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Some thoughts about the military perspective about what just happened in #Izyum / #Kharkov.
First let's talk about Kharkov in general. This region was very poorly defended by #Ukraine|ians the last few months. #Russia took the initiative and started a pinning operation.
Some thoughts about the military perspective about what just happened in #Izyum / #Kharkov.
First let's talk about Kharkov in general. This region was very poorly defended by #Ukraine|ians the last few months. #Russia took the initiative and started a pinning operation.
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This was executed with very few troops as well, because more wasn't needed for the degree of resistance in this place. The goal of a pinning and holding operation is, to draw #Ukraine|ian troops away from other important frontline section, just to defend this "unimportant"
This was executed with very few troops as well, because more wasn't needed for the degree of resistance in this place. The goal of a pinning and holding operation is, to draw #Ukraine|ian troops away from other important frontline section, just to defend this "unimportant"
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area. This was very successful. A nice side effect of this pinning operation was, that #Russia gained ever more ground around #Kharkov city itself, which is a good starting point for future offensive operations. Since #Ukraine was forced to split its forces between Kharkov
area. This was very successful. A nice side effect of this pinning operation was, that #Russia gained ever more ground around #Kharkov city itself, which is a good starting point for future offensive operations. Since #Ukraine was forced to split its forces between Kharkov
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, to counter this luring/pinning operations, around the city itself, and #Kherson, for staging the major "counter-offensive" there, #Donbass was very bad defended. Which resulted in more and more successful advancing of the #Russia|ian troops there. Now we can think about
, to counter this luring/pinning operations, around the city itself, and #Kherson, for staging the major "counter-offensive" there, #Donbass was very bad defended. Which resulted in more and more successful advancing of the #Russia|ian troops there. Now we can think about
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#NATO, whatever we want, but the planers in #Washington are far from being dumb. Moreover they have all resources for planing and preparing that are available to the whole Western empire. I think we all, even #Ukraine fanboys, can agree, that Ukraine is absolutely not able
#NATO, whatever we want, but the planers in #Washington are far from being dumb. Moreover they have all resources for planing and preparing that are available to the whole Western empire. I think we all, even #Ukraine fanboys, can agree, that Ukraine is absolutely not able
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to either win this war or to attack head on #Russia|n hold territories. This is well known in #Washington as well. But the West still needs some success stories, for the Western public(electorate, hello midterms), to motivate them, to further support this war. Or at least, to
to either win this war or to attack head on #Russia|n hold territories. This is well known in #Washington as well. But the West still needs some success stories, for the Western public(electorate, hello midterms), to motivate them, to further support this war. Or at least, to
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not start a revolution domestically in #Europe or the #US. So, as the water flows, the #US planers took the approach with less resistance and decided, to defeat the #Russia|ian pinning operation. And they succeeded. Congratulations, again. I need to highlight this again.
not start a revolution domestically in #Europe or the #US. So, as the water flows, the #US planers took the approach with less resistance and decided, to defeat the #Russia|ian pinning operation. And they succeeded. Congratulations, again. I need to highlight this again.
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#Ukraine just defeated a light equipped, manned by police forces and #Donbass militias, pinning operation. And by doing this, they achieved a huge medial victory. The other way around #Russia suffered one of the worst PR defeats (and humanitarian), that it ever did in its
#Ukraine just defeated a light equipped, manned by police forces and #Donbass militias, pinning operation. And by doing this, they achieved a huge medial victory. The other way around #Russia suffered one of the worst PR defeats (and humanitarian), that it ever did in its
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modern history. Let's look further on the military events. #Russia had #Izyum as a bridgehead and staging are for the attack on #Slavyansk. It was very important, for the final push on #Donbass from several directions (encirclement/pincer) at once. It still can be achieved,
modern history. Let's look further on the military events. #Russia had #Izyum as a bridgehead and staging are for the attack on #Slavyansk. It was very important, for the final push on #Donbass from several directions (encirclement/pincer) at once. It still can be achieved,
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but the strategy will need to be rewritten from the scratch. If you have such an important place, then you need necessarily some layered buffer zones around, to be able to conduct mobile defensive operations and to be able to manoeuvrer with armour. #Balakleya, and the
but the strategy will need to be rewritten from the scratch. If you have such an important place, then you need necessarily some layered buffer zones around, to be able to conduct mobile defensive operations and to be able to manoeuvrer with armour. #Balakleya, and the
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towns and villages around had this role and they did well. Especially if you consider, that light police and #Donbass forces absorbed the first shock/impact of an assault of several #Ukraine|ian brigades. #Russia activated its contingency plans, for such an scenario.
towns and villages around had this role and they did well. Especially if you consider, that light police and #Donbass forces absorbed the first shock/impact of an assault of several #Ukraine|ian brigades. #Russia activated its contingency plans, for such an scenario.
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Such large military organisations always have several contingency plans, for its planned operations. For this pinning and holding operation as well. Well, the plan maybe was good, or not. But eventually it failed, because, as far as I can judge it remotely, the plan was NOT
Such large military organisations always have several contingency plans, for its planned operations. For this pinning and holding operation as well. Well, the plan maybe was good, or not. But eventually it failed, because, as far as I can judge it remotely, the plan was NOT
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designed, for such a full scale offensive operation.
#Russia did the right thing and withdrawn, before being encircled and destroyed. One cannot bring in several brigade/divisions within hours/days into a warzone with heavy equipment and, especially, ammunition,
designed, for such a full scale offensive operation.
#Russia did the right thing and withdrawn, before being encircled and destroyed. One cannot bring in several brigade/divisions within hours/days into a warzone with heavy equipment and, especially, ammunition,
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to sustain such a large scale defensive operations.
I hear the thoughts, of the kiddies crying: "Bring in this and that Speznas paratroopers to crush them all". I won't bother, to debunk this here, unless I'm asked.
The bigger picture gets clear now behind the #Ukarine|ian
to sustain such a large scale defensive operations.
I hear the thoughts, of the kiddies crying: "Bring in this and that Speznas paratroopers to crush them all". I won't bother, to debunk this here, unless I'm asked.
The bigger picture gets clear now behind the #Ukarine|ian
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counter offensive. It goal was this huge medial victory. And it was, in terms of its goal, fully successful. (Military it is a #Ukraine|ian disaster and I feel pity for the thousands of troops, that died, for the Western public opinion, even though they are Nazis).
counter offensive. It goal was this huge medial victory. And it was, in terms of its goal, fully successful. (Military it is a #Ukraine|ian disaster and I feel pity for the thousands of troops, that died, for the Western public opinion, even though they are Nazis).
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The #Ukraine|ian counter offensive strategy goes like this: 1 )Announce months in advance a counteroffensive in #Kherson (check). 2) Bring in visibly the troop and equipment concentrations to Kherson. (Check). 3) #Russia takes the bait and bring most of its mobile forces to
The #Ukraine|ian counter offensive strategy goes like this: 1 )Announce months in advance a counteroffensive in #Kherson (check). 2) Bring in visibly the troop and equipment concentrations to Kherson. (Check). 3) #Russia takes the bait and bring most of its mobile forces to
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#Kherson, to prepare a magnificent mobile defence. (Check) 4) Covertly prepare your best trained troops and foreign mercenaries in the #Kharkov region, as well as the best foreign supplied equipment. (Check). 5) Start the Kherson offensive with huge amount of troops, to make
#Kherson, to prepare a magnificent mobile defence. (Check) 4) Covertly prepare your best trained troops and foreign mercenaries in the #Kharkov region, as well as the best foreign supplied equipment. (Check). 5) Start the Kherson offensive with huge amount of troops, to make
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it look like an real approach to seize #Kherson. #Russia took the bait. (Check). 6) When you are sure, that all the #Russia|ian mobile units are commited to the Kherson offensive (massacre), start in the cover of the night, the real offensive in #Kharkov. (Check).
it look like an real approach to seize #Kherson. #Russia took the bait. (Check). 6) When you are sure, that all the #Russia|ian mobile units are commited to the Kherson offensive (massacre), start in the cover of the night, the real offensive in #Kharkov. (Check).
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From this point onwards, I described the rest at the beginning of this thread.
Well... It was a well planned and executed Western intelligence operation, with the goal, to buy the Western public back, for supporting #Ukraine further on, during the winter, and to behave
From this point onwards, I described the rest at the beginning of this thread.
Well... It was a well planned and executed Western intelligence operation, with the goal, to buy the Western public back, for supporting #Ukraine further on, during the winter, and to behave
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domestically and to, at least try to safe the midterms.
The execution of this operation was successful and #Russia lost. Now it needs to be seen, weather the domestic goals will be achieved, with this victory.
Let's continue militarily:
Russia's pinning operation is gone and
domestically and to, at least try to safe the midterms.
The execution of this operation was successful and #Russia lost. Now it needs to be seen, weather the domestic goals will be achieved, with this victory.
Let's continue militarily:
Russia's pinning operation is gone and
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defeated. BUT! It achieved absolutely its goal. It pinned #Ukraine|ian troops in this area, and more important, it killed in both, #Kherson and #Kharkov, some 10.000 best trained (my estimation by using some math) troops and moreover their equipment. Moreover Kharkov wasn't
defeated. BUT! It achieved absolutely its goal. It pinned #Ukraine|ian troops in this area, and more important, it killed in both, #Kherson and #Kharkov, some 10.000 best trained (my estimation by using some math) troops and moreover their equipment. Moreover Kharkov wasn't
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an offensive vector. So it simply can be sealed off, and all other frontline sections / theatres can proceed with its plans exactly, as NOTHING happened at all. Since I expect, that #Ukraine will keep trying to push #Russia|n troops further, which it can't over a river, I
an offensive vector. So it simply can be sealed off, and all other frontline sections / theatres can proceed with its plans exactly, as NOTHING happened at all. Since I expect, that #Ukraine will keep trying to push #Russia|n troops further, which it can't over a river, I
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far more and worse #Ukraine|ian casualties to come.
The war will continue exactly as it did until today. There will be slow grinding, trhough the defensive lines in #Donbass, and as soon as #Russia penetrated a broad enough section (maybe #Pesky and #Donetsk city) there will
far more and worse #Ukraine|ian casualties to come.
The war will continue exactly as it did until today. There will be slow grinding, trhough the defensive lines in #Donbass, and as soon as #Russia penetrated a broad enough section (maybe #Pesky and #Donetsk city) there will
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most likely a bigger deep penetrating operation by armoured shock troops, maybe to the #Dniepr.
That's what it is. I'm very sad about the civilians, left behind in the captured areas... Many will be killed and tortured... This is also a huge disaster.
most likely a bigger deep penetrating operation by armoured shock troops, maybe to the #Dniepr.
That's what it is. I'm very sad about the civilians, left behind in the captured areas... Many will be killed and tortured... This is also a huge disaster.
https://twitter.com/YugoSurfer/status/1567526935604989952?s=20&t=MI8k2_JvRT6b8bE0z-M6XA
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