johnson that "Ukrainian nationalists couldn't accept the compromise" and vetoed in 2019 peace that Zelensky promised during his elections refers to neo-Nazi Azov movement, whom Johnson called "heroes."
Read 5 tweets
Mar 10
Wow! USAID-funded London-based Ukrainian OSINT agency still lists Elon Musk, JD Vance, Tucker Carlson & many other prominent Western politicians, journalists & scholars in its "register of Russian Federation terrorist regime foreign propagandists." molfar.com/en/enemies x.com/wyattreed13/st…Image
US Senator @RandPaul is also blacklisted by USAID-funded London-based Ukrainian OSINT agency in its "register of Russian Federation terrorist regime foreign propagandists." molfar.com/en/enemiesImage
Read 4 tweets
Mar 5
Overwhelming evidence presented in my studies shows that Yanukovych was ousted not by mass protests but by means of false-flag massacre by protesters & police, assassination attempts & falsified unconstitutional vote in parliament under duress & without required constitutional majority,
Such overwhelming evidence is presented in my 3 open access peer-reviewed journal articles & my open access book "The Maidan Massacre in Ukraine: The Mass Killing that Changed the World." They are freely available to read & download. link.springer.com/book/10.1007/9…
And in my open access article "The Maidan Massacre Trial and Investigation Revelations: Implications for the Ukraine-Russia War and Relations," This peer-reviewed journal article is also freely available. brill.com/view/journals/…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Open scolding of Zelensky & his refusal of peace deal by Trump and Vance.
More of the Zelensky's epic disaster
Read 10 tweets
Feb 23
Wow! As I predicted, Trump envoy Steve Witkoff says that Spring 2022 Istanbul agreement, which was "very close to signing," can be "guidepost" of peace deal to end war in Ukraine. Istanbul peace deal included no NATO accession/neutrality & disarmament of Ukraine. Annexation of Donbas & Kherson & Zaporizhzia regions by Russia are also likely to be part of new peace deal. So many lives of Ukrainians could have been saved if US & UK did not block this peace deal in Spring 2022 & Zelensky signed it.
Nuland basically admitted that Ukraine-Russia peace deal, which was close to being finalized in spring 2022, “fell apart” because US, UK & other Western governments “advised” Zelensky government not to sign it.
Ex Israeli prime minister said that US and other Western leaders blocked Ukraine & Russia peace deal which he negotiated on Zelensky request in March 2022 because they wanted to continue to strike Putin. He said that there was good chance of such deal.
Community note is fake.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 18
As I predicted, Trump states that he wants elections in Ukraine & suggests that Zelensky would lose elections because he has 4% approval. My research suggests that Zelensky has very low electoral support. His 16% electoral support in 2024 poll was inflated & is lower now. I said in my interview that Trump can remove Zelensky by using expiration of his term as president of Ukraine & forcing presidential elections if Zelensky refuses peace deal.
16% electoral support for Zelensky in 2024 poll was inflated & is lower now. x.com/I_Katchanovski… "Just 16 per cent would vote to re-elect him for a second term, according to an opinion poll of 1,200 Ukrainians by the Social Monitoring Centre in Kyiv. About 60 per cent would prefer Zelensky not to even stand for re-election." And polls significantly overestimate his popularity in Ukraine because of exclusion of pro-Russian Crimea & Donbas & fear to express views contrary to undemocratic Zelensky regime.
"Trump can also remove Zelensky by using expiration of his term as president of Ukraine & forcing presidential elections."
Read 5 tweets

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