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Sep 11 6 tweets 7 min read
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces reached the northern outskirts of #Izyum on September 10 and will likely recapture the city within the next 48 hours if they have not already. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces seized the western half of #Kupyansk on September 10 and can likely take the rest of the city within 24 hours if they choose to cross the #Oskil River. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated footage shows #Russian forces fleeing east from #Kupyansk’s eastern outskirts, suggesting that most or all Russian forces in Kupyansk are withdrawing or have withdrawn to the east, most likely to #Svatove, #Luhansk Oblast. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces advanced to the southern and southwestern outskirts of #Lyman on September 10, where #Russian forces are covering the #Izyum group’s withdrawal. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces advanced to positions within 15–25km of the #Russo-#Ukrainian border in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast on September 10. /5
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kharkiv Update:

#Ukrainian forces likely captured #Bilohorivka sometime between September 4 and 10. /6
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Sep 13
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces are failing to reinforce the new frontline following Ukrainian gains in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast and are actively fleeing the area or redeploying to other axes. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Social media footage shows lines of cars stretching for kilometers near Schastia and Stanysia Luhanska, which are both along the border of long-held LNR territory and close to the #Russian border. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Certain proxy forces are also reportedly already redeploying from #Kharkiv Oblast to southwestern Donetsk Oblast, indicating that the Russian command is not prioritizing reinforcing vulnerable positions east of the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
A new🗺️from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats depicts total liberated Ukrainian territory as of September 11, 2022.

#Ukraine has liberated over 60,000 square km of territory since the Russians began retreating from around Kyiv in early April. Quick🧵below. Image
Ukrainian forces have liberated about 9,000 square km across all of #Ukraine since August 29.

However, the Ukrainian counter-offensive in #Kharkiv is not an anomaly but part of the long drive of the Ukrainian people to free their country from #Russian occupation. 2/
The Russian flight from #Kharkiv differs from their flight from #Kyiv for a few reasons:

#Putin chose to withdraw from Kyiv when he realized he could not take it.

In #Kharkiv Oblast, #Ukraine forced Russian troops to flee from attacks the Russians could not stop. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

The success of recent #Ukrainian counteroffensives likely contributed to the Russian announcement that annexation referenda will be indefinitely postponed. /1
iswresearch.org Image
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

Occupation authorities may be fleeing from occupied #Ukraine to #Russia as Ukrainian forces advance towards Russian rear areas. /2
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

#Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin and #DNR Mayor of #Mariupol Konstantin Ivashchenko reportedly did not attend a military parade in Mariupol on September 11 and their current whereabouts are unknown. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian troops are likely to continue counter-offensive operations in #Kherson Oblast based on the limited reporting that is available. /1
iswresearch.org Image
Southern Axis Update:

Footage taken by residents of #Kherson Oblast on September 10 and 11 corroborates statements made by #Ukrainian officials regarding the continued Ukrainian interdiction campaign along the Southern Axis. /2
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Social media users reported explosions near Kakhovka and Nova Kakhovka which substantiates statements made by #Ukrainian military officials that Ukrainian troops hit an ammunition depot and ferry crossing in this area. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Kharkiv Update:

The #Russian Ministry of Defense’s September 11 briefing map confirmed that Russian forces are withdrawing from settlements around Kharkiv City, from northern Kharkiv Oblast, and settlements on the western bank of the #Oskil River. /1
iswresearch.org Image
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated and social media footage confirmed that #Ukrainian forces have entered #Vovchansk and Velykyi Burluk, severing #Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) along the T2104 highway and reaching the international border. /2
iswresearch.org
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated footage also shows that #Ukrainian forces took control of #Izyum and settlements south and southwest on September 11. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 5 tweets
Sep 12
NEW: #Ukraine has inflicted a major operational defeat on #Russia, recapturing almost all of #Kharkiv Oblast in a rapid counter-offensive. Ukraine has turned the tide in its favor, but the current counter-offensive will not end the war. /1

Our latest: iswresearch.org ImageImageImageImage
The #Ukrainian recapture of #Izyum ended the prospect that #Russia could accomplish its stated objectives in #Donetsk Oblast. /2
After retreating from #Kyiv in early April, the stated #Russian objectives had been to seize the complete territory of #Luhansk and #Donetsk Oblasts via an attack along an arc from #Izyum through #Severodonetsk to the area near #Donetsk City. /3
Read 12 tweets

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