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Sep 18 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian and #Russian sources indicated that Ukrainian forces are continuing to establish positions northwest and southwest of #Lyman on September 17, while Russian forces have maintained their positions in Lyman and #Yampil. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Geolocated footage showed Ukrainian forces raising a flag over #Shchurove, situated on the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River six kilometers southwest of #Lyman. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces crossed the Siverskyi Donets River and reached #Studenok (approximately 25km northwest of #Lyman) after Russian forces withdrew from the settlement on September 15. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces continued to conduct unsuccessful assaults around #Bakhmut and #Avdiivka. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Sep 18
Russian failures to rush large-scale reinforcements to eastern #Kharkiv and to #Luhansk Oblasts leave most of Russian-occupied northeastern #Ukraine highly vulnerable to continuing Ukrainian counter-offensives, assesses @TheStudyofWar. isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
The Russians may have decided not to defend this area, despite Russian President Vladimir #Putin’s repeated declarations that the purpose of the “special military operation” is to “liberate” #Donetsk and #Luhansk Oblasts. 2/
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Prioritizing the defense of Russian gains in southern Ukraine over holding northeastern Ukraine makes strategic sense since Kherson & Zaporizhia Oblasts are critical terrain for both Russia and Ukraine whereas the less-populated agricultural areas in the northeast are less so. 3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 18
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian military officials maintained their operational silence regarding the progress of the counteroffensive on September 17 but noted the continuation of the Ukrainian interdiction campaign in #Kherson Oblast. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

A milblogger claimed that #Ukrainian forces are using helicopters to transfer troops to Sukhyi Stavok, which if true, likely indicates the reduced capacity of #Russian air defenses in the area. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

#Russian forces are intensifying filtration and social control measures in #Kherson Oblast as a result of the #Ukrainian counteroffensive in the region. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 18
NEW: #Russian forces continue to conduct meaningless offensive operations around #Donetsk City and #Bakhmut instead of focusing on defending against #Ukrainian counteroffensives that continue to advance.

Our latest with @criticalthreats:
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Russian troops continue to attack #Bakhmut and various villages near #Donetsk City of emotional significance to pro-war residents of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) but little other importance. 2/ isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
The Russians are apparently directing some of the very limited reserves available in #Ukraine to these efforts rather than to the vulnerable Russian defensive lines hastily thrown up along the #Oskil River in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast. 3/ isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 17
September 16 Assessment Highlight:

Russian President Vladimir #Putin appeared to threaten increased attacks on civilian infrastructure in #Ukraine if reported Ukrainian attacks on Russian military positions in Russian Federation territory continue. 1/
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Putin said that #Russia has been “rather restrained in our response” to Ukrainian “terrorist acts [and] attempts to damage our civilian [sic] infrastructure” in a question-and-answer session with reporters following the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meeting on Sept. 16. 2/
@TheStudyofWar assesses that #Putin’s comments are likely in part a response to criticism by Russian milbloggers, who attacked the #Kremlin for failing to protect the territory of #Russia and for failing to respond adequately. 3/
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 17
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces captured all of #Kupyansk City on September 16, continuing offensive operations east of the #Oskil River. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Geolocated footage confirms that Ukrainian forces established positions on the east bank of the #Oskil River in #Kupyansk. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces will likely struggle to hold positions in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast and in northern #Luhansk Oblast as Ukrainian forces establish more positions on the east bank of the #Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 16
September 15 Assessment Highlight from @TheStudyofWar:

The #Kremlin has likely abandoned its efforts to shield select federal subjects from recruitment drives, which may increase social tensions. isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
@TheStudyofWar has previously reported that the #Kremlin attempted to shield #Moscow City residents from reports of the formation of the Moscow-based “Sobyaninsky Polk” volunteer regiment. 2/ isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Russian opposition outlet @the_ins_ru noted that several groups in the republics of Buryatia, Kalmykia, Tyva, and Yakytia (Republic of Sakha) are publicly opposed to the #Kremlin's emphasis on recruitment on an ethnic basis. 3/ isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Read 4 tweets

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