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Sep 9 • 3 tweets • 4 min read
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian and #Russian sources reported kinetic activity northwest of #Kherson City, near the Ukrainian bridgehead over the #Inhulets River, and around #Snihurivka (approximately 60km east of #Mykolaiv City) on September 8. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

Geolocated footage depicts #Ukrainian forces raiding #Russian positions in Ternovi Pody, approximately 28km northwest of #Kherson City on September 8. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

#Russian milbloggers also claimed that #Ukrainians broke through the defenses of the 20th Guards Motor Rifle Division between Ternovi Pody and Blahodatne, about 7km due southwest of Ternovi Pody. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Sep 10
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces have captured an estimated 2,500 square kilometers in Kharkiv Oblast in the Kharkiv area counteroffensive as of September 9. /1
iswresearch.org Image
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces are likely clearing pockets of disorganized #Russian forces caught in the rapid Ukrainian advance to #Kupyansk, #Izyum, and the #Oskil River, given the recent influx of observed pictures of Russian POWs. /2
iswresearch.org
#Kharkiv Update:

A geolocated image confirms #Ukrainian forces reached the southern outskirts of #Kupyansk on September 9 along the R79 highway, and #Russian sources reported ongoing tank battles in the area. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 8 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 8
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces advanced at least 20km deep into #Russian-controlled territory north of #Izyum toward #Kupyansk and recaptured about 400 square kilometers on September 6-7. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

#Russian sources claimed that #Ukrainian forces advanced southeast along the E40 and N26 highways towards #Izyum and #Kupyansk, respectively. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated footage shows that #Ukrainian forces also advanced northeast along the T2110 highway from #Balakliya, #Verbivka, #Yakovenkove, Volokhiv Yar (at the intersection of the T2210 and E40), and towards #Shevchenkove. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 7
The International Atomic Energy Agency’s report on the situation at the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant described numerous ways in which Russian occupation authorities and the #Russian military are jeopardizing the safe operation of the plant.

isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
The moderation and apparent neutrality of the IAEA's report can overshadow the extremely clear articulation of the Russian activities undermining the plant’s safety and the fact that the report attributes no dangerous actions to Ukraine. 2/
The #IAEA’s report on the situation at the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) is thus a coded condemnation of Russian moves that have created and are perpetuating the danger of nuclear disaster in #Ukraine. 3/

isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 6 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 6
Assessment Highlight:

Vladimir Putin publicly praised DNR and LNR forces (and denigrated the Russian military) on September 5, likely to motivate proxy recruitment and reframe Russian coverage of the war. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated on September 5 that personnel in the 1st and 2nd Army Corps (the armed forces of the DNR and LNR) are fighting better in Donbas than professional Russian soldiers and insinuated that he is unhappy with the performance of the Russian MoD. /2
Putin’s comments are likely intended to promote recruitment and force generation in the DNR and LNR and refocus coverage of the war in the Russian media space away from the fighting in southern Ukraine. /3
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 5
Southern Axis Update:

The #Ukrainian liberation of #Vysokopillya ignited critical discussions among some #Russian milbloggers while the Russian Defense Ministry maintained that Ukrainian forces continued to conduct “unsuccessful attempts” to advance. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

Reports of #Russian shelling of Novovoznesenske and claims by milbloggers that elements of Russian airborne forces also withdrew from Novovoznesenske may indicate a #Ukrainian advance in the area. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that #Russian forces launched airstrikes at Lyubomyrivka (approximately 28km north of #Kherson City), and Russian milbloggers reported that Russian forces left the settlement. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 1
#Ukrainian Counteroffensive Thread:

Military operations on the scale of this counteroffensive do not succeed or fail in a day or a week. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignAug… Image
The timing of the start of the counteroffensive is consistent with the observed degradation of #Russian capabilities in western #Kherson Oblast balanced against the need to start liberating occupied #Ukrainian lands and people as soon as possible. /2
Counteroffensive operations will very likely unfold over the coming weeks and possibly months as #Ukrainian forces take advantage of the conditions they have set to defeat particular sectors of the line they have identified as vulnerable. /3
Read 6 tweets

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