No chance. #Ukraine provides the real example of positive change via P2P engagement & exposure. BUT ignoring tourist visas (for now), we should be very open to *emigration* from this cohort. Let the brain drain commence & let them vote with their feet if they really oppose Putin.
No one should get to live parasitically from our democracy going back & forth while merely claiming to oppose. Gotta commit. What happens in #Russia is Secondary to support for #Ukraine & what happens in #EU states when considering the #visaban.
#visaban is not about change in #Russia- that’s not happening anytime soon & only a crushing defeat has a chance of spurring it on. Change through exposure has failed in this case & should be put on hold until circumstances change.
In the meantime🇷🇺s who *really* oppose #Putin can leave & create a *genuinely* liberal opposition in diaspora communities where they can learn from EU societies to their hearts’ content - after properly screened emigration procedures not misuse of tourist visas or free travel.
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Don't be confused & don't get get sold short
❌this is not a #visaban on Russian tourists ❌
➡️So what did EU Foreign Ministers agree in Prague?
➡️How does it relate to the #visabanforrussians?
➡️What does it mean for EU, Ukraine & Russia?
(Spoiler - trouble ahead)
Short 🧵
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EU Foreign Ministers meeting in Prague stopped short of agreeing to implement a #visaban on Russian tourists.
Instead they cancelled the 'Visa Facilitation Agreement' with #Russia that had been in place since 2006.
So what was this facilitation agreement?
/2
The visa facilitation agreement was a way the EU made it EASIER for Russians, including tourists, to get Schengen short stay Type C Visas. It reduced or eliminated their costs & speeded up processing or reduced requirements for certain kinds of visitors.
No longer ... but ...
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This week (30-31/08) EU Foreign Ministers meet in #Prague where they'll discussion the #visaban.
I've worked on issues relating to visas, borders & EU foreign & security policy for 2 decades.
Here's what you need to know
- & why you should SUPPORT the #visabanforrussians
🧵/1
You can lobby your government to support this - including on Twitter.
No one (sensible) is talking about banning all Russians from EU states. For which visas would be affected see here
@rynkrynk Since I worked for the EU in Ukraine after the Orange Revolution I felt that the country hadn’t been given a fair shot, and was being used for EU interests (actually a self-defeating move that led to a lose-lose situation), which ultimately led me to resign from my job & 1/2
@rynkrynk to try to understand how & why this came to be. (Via academic research). The more I knew the more I saw how most Ukrainians, against the odds, wanted & strove to improve their lives & their country. I tried to find ways to support that process & advised on visa liberalisation
@rynkrynk I used my research to inform that process, which remains something I’m really happy to have done. More recently (as I’ve written in a number of places) Ukraine has shown other Europeans what it means to stand up for democracy & self determination, for freedom & human rights
Three standout points on #Ukraine and #Russia in this excellent piece by @AVindman in Foreign Affairs that are also highly relevant for #Germany's Foreign Policy establishment.
1. 'If Ukrainian democracy is going to prevail, U.S. [German] foreign policymakers must finally prioritize dealing with #Ukraine as it is rather than #Russia as they would like it to be.'
2/5
2.'By freeing itself from its Russocentrism, Washington [Berlin] will also be better able to engage with and listen to its partners in Eastern and northern Europe, which have greater proximity to and more clarity on national security threats from Russia.'
3/5
#Germany’s Chancellor #Scholz seems to reject the #visaban - sticking to the same discredited reasoning that he outlined last week. This comes after #Czechia (which holds the #EU Presidency) supported of the measure proposed by #Finland & #Estonia
So what will #Germany propose instead? How will it listen to the concerns of #NCEE countries including those whose views it has repeatedly trampled over in its dealings with #Russia.
Coming after the Kaliningrad fiasco #Scholz risks creating a real rift in the #EU. #visaban
There are different views on the #visaban but rubbing nonsense excuses in the faces of partners who have repeatedly shown they have a *much* better grasp of the situation concerning #Ukraine & #Russia is not a good look. Nor is appearing to put 🇷🇺concerns ahead of 🇺🇦🇫🇮🇪🇪🇨🇿 …
A (very) basic explainer on some aspects of the proposed #visaban to prevent tourists from #Russia entering the #EU’s Schengen zone.
(There are some shortcuts but this is basically what you need to know on some more technical aspects - & I welcome corrections!)
1/
A #visaban must hit Type C Schengen Short Stay visas
- the most common type of visa that allows entry to & movement in the jointly controlled free(r) movement area & stay of up to 90 days in any 180 day period. It can be single/double/multi entry for tourism or business. /2
Because this visa allows movement between Schengen countries it is what is currently being used by Russian tourists entering Finland & Estonia (via their land borders) to then move on to other countries in the Schengen zone (by plane) to get round the flight ban from #Russia. /3